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Model Mayhem III!


Typhoon Tip

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2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 My take on all of this is that  One should not be greedy since  we have  gone from a region wide rainer to a possible moderate or perhaps major snowstorm for many.  Trends are our friend!  

Heh, on this forum that's like telling an addict just to have a little pinch...

 

But all joking aside, this is the second system during the terrible long wave pattern that has trended into a legit winter wx threat....so I agree that in my mind, this is kind of gravy. It's nice not to be debating whether the high will be 58F with downsloping winds, or 43F under an inversion.

 

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1 minute ago, mreaves said:

Does 6 and 1 make sense for KMPV?  I plugged it in and think that's what I got.

Yeah, MPV shows 6 and 1....which would be 6-8" and then 1-2". Those numbers are gonna change obviously, but the MEX guidance is pretty confident in spitting out higher numbers 4-5 days out.

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8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Heh, on this forum that's like telling an addict just to have a little pinch...

 

But all joking aside, this is the second system during the terrible long wave pattern that has trended into a legit winter wx threat....so I agree that in my mind, this is kind of gravy. It's nice not to be debating whether the high will be 58F with downsloping winds, or 43F under an inversion.

 

I'll be happy if my ground is white, I was jealous of the slushy inch Shrewsbury had yesterday, my ground is bare.

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That's the 28th storm that's been a huge signal for several days 

The signal isn't very huge right now...the longwave pattern is good, but it's not like there's a bunch of storms popping up on the ensembles for that date. We'll see though...it could end up being more toward the 30th too. The ridge is quite stout for several days in there.

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3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

E9 looks nice.

If the last 5 years have any say though E4 is likely closer to reality.

Some monster hits on the EPS.

 

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'd take either, but e4 was run from my laptop.

I think e4 is trying to resolve the Scooter CJ though.

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