HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: the board fave kuchera snow map off 18z nam has a RI to Boston jack, shifting it nw. some 20" spots around TAN. Seems like TAN area has looked favorable since yesterday mornings NW trend began. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 SREF plumes look impressive for SE Ma. Median model output double digit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The point and click forecast shows 14-22" of snow for me. Nice. Good luck in the quest to hit the high end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said: I would bet money that if 00Z holds or comes west more...the WSWs (winter weather products) will all come very west across CT to cover the whole state except N. litchfield. figures....with the exception of the one warning criteria event, i have nickel and dimed my way to 30" ytd...not bad but I would prefer a killer KU, and no small events, to making climo by 1-3" events ecery week...but thats just me... hopefully the westward trends continue and it amps more, hopefully! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 hour ago, Stash said: It's been 2 years here north of ALB since I've had a 6" storm. The ultimate screw zone. 2-4" of slop in April might cripple us at this point. Looks like an exciting storm in ENE though. I'll be in western CT for it, so I hope to see at least a couple inches:) It's almost comical how we seem to be missing them in every way possible. Cirrus clouds sure are pretty. Biggest snow this year 2.4". Last 6"+ storm Feb 2015. On the sidelines of so many of the big coastals over the last decade. We really used to get good storms lol. Alb used to average 63", now were down to 58" and dropping each decade. Looks like a fun storm in SNE. Best of luck to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 congrats Eastern folk and the cape...looks like a nice event incoming!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 my coworker at Warner robins afb said they are shutting down everything...they really cannot handle it down there, shelves of stores absolutely bare, no lie, bare!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 I put this on my blog tonight - some folks might find it interesting. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Snow-Today-and-Snow-Tomorrow-409876535.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I put this on my blog tonight - some folks might find it interesting. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Snow-Today-and-Snow-Tomorrow-409876535.html Thanks Ryan, great read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 11 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I put this on my blog tonight - some folks might find it interesting. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Snow-Today-and-Snow-Tomorrow-409876535.html we like. now the 0z cycle to get another pulse nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I put this on my blog tonight - some folks might find it interesting. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Snow-Today-and-Snow-Tomorrow-409876535.html Awesome write up Ryan, hopefully some fun for us out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Went from watch to advisory snows for my county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Can someone throw the rpm map up? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 From BOX... Only minor tweaks to the forecast this evening, mainly to bring it back in line with observed trends. 18Z GFS and NAM have trended slightly father west with the storm track. However, high resolution continues to advertise a sharp cutoff to the heavy snow along the western edge of the storm. Some concern that winter weather headlines may need to be pushed farther west. We will continue to monitor this situation, and adjust headlines as needed later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Can someone throw the rpm map up? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 And that's using a straight 10:1 i believe.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: And that's using a straight 10:1 i believe.. It's not actually - it is adjusted using their algorithm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Thanks Ryan. It will be interesting to see how it trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!! So Perfectly Sarcastic. "Make Sure..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 25 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I put this on my blog tonight - some folks might find it interesting. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Snow-Today-and-Snow-Tomorrow-409876535.html nice read Ryan, can see how if all the mechanics play out right, could be an overperformer easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!! So Perfectly Sarcastic. "Make Sure..." why and when did we start naming winter storms... ridiculous... Helena, really...how bout Nemo!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 hour ago, Stash said: It's been 2 years here north of ALB since I've had a 6" storm. The ultimate screw zone. 2-4" of slop in April might cripple us at this point. Looks like an exciting storm in ENE though. I'll be in western CT for it, so I hope to see at least a couple inches:) Glad we don't live in Ballston Lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 More importantly than 12+ hour forecasts by the RAP, each RAP cycle for initial hours (e.g. look at 0z timepoint) is trending deeper and more robust with that lobe of vorticity down by Oklahoma... ironically trending towards what the 18z mesos show. That has me more confident in continued NW trend and potential for 8"+ totals for Boston metro.Thanks, I find your posts invaluable. We need more nowcast analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, tavwtby said: why and when did we start naming winter storms... ridiculous... Helena, really...how bout Nemo!! I know people hate TWC naming systems, but I am in the minority that actually like it. For example I road tripped to NE for Nemo & Juno. I couldn't tell you the dates of those storms, but I can tell you the names. Just like last year's Jan blizzard was Jonas. As for the names themselves, Nemo? Meh, but the actual naming I am cool with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanInWayland Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Glad we don't live in Ballston Lake. The weird thing is that when I was growing up just west of Albany (late 60s-early 80s), there seemed to be no shortage of snowstorms. About the only really snow-diminished winter I can remember was 79-80. Moved to Boston full-time in 85 and all the storms seemed to shift with me. Can't remember the last time my parents said they got walloped by a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 RPM was relatively underwhelming. Great DISCO, Ryan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 42 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I put this on my blog tonight - some folks might find it interesting. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Snow-Today-and-Snow-Tomorrow-409876535.html Fantastic discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, SeanInWayland said: The weird thing is that when I was growing up just west of Albany (late 60s-early 80s), there seemed to be no shortage of snowstorms. About the only really snow-diminished winter I can remember was 79-80. Moved to Boston full-time in 85 and all the storms seemed to shift with me. Can't remember the last time my parents said they got walloped by a big storm. I wonder if global warming is shifting the storm track more seaward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanInWayland Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wonder if global warming is shifting the storm track more seaward. My guess is that storm patterns just go through a multi-year cycle of their own for reasons not completely understood. I remember one of the Albany mets talking about Miller A storms, and saying they used to be commonplace but then they kind of went away, and he hadn't seen a true one since the early '60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, SeanInWayland said: My guess is that storm patterns just go through a multi-year cycle of their own for reasons not completely understood. I remember one of the Albany mets talking about Miller A storms, and saying they used to be commonplace but then they kind of went away, and he hadn't seen a true one since the early '60s. Well, we know that is true...there are multidecadal trends, but the instance rate of blockbuster coastals going back 20+ years is undeniable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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