snywx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, gravitylover said: On this is seems to be creeping north still http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0Q-1-24# Its most likely gonna start to orient itself in a more NE fashion. So basically from SW-NE. Those 10-15 miles W of the Hudson north of the NY/NJ line should be safe and if they do mix its prob gonna be brief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 6.2 ....Would really like better snow growth than this although its gotten a bitb etter over the past half hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, West Mtn NY said: 6.2 ....Would really like better snow growth than this although its gotten a bitb etter over the past half hour snow growth has been outstanding at my house...snow over an inch an hour I would guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 24 minutes ago, gravitylover said: So I'm reading those yellow echoes headed this way as sleet, is that right? nope, it's snow my dad is under it and he says it's crushing. can't wait for it to get up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I think some of that is legitimately just very heavy precip rates moving in. CC is usually a better tool to use than base reflectivity, when available. Could be, vis here just dropped as that heavy wave came in but at the same time I started to hear it bouncing off the front of the house. Seems like graupel mixed in with very heavy snow and the wind is howling. Guess it's time to get dressed and go out and get this cold or whatever I've got knocked out of me because if it does change to sleet it's gonna get super heavy, might as well move a bunch of it first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Animal said: snow growth has been outstanding at my house...snow over an inch an hour I would guess. I've had exactly 1.4" every hour since 5 am. Not a bad base state for when the real banding sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 A little OT but wow, Binghamton is getting pounded in a stationary deformation band. 2/3" liquid already with good ratios. I bet someone just west of town already has nearly a foot OTG. ALB is getting off to a fast start too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 22° w/ moderate snow 8.5" otg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I just finished the first round of shoveling the driveway. Probably 6-7 inches so far. Strong start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Picked up in intensity here. Still small granules. 5" otg. 27.7f. beautiful out. Birds chirping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 8.8 inches here 20.1 degrees but intensity ATM underwhelming. If I get subsidence I will do everything in my power to have the word banned from the English language. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 death band has arrived. winds have picked up. 21F. Moderate snow, but should be in heavy snow shortly. 8.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I think the heavy stuff is here I can't see a block now, wind is still howling @ NNE?ENE, temp is 24* and there is still a mysterious firm substance pounding the front of the house along with the intensely heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 this is where we get out 24-30" totals if so. 4" hr rates per hour in warren county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 All the bust talk in the main thread is ridiculous. You would have thought they didn't expect a changeover! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Ladies and gentlemen... The death band of death bands is incoming! 53dbz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 7 inches, heavy snow, couple good wind gusts in the past half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 14 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: 8.8 inches here 20.1 degrees but intensity ATM underwhelming. If I get subsidence I will do everything in my power to have the word banned from the English language. This lull from 7-9 am was pretty well forecast by the HRRR and high-res NAM... we had a strong start from the broad-scale ascent early this morning, and the incoming coastal low dynamics look to be on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: This lull from 7-9 am was pretty well forecast by the HRRR and high-res NAM... we had a strong start from the broad-scale ascent early this morning, and the incoming coastal low dynamics look to be on track. Everything looks to be on track so far. 10-12" from the initial push, once the banding sets up thats when we rack up from 11am onward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Not long before the main show now. Visibility definitely starting to drop. I am super pumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: This lull from 7-9 am was pretty well forecast by the HRRR and high-res NAM... we had a strong start from the broad-scale ascent early this morning, and the incoming coastal low dynamics look to be on track. Good call I'm in the heavy stuff now and wind is nuts. i'd estimate 2 inch per hour rates currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 look at that pivot too.. wow we will be ripping for the next several hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Looks to be a area of subsidence forming between heavier precip between NYC and Binghamton area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, nesussxwx said: look at that pivot too.. wow we will be ripping for the next several hours Yes once the storm reaches S NJ its gonna start to slow down and pretty much drift till about 5pm or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Snow/wind has dramatically increased in the last 15 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The high reflectivities represent an area of high moisture content and possibly some rimmed flakes. It's indicative of strong WAA in advance of the SLP. Should be some large aggregates and very high hourly QPF. But probably not better than 10:1. Actually, it might look a lot like the 2010 snowacane for a while, though probably a few degrees colder. The really good ratio snow, and probably biggest totals, are currently setting up in NEPA. But the HV should have more blizzard type conditions, which is ultimately probably more fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 getting hammered..near white out conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, eduggs said: The high reflectivities represent an area of high moisture content and possibly some rimmed flakes. It's indicative of strong WAA in advance of the SLP. Should be some large aggregates and very high hourly QPF. But probably not better than 10:1. Actually, it might look a lot like the 2010 snowacane for a while, though probably a few degrees colder. The really good ratio snow, and probably biggest totals, are currently setting up in NEPA. But the HV should have more blizzard type conditions, which is ultimately probably more fun. Finally a storm that pays to be west! haven't seen one of these in a long time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Ripping. big flakes, looks like a blizzard out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WIN Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Animal said: getting hammered..near white out conditions. Same here, absolutely ripping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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