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Winter Storm 1/6 - 1/8, 2017


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1 minute ago, packbacker said:

Well here is the meteo for Raleigh, just NW it may be all snow and just SE may be all sleet.  I feel like if you bisect Wake Co, the NW half will be mostly snow and the SE will be 50/50 mix.  Well atleast I hope I am 50/50 sleet.  Verbatim this is showing 4-6" of snow/sleet.  Pretty much a Jan 96 or 10 gradient.  We don't have HP in the perfect spot, which is what we need for all snow.

Screen Shot 2017-01-06 at 10.25.24 AM.png

It's definitely going to be tough to watch tonight.   I grew up in Fayetteville and I always got so angry because when we got 2 inches of rain Wake County would get 6 inches of snow. I would get stuck going to school when kids in the triangle we're out for a week. I was always jealous of kids that lived in Raleigh but now not so much.   Can't it go just a little more SE, just a tad bit?  25 miles  seriously isn't asking for that much!

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The 12z GFS goes with a HKY-GSO-RIC jackpot, with QPF not quite as prolific as the short range models (probably more realistic).  Biggest totals (maybe around a foot) just NW of ORF to the southern tip of the Delmarva Peninsula.  CLT-proper (as in the airport) looks good, I think, but mixing would definitely be an issue S/E of town, and maybe in town.

Oh, there's also a secondary jackpot in Franklin's neck of the woods in the SW NC mountains.

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Just now, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

Southern Upslope areas would likely cash in very good as well. 6-7"+ for Southern Jackson, Transylvania and most of Henderson I would assume.

It's more 10-12 off the 12z gfs. It's probably over done but the nam, rgem, sref and now the gfs have over .6 inches in southern macon, jackson, and transylvania counties.

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Just now, franklin NCwx said:

It's more 10-12 off the 12z gfs. It's probably over done but the nam, rgem, sref and now the gfs have over .6 inches in southern macon, jackson, and transylvania counties.

I saw what the model said, I'm just going with what I think will be realistic for those areas. 10-12" in the Balsams and atop Mt. Pisgah is very likely.

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So the cutoff line had Beaufort County getting around 10 inches now we might not see a dusting. I'm my sure why I get excited about these things. It seems to always show snow for us and then the line moves NW. I was looking forward to it but good luck to everyone. Be safe.

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