Met1985 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The precip field seems to grow as the low moves across the south. Very nice run and coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Time for Greenvile, NC to jackpot this run I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Like this solution just as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, Queencitywx said: Like this solution just as much. For GA I like this run MUCH better. 850's are no issue and ICE is not nearly as much of a threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, Queencitywx said: Like this solution just as much. Yep. This is a powdery snow with temps in the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Yep just as I expected sweet spot is south of RDU and eastern NC, just based off the 500mb vorticity and shortwave dig you can tell where the maximum will end up. I hope the Euro bites tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Its a thing of beauty, to bad its five days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Wow said: Yep. This is a powdery snow with temps in the teens. Indeed... we might not have as much QPF in some areas as 12z did, but ratios should be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Nice southern slider! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Atlanta to Columbia to I-95 is the max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Now if we can get the EC on board with something similar we'd all be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, MotoWeatherman said: For GA I like this run MUCH better. 850's are no issue and ICE is not nearly as much of a threat. Atlanta and north stays almost all snow. Dream run. 850's look great for North Georgia. As you say, we avoid the catastrophic ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Wow said: Atlanta to Columbia to I-95 is the max A full 24+ hours of snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, MotoWeatherman said: For GA I like this run MUCH better. 850's are no issue and ICE is not nearly as much of a threat. unless you are in SOUTH georgia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The fact that the Euro, CMC, and Ukie are all suppressed and GFS has trended more southern as well tells me someone in the SE is going to get a pretty nice snow this weekend. It's hard to see this trending towards a Mid-Atlantic or NE snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, jrips27 said: Atlanta and north stays almost all snow. Dream run. 850's look great for North Georgia. As you say, we avoid the catastrophic ice. The 850 line never reaches the ATL. This would be a fantastic daytime snow with temps in the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, Wow said: Yep. This is a powdery snow with temps in the teens. I'll always take my chance with colder air and less QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, jrips27 said: Atlanta and north stays almost all snow. Dream run. 850's look great for North Georgia. As you say, we avoid the catastrophic ice. Just need the euro to come on board. I have seen though where the gfs has won the snowstorm battle over the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, Lookout said: unless you are in SOUTH georgia True...LOL. I've got some wiggle room up here. I've go room for a south trend and a north trend and stay safe. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 OK, so here's the deal. As the vort exits Rockies into the Plains, it is slightly less sharp on the 18z vs. the 12z. This is largely due to it 'feeling' the effects of the northern branch more this run. The net result this time around is a system that is a little further south, slightly weaker, and colder compared to the 12z. Here's the cause for concern. You can clearly see there is much more trough interaction with the northern branch trough and our vort at hour 120 on the 18z vs. the 12z. This could possibly be an indication that this is beginning to lean in the direction of the Euro scenario of the trough coming out in one piece. Maybe, maybe not. But to me, it's a warning shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 6 minutes ago, packfan98 said: Time for Greenvile, NC to jackpot this run I think. 5 days out jackpotting is a bad thing. Not to mention this morning we good then at 12z not so much now back to being good. Meanwhile this model is the one most meteorological offices are really not putting much weight behind. Nothing to get excited about IMO until the other models start hinting at this type of solution with no real northern trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Wow said: Atlanta to Columbia to I-95 is the max Northern CAE area....mby still looks icy from these crappy maps on my phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Tv mets talking about system on live tv GSP area. Says it's going to be either rain or snow event. One model has a lot of snow one has a little snow. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Northern CAE area....mby still looks icy from these crappy maps on my phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 So, I am guessing we get a little more snow here this run :+) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 I'm down with the GFS. Do we still have the first system or is that done for now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 OK, so here's the deal. As the vort exits Rockies into the Plains, it is slightly less sharp on the 18z vs. the 12z. This is largely due to it 'feeling' the effects of the northern branch more this run. The net result this time around is a system that is a little further south, slightly weaker, and colder compared to the 12z. Here's the cause for concern. You can clearly see there is much more trough interaction with the northern branch trough and our vort at hour 120 on the 18z vs. the 12z. This could possibly be an indication that this is beginning to lean in the direction of the Euro scenario of the trough coming out in one piece. Maybe, maybe not. But to me, it's a warning shot.Thanks for the thoughts Matt! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, Cold Rain said: I'm down with the GFS. Do we still have the first system or is that done for now? Further North... Mid Atlantic gets the first wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Pretty huge step towards the EURO, as Matthew pointed out. Lots of stream interaction this time. This time tomorrow we'll just be praying for the SLP to be north of Jacksonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, Cold Rain said: I'm down with the GFS. Do we still have the first system or is that done for now? A dusting from the Triad North and East on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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