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Model Mayhem III!


Typhoon Tip

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1014-982 from 234-252. It's Bombogenesis baby!

Over the benchmark, a bit progressive but still painting 1.5-2" QPF over EMA. Could rival 2013/2015 storms for accumulations with a decent ratio.

Given this winter, it will probably be 45 and raining.

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32 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I am really curious why these off hour runs produce bombs mid to long range seemingly more than the 00z or 12z cycles. It's not exactly hard data but over the years i have seen this pattern more and more with the GFS and it is mentioned on here a lot. 

Happy Hour is happy hour for a reason,speaking of which.....

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2 minutes ago, Albert A Clipper said:

this really needs to be on the 5th and 6th, any storm a week out usually moves up by 18 hours or so. TIA. 

Albert,

 

We may be focusing on your name sake first for next week before worrying about the D10 storm.

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