wncsnow Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 Most of the rain looks to be out by mid day Saturday, Sunday/Monday should be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 By the following weekend, we should be back to rainy conditions, with that slop in the gulf moving this way and watching Irma ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 Last couple UKIE runs are putting down a solid 3'' to 4'' across west/central NC in the next 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: Last couple UKIE runs are putting down a solid 3'' to 4'' across west/central NC in the next 72 hours. GEFS mean agrees... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobNC Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 The Canadian model has temperatures in the low 50s reaching down to the gulf coast on Sep 9, possibly 30s in WNC (morning). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 Drier more seasonable summer-like temperatures return Sunday into the early part of next week. The next chance of rain/storms arrive will approach the area late Tuesday night into Wednesday, with the arrival of a high amplitude trough and attendant cold front from the west, which will likely play a critical role in the eventual track of TC Irma as it moves into the Western Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 Euro precip tonight thru Saturday. Precip ends west to east Friday aftn/eve thru early Sat. morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 13 minutes ago, griteater said: Euro precip tonight thru Saturday. Precip ends west to east Friday aftn/eve thru early Sat. morning The temperatures differences and changes are going to be crazy as well. The higher rain totals you show is mostly likely the battle ground for the wedge front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 If that trough turns out to be the real deal you can write off Irma as a Bahama Mama cuz thats as far west as she gets.......unless, God forbid, it pushes her south into the gulf. We just need an end to tropical season at this point. Bring on the frosty mornings and hot chocolate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 The NAM has generally been north with the precip shield, and just as in winter, I would expect this to be the ground truth, rather than the more southerly and moisture-laden GFS/GEM/ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Models are down to 2.5 " , down from 3+ earlier today! This " event" is starting to falter, like the last 5-10 have! had about .08 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 The last time Charlotte saw below normal temperatures for Sep was 2006. That's currently the longest above normal streak for any month of the year. The latest NOAA and CFS projections give us a shot at breaking the streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 9 minutes ago, griteater said: The last time Charlotte saw below normal temperatures for Sep was 2006. That's currently the longest above normal streak for any month of the year. The latest NOAA and CFS projections give us a shot at breaking the streak. Don't waste the below normal months Grit. Keep em till January please, then whip em out. Last week or so has felt like September. Looking forward to fall this year, favorite season around here for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gman Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 21 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Models are down to 2.5 " , down from 3+ earlier today! This " event" is starting to falter, like the last 5-10 have! had about .08 so far You must live in a dry pocket of Greenville County. The forecasts have been spot on for me. I'm at 0.85" today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted September 1, 2017 Share Posted September 1, 2017 Models this afternoon and evening are showing rain chances evaporating for central NC too. Just not in the right part of the storm to really get much precip, unfortunately. As for the longer range, CFS has been a bit jumpy, but it's at least showing what'll likely be slightly above normal for central NC. Same with August, where we ended up just a hair above normal (thanks to the breaks in the clouds today), and it was forecasting around normal to slightly below. Certainly a good bit better than last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Mid week flooding and storms? RAH: Regardless, deep moisture will increase by mid-week, such that precipitable water values around 2 inches (+/- a quarter inch from east to west) will have overspread the Carolinas by Wed. This deeply moist environment in deep swly flow aloft will favor the development of bands of training convection, with a primary risk of heavy rain/flooding from Wed through the frontal passage timing early Thu or early Fri. In addition, bulk shear values will also be favorably strong to support a risk of strong-severe storms; and the unidirectional character of the flow (long, straight forecast hodographs) oriented parallel to the surface front would favor a mostly linear storm mode, with an accompanying risk of strong to dmgg straight line wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 So, it looks like no more 90s this year for many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 With the hurricane most have overlooked the beautiful weather we're going to have the next 4-5 days. Some might even see their first 40s for lows: .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 345 PM Wednesday... High pressure will build into central NC Thursday and Thursday night, initiating a seasonably mild and dry period. Afternoon high temperatures will average 6-8 degrees below normal, ranging from the mid 70s NW to around 80 SE. Notably cooler most locations Thursday night with most places 50-55. May see a few upper 40s in the normally colder locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 It's true, I walked out of my RTP office this afternoon into air that was cooler outside than it had been indoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/4/2017 at 11:44 AM, WinstonSalemArlington said: So, it looks like no more 90s this year for many of us. Yep summer is over with here in Triad for sure. Probably get a few Indian summer days before Sept winds down where we kiss 80 a time or two. But we start the trend down here mid Sept climo wise and the pattern this year definitely supports the idea we've had our last 90 degree day in Triad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Been awesome for late August and early September!! Loving it, Windows open, ac off, and feeling like early October! Can't beat it fir this time of year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Temps are dropping steadily tonight. RDU is forecast to get down to 53, but we have a DP of 46 and calm winds with no clouds and it's already 57 (as of 11). Would be surprised to hit 50 or maybe our first upper 40s, assuming those conditions don't change. CFS keeps things cool to near normal for the next two-three weeks. After that, it's calling for a warmer October. November and December are mixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 GFS says return to summer starting this weekend, YUCK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 On September 11, 2017 at 10:48 PM, Iceagewhereartthou said: GFS says return to summer starting this weekend, YUCK! Yeah, loving the upcoming 7-10 day streak of upper 80s! #FALLFAIL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 On 9/11/2017 at 10:48 PM, Iceagewhereartthou said: GFS says return to summer starting this weekend, YUCK! 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, loving the upcoming 7-10 day streak of upper 80s! #FALLFAIL Be interesting for how long, GEFS hinting at eastern trough again with some sort of pac low. This has been the dominate pattern since early August. Be nice if this continued through March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 3 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, loving the upcoming 7-10 day streak of upper 80s! #FALLFAIL This coming week looks a bit torchy for most of us. Hopefully it won't hit 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 Heading that way. Local started us out with mid 80s , then went up a degree each day. Saw an 89 forecast, so it might happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 Still cooler than last September. We have some double digit below normal days in the early part of the month that probably won't be undone with a bunch of +2s and +3s, with some +8s sprinkled in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 9 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Heading that way. Local started us out with mid 80s , then went up a degree each day. Saw an 89 forecast, so it might happen. Yep, just keeps going and going! My upper 70's for the weekend are now mid 80s! Uggh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Yay! 90 degrees tomorrow and 90 on next Wednesday , a smattering of mid to upper 80s, 20% chance of rain tomorrow , havnt had rain since Irma and looks to be an additional 10-15 days from my last rant! I love fall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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