weathafella Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 I thought it sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 It's definitely warming inland way too quick. We ignore that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 On 2nd thought, it gives me many hours of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's definitely warming inland way too quick. We ignore that. I'm surprised. Usually GFS handles CAD pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm surprised. Usually GFS handles CAD pretty well. Yeah. Let that be reminded again to the 32F line huggers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 kinda washed out here after 2-3" but lets see how the inside d4 trends take shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 My expectations are still setting at 2 to 5 inch range. granted we have some indicators that could go more impressive than that. Not that anyone asked but I don't need a lot more snow than that anyway. it's going to completely cover the ground and it just might not be a pain in the ass to get around in. I mean I like a dramatic storm to don't give me wrong it's just that I don't necessarily need all that to feel like winter is expressing itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 GGEM weak sauce on the wave. It's a little north of the 12z run but hard to called it amped when it's so weak with the shortwave. It's mostly or all snow pike northward. Probably high end advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Wish we could still get uncle in Plymouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Wish we could still get uncle in Plymouth Yeah me too. Though 72h wouldn't be far enough out. Might give us a hint though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Yeah CMC is Tip and Rays 2-5 give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Would have liked to have seen a bit more of a secondary development on the GFS. The primary vort was definitely a bit weaker and flatter but still quite far NW. Probably an advisory type snow to ice situation around here with low end warning type stuff north of the Pike if that verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Wish we could still get uncle in Plymouth It's on Meteocentre out to 72 hours for most fields. Comes out at ~1145. http://meteocentre.com/models/models.php?mod=ukmet&map=na&run=00&lang=en Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Just now, SR Airglow said: It's on Meteocentre out to 72 hours for most fields. Comes out at ~1145. http://meteocentre.com/models/models.php?mod=ukmet&map=na&run=00&lang=en Ok for weekends-too late for my early wake ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 3-6", 4-8" event is probably the max, As most of these SWFE will produce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Ok for weekends-too late for my early wake ups. Yeah. UQAM is a good site but it's not Plymouth with crazy uncle. It used to come out before 11 on Plymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 Ukie is weak sauce too. Might be a shade north of GGEM. Hard to tell with 24 hour increments. But it is def on the weak train. Doesn't have a great high position so my guess is interior would be more favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 IDK....anybody think the evolution of these systems on modeling is wonky at best like I've not seen it before.....even at 24 or 48 hours.....just a wierd look.....but I'm an amateur.....just looks weird.....if it snows in West Hartford then great but I'm not buying right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 58 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: My expectations are still setting at 2 to 5 inch range. granted we have some indicators that could go more impressive than that. Not that anyone asked but I don't need a lot more snow than that anyway. it's going to completely cover the ground and it just might not be a pain in the ass to get around in. I mean I like a dramatic storm to don't give me wrong it's just that I don't necessarily need all that to feel like winter is expressing itself Ditto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 I think all these solution are in the realm of possibilities as long as nobody expects double digit snowfall, If you do, You're going to be in for some disappointment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 0Z Euro wont be flat, Going to be more amped then the 12z run, A few tics warmer and further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Well, it looks like the jury's still out as to whether Sun p.m./Monday will be a low impact snow-even Sun p.m/Monday or a low impact snow-to-rain event. Hopefully 12z will provide better agreement. I'm more intrigued by and hopeful for the 2nd system. Man, is NAM a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 No real changes overnight. nice to see GFS start to cave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Safest play is an advisory level for most, perhaps a few do better but 2-4, 3-5 seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 5 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: Safest play is an advisory level for most, perhaps a few do better but 2-4, 3-5 seems reasonable. I've been thinking the same thing...2-4 would be nice, and hopefully we can salvage that out of this. Hopefully like Will was saying yesterday, that High can build in strong and give us a minor event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 High end advisories/low end warnings best idea for now. 6z GFS looks like it takes 2ndary over CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: High end advisories/low end warnings best idea for now. 6z GFS looks like it takes 2ndary over CC I hope you are correct. Still seems to be a lot of disagreement on what the real story will be on this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 The high doesn't look quite as good from 00z suite vs 12z yesterday. Still a decent event in the means but we will want to see that high trend back better to increase both the cold and qpf. If you noticed, the qpf overall was skimpier than the 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The high doesn't look quite as good from 00z suite vs 12z yesterday. Still a decent event in the means but we will want to see that high trend back better to increase both the cold and qpf. If you noticed, the qpf overall was skimpier than the 12z runs. I noticed that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The high doesn't look quite as good from 00z suite vs 12z yesterday. Still a decent event in the means but we will want to see that high trend back better to increase both the cold and qpf. If you noticed, the qpf overall was skimpier than the 12z runs. Exactly my thoughts..this has gone the other way since 12z yesterday.,..the less impact type of way. Not what we wanted to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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