weatherfreeeeak Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: We gon' get NAM'd, y'all. One of my favorite things in winter to look forward to LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: Not quite, and it is probably too amped. Although coastal NJ should watch this closely. Like everyone said for Jonas LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Nam 12k both waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 E Li gets crushed. NYC gets a solid moderate hit. With trends like this, it's nor far from a SECS for the 95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, mimillman said: Not quite, and it is probably too amped. Although coastal NJ should watch this closely. This is 15 to 1 .5 gets you 7 .75 gets you 11 Look aloft , dont look at the precip algos , those increase Miller A s that do this will find an inch of liquid very close to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Nice NW move with the precip. 00z 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Nam 12k both waves 50 -75 miles tomorrow to the West and you have yourself 224 in the suburbs and we're looking at 4 to 8 in New York City and over a foot on Eastern Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 That is all we can ask for at the moment, is for the trend to continue in our favor. We also need to look at other things besides precipitation maps and what happens at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, PB GFI said: This is 15 to 1 .5 gets you 7 .75 gets you 11 Look aloft , dont look at the precip algos , those increase Miller A s that do this will find an inch of liquid very close to NYC. 2 Things: 1) I am looking aloft. I like the strength of the shortwave, but I think it digs too far south at its latitude with not enough amplification of the PNA ridge. This has much more potential for Boston as it catches the later development, and their longitude will help immensely. 2) It's the NAM. P.S. Someone in SE Virginia will see snowfall rates exceeding 2"/hour at the peak of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, nyblizz44 said: 50 -75 miles tomorrow to the West and you have yourself 224 in the suburbs and we're looking at 4 to 8 in New York City and over a foot on Eastern Long Island I'm leaving for chattham tomorrow afternoon, was waiting till tonight's runs to see, gonna head up for the weekend since I'm out of work with an Injury lol #superweenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Sold! Looks like a solid 3-6 for the area on the NAM. More on eastern LI...now all we need is more support. Nice trend on models last 12 hours or so nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, mimillman said: 2 Things: 1) I am looking aloft. I like the strength of the shortwave, but I think it digs too far south at its latitude with not enough amplification of the PNA ridge. This has much more potential for Boston as it catches the later development, and their longitude will help immensely. 2) It's the NAM. Look at the 250 mb jet streak that is showing you where its headed. The STJ connection is why this is so wet , you are getting a PNA spike so there are height falls up the EC This is 6 to 12 from the city E . Ratios are 15 to 1 and youre snowing in the teens . Highest totals E. I dont even look at a precip grid the VVs show me where the max will go off . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, PB GFI said: Look at the 250 mb jet streak that is showing you where its headed. The STJ connection is why this is so wet , you are getting a PNA spike so there are height falls up the EC This is 6 to 12 from the city E . Highest totals W . I dont even look at a precip grid the VVs show me where the max will go off . We will see where the rest of the suite comes in. Are you a trader? Because you talk like a trader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, PB GFI said: Look at the 250 mb jet streak that is showing you where its headed. The STJ connection is why this is so wet , you are getting a PNA spike so there are height falls up the EC This is 6 to 12 from the city E . Ratios are 15 to 1 and youre snowing in the teens . Highest totals E. I dont even look at a precip grid the VVs show me where the max will go off . If Nam were correct I think anyone from central to eastern Long Island would be 12-15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4k both waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: If Nam were correct I think anyone from central to eastern Long Island would be 12-15" Agree . I am looking for .5 to 75 KNYC and 1 on LI But yeh AC to ELI thats not out of the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: We will see where the rest of the suite comes in. Are you a trader? Because you talk like a trader. Yes Equity derivatives. Index and listed volatilty arbitrage . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4k Nam is about 4 inches for the area 3K Nam is coming in great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: 4k Nam is about 4 inches for the area 3K Nam is coming in great Better than 4K? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, PB GFI said: Yes Equity derivatives. Index and listed volatilty arbitrage . I so knew it haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 JB posted about 1967 saying it was close to this event...Close is only good in horse shoes and hand grenades...There was a CBS TV weather man in 1975 that was gone right after he predicted a major storm up the eastern seaboard that gave NYC less than one inch...It was on January 20th, 1975...He was gun ho on a big storm...I forgot his name...I lived thru 1967 and would like to see that again...I was seventeen and it was a very good winter...February 1967 had one day torch's and snow the next day or same day in one case... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 6, 2017 Author Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, PaEasternWX said: Better than 4K? It's the weenie version of a bad model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, Rjay said: It's the weenie version of a bad model Insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Rjay said: It's the weenie version of a bad model Looks like a weenie model to me . I ignore it until I see it win one . It had 5 to 6 in Dec WAA onto LI 3 fell The 12k is enough . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Remember its the NAM...showed 4-5" for tonight's snow 2 days ago. Keep that in mind. The NAM being the NAM, which is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 34 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Nam 12k both waves Hopefully E LI does well... Don't think they have seen much of anything so far this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I know everyone likes to see pretty colors on snowmaps in their backyard, but this was a good run overall. looked a bit better aloft and came NW. the event is still like 36-42 hours away... long way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, snywx said: 9 minutes ago, snywx said: Hopefully E LI does well... Don't think they have seen much of anything so far this season we had about 4 inches last storm, and I think half inch before that. I can't remember how many storms we have had lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: lol.. you had 1 storm. Hopefully you guys do well though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.