CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Starting to blossom a bit so we'll see what happens the next few hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 So far on most guidance my immediate area see's no more than .2 QPF so that would equate to 2-4" till 12z tomorrow. I still have faith in you George but as new guidance comes in it gets worse and worse, lol! SWVA you jackpot with over an 1 inch of QPF so you jackpotted anyway, lol, which is no surprise anyway! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danno Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 5 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: So far on most guidance my immediate area see's no more than .2 QPF so that would equate to 2-4" till 12z tomorrow. I still have faith in you George but as new guidance comes in it gets worse and worse, lol! SWVA you jackpot with over an 1 inch of QPF so you jackpotted anyway, lol, which is no surprise anyway! CNY, 1" for what period? Ignore the attached file. Its old and i cant seem to get rid of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 8 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: So far on most guidance my immediate area see's no more than .2 QPF so that would equate to 2-4" till 12z tomorrow. I still have faith in you George but as new guidance comes in it gets worse and worse, lol! SWVA you jackpot with over an 1 inch of QPF so you jackpotted anyway, lol, which is no surprise anyway! Is that for the whole event or 1" new QPF?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 From now to 12z tomorrow so 7 AM tomorrow you guys should see a foot+ so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 The whole event, then a synoptic system then 60 degrees to melt it all then back into the deep freeze! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Winds are forecast to diminish this evening, and this may allow a singular band of convergence develop down the length of Lake Ontario. Most mesoscale guidance, and the typically more reliable RGEM all show this developing ESE of Lake Ontario this evening. As winds diminish, the area of snow showers should evolve into a meso-low and lift northward late tonight while weakening. This is where warnings are already in place, so even though not a lot of snow has fallen in Wayne and Northern Cayuga yet, a period of heavy snow is expected to develop this evening. This will then lift into Oswego county which should get another shot of significant snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Nice band forming just south of the Cuse so lets see if she heads North by a few miles or so, otherwise we miss out on this one as well, which is becoming quite common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 This must be the band their talking about, the one I just mentioned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 14 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: From now to 12z tomorrow so 7 AM tomorrow you guys should see a foot+ so we'll see. Which model is showing that? I'd love it but all data I have seen keeps things south of us tonight. Wish I had better signal to access my models. Picked up a quick .5" with latest burst. Around 9.5" since yesterday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 34 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: So far on most guidance my immediate area see's no more than .2 QPF so that would equate to 2-4" till 12z tomorrow. I still have faith in you George but as new guidance comes in it gets worse and worse, lol! SWVA you jackpot with over an 1 inch of QPF so you jackpotted anyway, lol, which is no surprise anyway! Drop the faith!! LOL....winds were a bit too strong and the band that went through, didn't swing far enough south to allow a new band to form as quickly as earlier thinking....it'll still happen, but later this evening....cudos to NWS for dropping the totals earilier this morning.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 11 hours ago, AppsRunner said: Should be at least a couple hour break around 10AM-12PM this afternoon as moisture briefly dries out (almost completely) in the low/mid levels. This afternoon into this evening could be a lot of fun for the FZY-SYR corridor. Wouldn't want to take 481 during rush hour. Alright bro, are you a Met or what? Where do you get ur info from as you were the first to see the break in the action then you proceeded to say this afternoon and evening should be fun and right on cue the band is reforming right around the metro area, so what gives, lol? You didn't like this event from the get and everyone else was salivating so......... Great job btw, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 11 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Drop the faith!! LOL....winds were a bit too strong and the band that went through, didn't swing far enough south to allow a new band to form as quickly as earlier thinking....it'll still happen, but later this evening....cudos to NWS for dropping the totals earilier this morning.. LoL, the pro's and con's of forecasting LES! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 KROC is gonna jackpot this afternoon, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Snow hasn't been particularly heavy in the Jamestown area, but we've had about 8" in the past 24 hours. Interestingly, we've had 65" here this month, the snowiest month since Jan 2009 (when I measured 60"), with 74" on the season. Winter avg is around 120", so a pretty decent start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I cant even watch this event anymore as its starting to make my blood boil to the point where I'm about to fling this Booklet across the room!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Cuse is sandwiched between two f'in bands and it looks quasi at this point. What a Joke. Apologies guys as I get real emotional when ****s supposed to be popping and nothing is. I mean literally there is a hole over George and I. At least Nedrow is getting crushed. What about Syracuse George? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 This is valid 7pm this evening, basically 00Z Saturday If its not snowing with a sounding like this then it;ll never snow. No Cap, EQ's up to 15kft, winds are still a bit high up at H850 and 0 inversion so like I said if it isn't doing something at 7 then I call it quits for the event. I'll call it quite 10 times before I actually do. lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 11 minutes ago, WNYLakeEffect said: Snow hasn't been particularly heavy in the Jamestown area, but we've had about 8" in the past 24 hours. Interestingly, we've had 65" here this month, the snowiest month since Jan 2009 (when I measured 60"), with 74" on the season. Winter avg is around 120", so a pretty decent start. Wow, that's a big month. Has there been a constant snow pack, or have you gone bare during any of the warm-ups? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 The usual suspects cashing in off Lake Erie: PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT SPOTTER REPORTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 327 PM EST FRI DEC 30 2016 ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY... PERRYSBURG 14.2 315 PM 12/30 COOP OBSERVER ...ERIE COUNTY... SPRINGVILLE 14.0 200 PM 12/30 SOCIAL MEDIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 KBGM forecast map still looking decent for overnight for George, Ty and myself...we shall see if it verifies. I think it will...or be reasonably close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 S+ in NW Wayne Cty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 That band is definitely intensifying and moving into Syracuse. Enjoy guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Im in the Cuse and its not here yet but when its here Ill be sure to let you know. this sure bodes well for you guys up there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Im in the Cuse and its not here yet but when its here Ill be sure to let you know. this sure bodes well for you guys up there! It's coming for you! Should be some intense snow and graupel within 30 minutes. Enjoy big time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Might just be in the fringe of those yellow and oranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 OK, now its S+ SWVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 4 minutes ago, phoenixny said: Might just be in the fringe of those yellow and oranges. ur next brutha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Now that we have a healthy looking band overhead, lets see how long she hangs around. I say 1-2hr at most and then she's headed North as usual! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 1 hour ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Alright bro, are you a Met or what? Where do you get ur info from as you were the first to see the break in the action then you proceeded to say this afternoon and evening should be fun and right on cue the band is reforming right around the metro area, so what gives, lol? You didn't like this event from the get and everyone else was salivating so......... Great job btw, lol! Thanks! I've had a couple forecasts that I did very poorly with earlier in the season, so this was pleasant for me. I'm met major at Oswego. No red tag yet, but eventually. Keep in mind that even though I wasn't optimistic, I still liked 6-12" for most of Onondaga/Oswego county, with locally higher amounts. This snow is just about right on schedule with what I thought, although it was about an hour or so later than I had originally thought... but like I said I really would not like to be on 81/481 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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