ncskywarn Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 No one has said anything but I'm guessing the NAM still has serious mixing issues over Wake County? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Transition line is emerging in the Triangle on the CC (I think) http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=RAX-N0C-0-24# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 I hate you @Cold Rain I hate the nam more though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 The paranormal NAM is even drunker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: I'm not gonna call no names but a Met with Initals JB said He thought models would correct west for several days!! then that NAM run last night he said he could believe it. Some on here laugh and said he sucked. Well guess what they shifted west...................... Guess he didn't suck all that bad with this storm. huh!! Yep he did call it. He gets a bad rap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderwolf Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Monster freezing rain totals on the HRRR in eastern NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Pilotwx said: Yep he did call it. He gets a bad rap I think the ones who said he sucked, is sucking rain now!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 My fellow bulldog @msuwx is lurking here....chime in man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mryanwilkes Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 This may have already been addressed and/or asked, but I can't find it. Is the low sitting near Savannah (and has been stationary for a while) the one we were expecting to develop? I thought one was forming off the LA coast. Did that materialize? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, No snow for you said: I hate you @Cold Rain I hate the nam more though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, QC_Halo said: My fellow bulldog @msuwx is lurking here....chime in man. Not a whole lot to add. I've got to hit the bed to be on the air dark and early. Interstate 85 Corridor just has to continue to be patient. Changeover should occur and still expect generous amounts. Raleigh area has been and remains extremely tricky to see how this will play out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 21 minutes ago, Pluffmud said: Wow..is that snow line extending down further south in South Carolina? No, looks it, but it's rain and a little sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 WRAL seems to be calling a lot less than others, especially when you take in account the model runs now. They kind of chickened out by saying somet places will get 6+ and not really making a call, though. But they have most of NC as 4 to 6. Other TV nets are saying 6 to 10 and 8 to 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odell.moton Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Snowing good in Greer Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, mryanwilkes said: This may have already been addressed and/or asked, but I can't find it. Is the low sitting near Savannah (and has been stationary for a while) the one we were expecting to develop? I thought one was forming off the LA coast. Did that materialize? There is a diffuse elongated low in the Gulf. Weak, still till trying to get organized. It has oozed east north east over the last several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 @burgertime checked in...cursed Charlotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: WRAL seems to be calling a lot less than others, especially when you take in account the model runs now. They kind of chickened out by saying somet places will get 6+ and not really making a call, though. But they have most of NC as 4 to 6. Other TV nets are saying 6 to 10 and 8 to 12. Do you see the rain outside? Raleigh proper, including your area, had 3.5" by 1am per Euro. That ain't happening, we can start chopping off those big totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: Do you see the rain outside? Raleigh proper, including your area, had 3.5" by 1am per Euro. That ain't happening, we can start chopping off those big totals. Naw man...WRAL is just chicken. That's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 GSP Discussion... Locations above about 1500`, and roughly along and north of an axis from Rutherfordton, to Lincolnton, to Salisbury in NC will be solidly snow, while after an initial bout of rain and perhaps sleet, a transition to snow is expected to occur down to near the I-85 corridor by midnight or so. South of there, considerable uncertainty lingers regarding the timing of a transition, as wet bulb temps from Anderson to Union to Chester SC are lingering near 40 degrees, and there is not expected to be a tremendous push of cold surface air into these areas over the next few hours. In fact we`re beginning to get concerned that those areas won`t see any significant near-surface cooling until the moisture begins to shift east of the area. We will wait for the event to unfold a little more (and await 00Z guidance) before making any radical changes to the forecast and products, but confidence that the warning will work out over the southern half of the Upstate and northeast GA is beginning to slip. Confidence is higher along the I-85 corridor, but considering the warm nose indicated on special 18Z Raob from KFFC, and the fact that sfc temps are going to need to drop another couple of degrees before the transition to snow occurs, am concerned that initially rain, followed perhaps by sleet, will cut into the snow accums in those areas. Meanwhile, forecast confidence remains high for locations north of the I-85 corridor. Expect there will be some banding overnight with frontogenetical forcing and slant-wise instability developing, so locally higher amounts than the 4-8 inches forecast in these areas will certainly be possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 still ridin' the 85 line - cement and flakes! (apologies - this needs to be moved to the obs or deleted) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Officially sleet near uptown Charlotte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, griteater said: GSP Discussion... Locations above about 1500`, and roughly along and north of an axis from Rutherfordton, to Lincolnton, to Salisbury in NC will be solidly snow, while after an initial bout of rain and perhaps sleet, a transition to snow is expected to occur down to near the I-85 corridor by midnight or so. South of there, considerable uncertainty lingers regarding the timing of a transition, as wet bulb temps from Anderson to Union to Chester SC are lingering near 40 degrees, and there is not expected to be a tremendous push of cold surface air into these areas over the next few hours. In fact we`re beginning to get concerned that those areas won`t see any significant near-surface cooling until the moisture begins to shift east of the area. We will wait for the event to unfold a little more (and await 00Z guidance) before making any radical changes to the forecast and products, but confidence that the warning will work out over the southern half of the Upstate and northeast GA is beginning to slip. Confidence is higher along the I-85 corridor, but considering the warm nose indicated on special 18Z Raob from KFFC, and the fact that sfc temps are going to need to drop another couple of degrees before the transition to snow occurs, am concerned that initially rain, followed perhaps by sleet, will cut into the snow accums in those areas. Meanwhile, forecast confidence remains high for locations north of the I-85 corridor. Expect there will be some banding overnight with frontogenetical forcing and slant-wise instability developing, so locally higher amounts than the 4-8 inches forecast in these areas will certainly be possible. How does this affect CLT? How are you doing? I thought your area would be killing it by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 33 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: What is taking so long for the boundary to cool down here? Just residual warmth taking time to wash out. Models showed it would cool down north to south between 7pm-11pm. As this precip moves in I expect it will cool more rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, packbacker said: How does this affect CLT? How are you doing? I thought your area would be killing it by now. Just got first frozen precip in form of sleet about 10min ago. FYI I'm close to uptown...the Yankees in near mooresville had frozen hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, RaleighWx said: Just residual warmth taking time to wash out. Models showed it would cool down north to south between 7pm-11pm. As this precip moves in I expect it will cool more rapidly. Awesome. Thanks very much and enjoy your snow and sleet and snow and whatever winter fun you guys are having up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Is the precip back in Alabama the rest for Georgia? Or is this thing supposed to explode and bring more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 34 minutes ago, SouthWake33 said: Thanks Alan. Has the temp profile changed on the Nam...moved further south at all? Or are we just looking at an increase in moisture? It looks like the snow (no ice) increased over Wake county some, so perhaps cooled a bit. havent examined sounding outside my back yard though yet. Here the model shows a 2-3 hour period of sleet later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 15 minutes ago, msuwx said: Not a whole lot to add. I've got to hit the bed to be on the air dark and early. Interstate 85 Corridor just has to continue to be patient. Changeover should occur and still expect generous amounts. Raleigh area has been and remains extremely tricky to see how this will play out Thanks Matt. Go State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, RaleighWx said: Just residual warmth taking time to wash out. Models showed it would cool down north to south between 7pm-11pm. As this precip moves in I expect it will cool more rapidly. Thanks Allan. Daughter in grad school at Chapel Hill says they have sleet/snow mix going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, ST21 said: Is the precip back in Alabama the rest for Georgia? Or is this thing supposed to explode and bring more? I was just taking a look at the radars to the west and unless something starts backbuilding in a big hurry, that's gonna be it for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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