BIG FROSTY Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Ole Clyde is the man. He said not until at least 2nd week of fab feb. I'm afraid Clyde gonna bust, unless he meant 2018Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Check out the Canadian, drops the cold bomb after 174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Well, our winter just got save by our local met!!! She said she expects a few wintry events the last 2 weeks of February! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Out in fantasy land, but doesn't seem like a bad look (or trend) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Well hello 6z GFS and your Feb 10th storm! You go girl! Lots of potential on that one, really! Looks like energy dives towards us from the northwest and tries to pop a low near N FL and then off Carolinas coasts!!?? Money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Well hello 6z GFS and your Feb 10th storm! You go girl! Lots of potential on that one, really! Looks like energy dives towards us from the northwest and tries to pop a low near N FL and then off Carolinas coasts!!?? Money Not a bad look: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 We better get something on the 10th. If the GFS is right the cold air leaves the lower 48 ~ mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 8 minutes ago, FallsLake said: We better get something on the 10th. If the GFS is right the cold air leaves the lower 48 ~ mid month. So much for a Presidents' Day event. That map looks more like April. It's actually kind of alarming to think spring arrives in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 7 hours ago, packbacker said: Keep waiting to see a run where trailing sw amplifies and we get a patented day 8-9 GFS fantasy snow. I agree Pack, this is what to watch. If we can just get that energy on the end to amplify just a tad sooner than the 00z GFS we would be in business. Need the ridge to amplify as well. Just goes neutral way too late otherwise this would have been a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 40 minutes ago, BristowWx said: So much for a Presidents' Day event. That map looks more like April. It's actually kind of alarming to think spring arrives in Feb. GFS always overdoes the cold in long range, maybe it is overdoing the torch! Most likely not!? I thought the 2nd half of Feb, was gonna be rockin!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 So where did this come from? That low off the coast is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 38 minutes ago, Snovary said: So where did this come from? That low off the coast is different. It's there on most runs. Just a late forming low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 The 6z RGEM did come in a little "wetter" with tomorrows system. It now shows some snow for NW NC (0z had nothing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Looks like the wind has shifted a bit north at D10 from yesterday's D10 position: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Looks like the wind has shifted a bit north at D10 from yesterday's D10 position: Yep...the dreaded NW trend happens every time. Remember back in the sixties when we actually had good winds around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 I thought the whole month was gonna torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 10 minutes ago, packfan98 said: Yep...the dreaded NW trend happens every time. Remember back in the sixties when we actually had good winds around here. Yes indeed! And also back in the late 1800s. 1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said: I thought the whole month was gonna torch? That was only after mid-Month, according to Cledus Timothius. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 16 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Looks like the wind has shifted a bit north at D10 from yesterday's D10 position: The bulls eye will be up to Boston before you know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Nice little band of showers on the NAM for tomorrow. The SE winter storms just keep rolling along! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 I'm actually very optimistic about mid and late month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 PNA looks to go +1 in the LR --great AO looks to average -3 or so in the LR --great NAO looks to do what it always does and stay positive --bad as usual So the PNA and AO look even better than yesterday but the NAO has taken a step back; in which yesterday it looked to maybe go slightly negative. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 20 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: I'm actually very optimistic about mid and late month. If I lived in the mountains, I could be excited till April!! but y'all havnt exactly had a stellar year so far! I thought ninas were jam packed with NWSF events!?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 25 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Nice little band of showers on the NAM for tomorrow. The SE winter storms just keep rolling along! You Rollin' doo- doo, you rollllin'! everyone remember that classic 90s jam!? That how we roll, like a doo-doo pie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Twitter is a firestorm today...literally. Not sure I have seen a week 3 of the CFS tweeted out this much, LOL. Winter's over is the theme....maybe we reverse what happened in Jan with the last week cold/snowy and front 3 blowtorch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: You Rollin' doo- doo, you rollllin'! everyone remember that classic 90s jam!? That how we roll, like a doo-doo pie JB has to be curled up in the fetal position this morning. Not sure how he can sugar coat a BN Feb at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 Even if the GFS was to verify in the LR, the SE would not necessarily torch (in terms of way above surface temps). As the whole country is swamped with a warm air mass the predominate wind direction into the SE could still be from the north (as shown on the day 16 GFS). The incoming temps would not be able to support winter storms but would keep the SE closer to normal; as others in the country do torch (relative to normal). We could even see CAD setups (40s an rain). So basically don't expect 70s and 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 26 minutes ago, packbacker said: Twitter is a firestorm today...literally. Not sure I have seen a week 3 of the CFS tweeted out this much, LOL. Winter's over is the theme....maybe we reverse what happened in Jan with the last week cold/snowy and front 3 blowtorch. It's a bit comical that run was available two days ago but respected mets and others are just now posting that forecast recently...that's as bad as cold hypers, but the warm hypers will never be called out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 11 minutes ago, Jon said: It's a bit comical that run was available two days ago but respected mets and others are just now posting that forecast recently...that's as bad as cold hypers, but the warm hypers will never be called out. Glenn Burns! There, all I ever see him post is above normal everything!! He is the Packbacker of SE mets! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 little bit more precip over NC on this run, not much difference but a little more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 2, 2017 Share Posted February 2, 2017 ^^Yep, here's the snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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