NCSNOW Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, strongwxnc said: Amen to that.. Yea it's tough. I'm telling myself I have all weekend to sleep, minus the playing outside. Things will be shut down for a whike that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Heading to bed - clearly a bust for our area. NAM was right. Hope folks north and west of here wake up to something special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowJoMoJo Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, CentralNC said: Did alnighter for March 1993 storm. Probably can't do that again. All we had was TWC back then and we thought we were cool! Now THAT was a storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, cbmclean said: So in order to get less WAA, would the low have to be further out to sea? 48hrs ago we were never supposed to have any WAA in these parts. YOU in Wilson were supposed to be jack potting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornsnow Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Still snowing here in Huntersville north of Charlotte. Hoping the rain/snow line stays south overnight. If so should have a decent storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 It's worth staying awake right now. Bigger flakes and it is pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Flipped to sleet, it may be awhile before we go back to snow, tough watching what would be nice rates lost to this garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Short video. https://vimeo.com/198444317Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Point & click forecast for Chapel Hill is bumped up to 9-15" by tomorrow afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 7 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Can anyone explain what mechanism is causing the line to actually move north? I am mostly ignorant about the dynamics of storms but I have a strong science background so I can take a good bit of technical explanation. Warm air advection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, CaryWx said: 48hrs ago we were never supposed to have any WAA in these parts. YOU in Wilson were supposed to be jack potting. So what caused the WAA when it was not being predicted previously? Did the track of the low track further inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bargainmusic Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Slightly larger flakes and coming down a bit harder as well. Approaching 3.5" it looks like. I'm not stepping outside though. Ain't got enough clothes on and I'm not about to put more on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Quarter size dendrites are parachuting out of the sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, wake4est said: Point & click forecast for Chapel Hill is bumped up to 9-15" by tomorrow afternoon Is the NWS expecting the warm nose to not cut into those totals? I'll believe it when I see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Poimen said: It's worth staying awake right now. Bigger flakes and it is pouring. Some heavy dbz fixing to move in. It's putting it down already and looks to turn it up another notch beleive it or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 22 minutes ago, NEGa said: yikes! i was hoping for the big dump, of course, but realistically it rarely happens. i have been thinking 2-3" for mby and hoping for 4 or 5 lol. i have 2 1/4 on the ground here so i am pretty happy - and glad no shaft! i think what hurt here, was as usual, we mixed. i just went out and back to some sleet. had it all been snow then probably would have had a couple of more inches. when it was all snow it just poured down and accumulated quickly. then it would mix and eh it usually happens here. all in all though any snow imby at or above 2" i consider a pretty good storm. and everything is covered and sure looks like winter lol Really tough storm to predict storm for northeast GA. There has been a pretty pesky inverted trough & thermal ridge that has made northeast Georgia one of the warmest spots relative to latitude for this event. It's just hard sometimes with these weaker synoptic systems, where the cold air bleeds around the Appalachians, but areas directly S of the highest peaks suffer because they can't take advantage of the CAA northwesterly flow that NW Georgia receives, nor the CAA northeasterly CAD flow that the Carolinas receive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, cbmclean said: So what caused the WAA when it was not being predicted previously. Did the track of the low track further inland? It wasn't picked up by the big global models! But rumblings of warm nose and waa, started showing up a day or two ago, on hi res models like NAM and such Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, cbmclean said: So what caused the WAA when it was not being predicted previously? Did the track of the low track further inland? It's a known bias in modeling. We all just try to ignore it leading up to an event. The 800mb warm nose pushing 15 or 20 miles farther than modeled is as dependable as Cold air damning events hanging on much longer than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BG_Slick Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Heavy snow - 26 degrees. Looks like 3 to 4 inches so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 7 minutes ago, weatherheels said: Just measured 3.25" ... gained another inch in the past hour. Been consistently mod snow for the past 2 hours, with some larger flakes for the past 20-30 minutes. I'm too cold to go outside and measure myself. I was estimating somewhere near 4". I'm off Piney Grove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scooter Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, phil882 said: Really tough storm to predict storm for northeast GA. There has been a pretty pesky inverted trough & thermal ridge that has made northeast Georgia one of the warmest spots relative to latitude for this event. It's just hard sometimes with these weaker synoptic systems, where the cold air bleeds around the Appalachians, but areas directly S of the highest peaks suffer because they can't take advantage of the CAA northwesterly flow that NW Georgia receives, nor the CAA northeasterly CAD flow that the Carolinas receive. What's the latest on the Low? When and where do you feel it will cross Florida and start to head up the coast? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Had steady quater sized flakes getting half dollars now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avalanche Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Greensboro, Burlington, Graham, Snow Camp, Eli Whitney all snow. Get to Pittsboro/Farrington/Apex its all sleet. Literally a one mile cutoff from all snow to all sleet. One mile transition zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just pulled off I-95N near Enfield, NC. Heavy sleet accumulating on the roads caused this driver to slide off into a ditch. Thankfully, he's just shaken up. Roads very icy. Temp is 30F Will continue N on 95 to Roanoke Rapids. Then to Suffolk, VA. Onto Virginia Beach area by dawn. Note: I apologize in advance to anyone who I'm not able to respond to while on the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 heaviest snowfall rates I've observed so far - amazing - now, officially below freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, phil882 said: Really tough storm to predict storm for northeast GA. There has been a pretty pesky inverted trough & thermal ridge that has made northeast Georgia one of the warmest spots relative to latitude for this event. It's just hard sometimes with these weaker synoptic systems, where the cold air bleeds around the Appalachians, but areas directly S of the highest peaks suffer because they can't take advantage of the CAA northwesterly flow that NW Georgia receives, nor the CAA northeasterly CAD flow that the Carolinas receive. thanks for the explanation - its not the first time its happened, so i am used to it when i see that "bump" on the snow maps for this area. it has kept the precip from never changing to snow before, so i am pretty happy with what mby received...it fell within my expectations fortunately lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
norcarolinian Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 absolutely pouring! and just 48 hours ago it looked like the Triad was too far north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, drfranklin said: heaviest snowfall rates I've observed so far - amazing - now, officially below freezing Lucky! 33 and rain sleet mix! Sux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, burrel2 said: It's a known bias in modeling. We all just try to ignore it leading up to an event. The 800mb warm nose pushing 15 or 20 miles farther than modeled is as dependable as Cold air damning events hanging on much longer than modeled. Well pooh upon that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Lucky! 33 and rain sleet mix! Sux Dang. I got all snow here. Talk about a game of miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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