Brick Tamland Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 I think it's going to start to get very interesting again a week from now. The good players are coming onto the field. Just have to see if they can get us a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, Poimen said: Parade of clippers on the GFS would establish the cold in the east and set the stage for a big dog down the road! Good point! Lay down the snowpack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Just now, Brick Tamland said: I think it's going to start to get very interesting again a week from now. The good players are coming onto the field. Just have to see if they can get us a win. Mope, gonna do it Cowboys style! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raysum Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 From Bastardi on Twitter....if only if it will come true... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 8 minutes ago, raysum said: From Bastardi on Twitter....if only if it will come true... that would be a thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: that would be a thing of beauty. Nothing like a 45 day snow map, to bring out your inner weenie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 I know those 45 days maps are accurate because the ones that don't bury central NC have Wake County on the boundary haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Mrwolf1972 said: that would be a thing of beauty. Need to check this and see how it lines up with the CRC model. (Cold Rains Cat) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 As stated last night, the GFS at 6z and 12z is just about to hit the Boom button for second half of next week. See if the Doc, Ukie or german model can light the fuse and give us a big phaser. Two posters who are getting ready to strike Gold is Met and Joe. That western facing high elev real-estate is the place to be next couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 42 minutes ago, raysum said: From Bastardi on Twitter....if only if it will come true... These change so much every day they're basically pointless... the one on the top left occurs Jan 29 - Feb 3, FWIW. It will change tomorrow, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raysum Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Jon said: These change so much every day they're basically pointless... the one on the top left occurs Jan 29 - Feb 3, FWIW. It will change tomorrow, though. Agreed, but it is fun to look at and if nothing else shows the potential in the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casualbrain Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 hour ago, raysum said: From Bastardi on Twitter....if only if it will come true... I'll take Panel D Alex for 1000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 44 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: As stated last night, the GFS at 6z and 12z is just about to hit the Boom button for second half of next week. See if the Doc, Ukie or german model can light the fuse and give us a big phaser. Two posters who are getting ready to strike Gold is Met and Joe. That western facing high elev real-estate is the place to be next couple of weeks. Yeah the models look better in my opinion than yesterday. Clipper parade sucks for most but iv seen us get 1 to 2 feet in 3 days with upslope snow. The 12z is a thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 12Z Euro looks pretty good at 240 with Pack's ridge bridge trying to connect. If that could expand, that would be great. Perhaps like the weeklies were putting together the last few runs. If the weeklies hold strong tonight, perhaps that's a sign we're on the right track for February, at least for keeping the -EPO/PNA cold in play. Watching the models spit out nothing but northern stream blanks the whole run doesn't fill be with hope for mby though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 I seriously wouldn't worry about the cold, dry pattern that everybody is talking about. Think about it like this. You will NEVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER get winter weather with this pattern: NEVER NEVER EVER EVER. On the other hand, there are PLENTY of ways you can get winter weather out of this pattern: Don't walk around scraping your chin on the floor because there isn't a 30000 hour snowstorm showing up. Because those work out so well. Give the pattern time to develop in order to see what kind of pattern actually develops before you turn the cat upside down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: I seriously wouldn't worry about the cold, dry pattern that everybody is talking about. Think about it like this. You will NEVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER get winter weather with this pattern: NEVER NEVER EVER EVER. On the other hand, there are PLENTY of ways you can get winter weather out of this pattern: Don't walk around scraping your chin on the floor because there isn't a 30000 hour snowstorm showing up. Because those work out so well. Give the pattern time to develop in order to see what kind of pattern actually develops before you turn the cat upside down. Here here! Great post bud! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 "Don't walk around scraping your chin on the floor because there isn't a 30000 hour snowstorm showing up. Because those work out so well. Give the pattern time to develop in order to see what kind of pattern actually develops before you turn the cat upside down." Sage advice from a very smart weather guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Haha. ...great post!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 40 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: I seriously wouldn't worry about the cold, dry pattern that everybody is talking about. Think about it like this. You will NEVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER EVER get winter weather with this pattern: NEVER NEVER EVER EVER. On the other hand, there are PLENTY of ways you can get winter weather out of this pattern: Don't walk around scraping your chin on the floor because there isn't a 30000 hour snowstorm showing up. Because those work out so well. Give the pattern time to develop in order to see what kind of pattern actually develops before you turn the cat upside down. Preach!!!! I'll take my 2 day cold shot, clipper rain, then cold again! And like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Big Frosty, need a translation from your buddy JB!? On FB he has one sentence: Euro... Tee heee heee heee is that good or bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Anybody got any chapstick? Kinda cold and dry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 12 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Big Frosty, need a translation from your buddy JB!? On FB he has one sentence: Euro... Tee heee heee heee is that good or bad? My guess it's for the day 4-5 interior NE snow event. The EPS goes -PNA down the road but hopefully we move into something after that with scand. ridge building to Aleutian ridge that the GEFS has been leading the way on :-). This is what the first week of Feb 14 looked like to compare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 10 minutes ago, SnowNiner said: Anybody got any chapstick? Kinda cold and dry! Use Medex. It protects AND heals the lips! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 6 minutes ago, packbacker said: The EPS goes -PNA down the road but I think we may move into something after that with scand. ridge building to Aleutian ridge that the GEFS has been leading the way on :-). Ha yeah the GEFS now looks the best of the 3 out in the extended range (compared to GEPS and EPS) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 1 hour ago, frazdaddy said: "Don't walk around scraping your chin on the floor because there isn't a 30000 hour snowstorm showing up. Because those work out so well. Give the pattern time to develop in order to see what kind of pattern actually develops before you turn the cat upside down." Sage advice from a very smart weather guy. My cats have been upside down a lot through the years. Jon hit the nail on the head earlier this year about us needing a fantasy storm to show up. We're starting to really need another one really bad! Hopefully soon.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 4 minutes ago, griteater said: Ha yeah the GEFS now looks the best of the 3 out in the extended range (compared to GEPS and EPS) Once the GEFS comes along, it holds on strong! Or something like that....amirite? We gotta do what we can to make it work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 Just now, Cold Rain said: Once the GEFS comes along, it holds on strong! Or something like that....amirite? I have no clue on Feb...Ventrice says it's cool over the U.S., and strat is weakening...but La Nina lurks with warmth. I went near normal in my outlook so I'm good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 9 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Use Medex. It protects AND heals the lips! Herpes!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Once the GEFS comes along, it holds on strong! Or something like that....amirite? I just never bought the +PNA pattern with nina background still and the GEFS got off that fairly quick. But, as long as we are seeing the Aleutian ridge trying to build poleward I think we will have a chance and with what is going on with the strat you could argue a more sustained -EPO/-WPO pattern rather but who knows. Once we see a big low setup over Ak into Russia, like we are just coming out of, we will know that will be the winter. So far we don't see that on the extended and CFS doesn't show that...yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 19, 2017 Share Posted January 19, 2017 4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Herpes!? Not in North Carolina! 4 minutes ago, griteater said: I have no clue on Feb...Ventrice says it's cool over the U.S., and strat is weakening...but La Nina lurks with warmth. I went near normal in my outlook so I'm good This is has got to be some kind of record for the lamest fading Nina ever having moderate/strong Nina characteristics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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