CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rgem is ice cold . Close to keep this area all ice after an inch of sleet. It brings you above 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It brings you above 32. In fact you never go below 32 verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It brings you above 32. At the tail end after mostly frozen . We know how those go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 You also want to be closer to the source region of the cold...IE further north and east. Your longitude may hurt Kev. It's close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: You also want to be closer to the source region of the cold...IE further north and east. Your longitude may hurt Kev. It's close. Yeah that's why I'm not getting any snow. It'll start as sleet and accumulate an inch or so then some zr. I've seen these setups many times over the years. It'll rot at like 31.9 or 32.1. That northeast flow will drain enough to keep surface marginal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You also want to be closer to the source region of the cold...IE further north and east. Your longitude may hurt Kev. It's close. It is my longitude that had been giving me angst. Latitude it fine, but I'm pretty far west and only "okay" elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 I like where I sit where I sit for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I like where I sit where I sit for this. I'd want elevation if I were you. Imo you need to be in more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I'd want elevation if I were you. Imo you need to be in more Watch- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Watch- Hope you're right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 32 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wrong model I liked how it looked for me if it was 100 miles too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 I'm getting pretty interested in this one but I am still a bit skeptical of much south of NH border. The euro and RGEM verbatim are huge for pike northward so they can't be discounted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 BTV saying 3"-5" for my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm getting pretty interested in this one but I am still a bit skeptical of much south of NH border. The euro and RGEM verbatim are huge for pike northward so they can't be discounted. I might be a little more confident than you then not a lot but some... sure. Thing is, my own old method for using the FRH NAM grid (FOUS) has an isothermal snow thump west of Boston. If it were just the NAM alone ...heh. But, the RGEM is a tool of choice for me inside of 48 hours which this is getting into so... (Persistent Euro + RGEM on board + NAM normalizes critical thickness layers...) = enough for me to forecast a wet snow of light climate standards and let the chips fall where they may... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Scott, what's your thinking for this area? Just rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I might be a little more confident than you then not a lot but some... sure. Thing is, my own old method for using the FRH NAM grid (FOUS) has an isothermal snow thump west of Boston. If it were just the NAM alone ...heh. But, the RGEM is a tool of choice for me inside of 48 hours which this is getting into so... (Persistent Euro + RGEM on board + NAM normalizes critical thickness layers...) = enough for me to forecast a wet snow of light climate standards and let the chips fall where they may... Yea, I'm pretty confident, too. This is the type of scenario I long for .....rather than the debate over how much exhaust I'll suck. Give me a rain/snow line with paste, over sugar cane oes any day. The places that should rain, rain, as opposed to stealing my snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Just now, 8611Blizz said: Scott, what's your thinking for this area? Just rain? It would not shock me if you started out as a mix or even like a 34-35F wet snow, but I don't see much if any acc there. At least right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Ok. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I'm pretty confident, too. This is the type of scenario I long for .....rather than the debate over how much exhaust I'll suck. Give me a rain/snow line with paste, over sugar cane oes any day. The places that should rain, rain, as opposed to stealing my snow. You could still rain.. it's pretty close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: You could still rain.. it's pretty close I could.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I'm pretty confident, too. This is the type of scenario I long for .....rather than the debate over how much exhaust I'll suck. Give me a rain/snow line with paste, over sugar cane oes any day. The places that should rain, rain, as opposed to stealing my snow. I'm sorry I stole all your snow. I did say you could have it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 RGEM is really close for BOS, but I think you have to be outside 128 and north of the pike for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: I'm sorry I stole all your snow. I did say you could have it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Just now, Morch Madness said: RGEM is really close for BOS, but I think you have to be outside 128 and north of the pike for this one. Exactly what I just posted on FB. Would suck if I missed this one....the dichotomy between this event and the last would absolutely embody my point about being both just far enough and close enough from the ocean to get screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It lasted about 3 days longer than it should have though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, Morch Madness said: RGEM is really close for BOS, but I think you have to be outside 128 and north of the pike for this one. That's how I feel. The lower 1k or so is just a bit too warm at the coast, but as I type this...the RPM wants snow near BOS and that can have a warm bias. We'll see what the good doc says in 45 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I might be a little more confident than you then not a lot but some... sure. Thing is, my own old method for using the FRH NAM grid (FOUS) has an isothermal snow thump west of Boston. If it were just the NAM alone ...heh. But, the RGEM is a tool of choice for me inside of 48 hours which this is getting into so... (Persistent Euro + RGEM on board + NAM normalizes critical thickness layers...) = enough for me to forecast a wet snow of light climate standards and let the chips fall where they may... I'm pretty sure there's flakage for pike region along and outside of 128 but my concern is more that we're so marginal that it's like that 5 to 1 white rain where it mixes at times vs a true 8 or 9 to 1 paste bomb. We will see though. The high is trying to press in from Maine which is a pretty good spot so if we can advect enough dry polar air in to wet bulb the column then it is all systems go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 Can anyone post the rpm please? Tyia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Can anyone post the rpm please? Tyia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 16, 2017 Share Posted January 16, 2017 We zneaux....6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.