Cold Rain Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Somebody map us before quitting time, please, so we can go home on a good note! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 nearly a foot for rdu, ~10" down near clt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NW shift yet again, don't know why the precip lowered. Can see the warm and cold front better on the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Hug the GFS! Rock solid! Good GSP lick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I'm just going to leave this right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Somebody map us before quitting time, please! Her you go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 GFS just took a hatchet to my QPF. 12z said over .6" while 18z said about .2". Meanwhile the NAM swings north. This one is maddening for us on the fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, MotoWeatherman said: GFS just took a hatchet to my QPF. 12z said over .6" while 18z said about .2". Meanwhile the NAM swings north. This one is maddening for us on the fringe. GFS ticked north. Don't fret over the QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: NW shift yet again, don't know why the precip lowered. Can see the warm and cold front better on the 18z. The 12z looks more NW than the 18z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, burgertime said: Her you go... Thank you sir! And thanks to Poimen too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 FWIW the RGEM and the GFS are almost identical for RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, burgertime said: Her you go... GFS literally says "Here's your snow Atlanta! Screw everyone else in GA.". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, skbl17 said: GFS isn't that bad for the south ATL metro (still a decent 2-5"), but I'm not liking the upswing in ice accumulation over the last few GFS runs. yeah...the area that gets the freezing rain is small but the gfs suggests it's pretty significant..especially the 12z run...with a max of 0.70. rgem is second, and nam is 3rd but even those show potentially 0.25 to 0.30. quite a wide variety of weather with this one and big differences over short distances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 GFS just double downed. What a run. NAM is really on an island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 That stupid warm nose over northeast Georgia needs to get lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 12z (top) vs 18z (bottom) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bargainmusic Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Cary_Snow95 said: 12z (top) vs 18z (bottom) I like the 12z a lot better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: GFS just double downed. What a run. NAM is really on an island. And the GFS isn't? You might say the Ukie is close, but it appears nearly every major model is close to being on an island right now. Euro, NAM and GFS, all differ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: 12z (top) vs 18z (bottom) Almost a mirror image ..18z a little less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Wow! GFS double-dog dared the NAM to put it's tongue on the flag pole in the Triangle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 12 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: NW shift yet again, don't know why the precip lowered. Can see the warm and cold front better on the 18z. Low is just a tad weaker, perhaps? Enough to make a difference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 6 minutes ago, Lookout said: yeah...the area that gets the freezing rain is small but the gfs suggests it's pretty significant..especially the 12z run...with a max of 0.70. rgem is second, and nam is 3rd but even those show potentially 0.25 to 0.30. quite a wide variety of weather with this one and big differences over short distances. There is screaming WSW flow 750-850mb, the models always underestimate the warmth from that. I could see ATL being sleet way longer than expected and also becoming frozen earlier than expected. The RGME has FZRA in ATL 15-20Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Really thought early on in the run QPF would be pretty similar to 12z if not a little more over NE GA and WNC but for some reason that didn't translate to the surface. .5-.6 less IMBY on the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, CaryWx said: Wow! GFS double-dog dared the NAM to put it's tongue on the flag pole in the Triangle! Not backing down that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 14 minutes ago, Poimen said: I'm just going to leave this right here. Check please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Liquid Equiv amounts....razor tight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, MotoWeatherman said: GFS just took a hatchet to my QPF. 12z said over .6" while 18z said about .2". Meanwhile the NAM swings north. This one is maddening for us on the fringe. tell me about it. it's been maddening for me too because of temps. If you are in the atlanta/athens/gainesville triangle consider yourself lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The tight swath is the only thing that concerns. It definitely appears the GFS lightened the load for metro Atlanta, but if you cut a bit of that off, it somewhat matches the others. I think it is safe at this point we aren't going to see a total collapse, but the models are having a hard time picking up on totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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