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1/14 - 15 Minor Snow and Ice Threat


Bob Chill

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3 minutes ago, H2O said:

tons of run to run model hugging/dying going on.  This will be a nowcast storm with a very short lead up

I thought LWX forecast write up sounded promising saying "Precip
rounding the high along a stationary front Sunday warrants chance
PoPs for the southern half of the CWA. A rain/wintry mix line looks
to set up over the CWA, north of the stationary front. Cold air wins
out with the front sagging south of the CWA as a cold front"

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11 minutes ago, H2O said:

tons of run to run model hugging/dying going on.  This will be a nowcast storm with a very short lead up

Exactly. We wont even know how cold or the depth of the cold until tomorrow. Let alone where/if the precip is even sets up.  And what the hell happened in this thread overnight. Did we suddenly become the NW forum?

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Looking at the last 3 EURO runs for this Saturday at DCA the total precipitation has decreased from 0.32 to 0.16 to 0.10 inches while the total snow has decreased from ~2 to 3/4 to 1/2". The minimum temperature during the period of precipitation has increased from 29 to 30 while the maximum has remained around 32. 

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Looking at the last 3 EURO runs for this Saturday at DCA the total precipitation has decreased from 0.32 to 0.16 to 0.10 inches while the total snow has decreased from ~2 to 3/4 to 1/2". The minimum temperature during the period of precipitation has increased from 29 to 30 while the maximum has remained around 32. 



The OP did say 'minor' and 'threat', so there's that.

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