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Ginx snewx

Oct 22/23rd Sat /Sun heavy rain, high wind, elevation upslope snow. All of New England

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Just vicious at the picnic tables right now.

This better be snow and not freezing rain. 

31F with sustained winds over 50mph and gusting near 70mph.  Wind chill 13F lol.

MMNV1a.jpg

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5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Just vicious at the picnic tables right now.

This better be snow and not freezing rain. 

31F with sustained winds over 50mph and gusting near 70mph.  Wind chill 13F lol.

Wouldn't surprise me if the mountains had some mid slope FZRA anyway. Bufkit soundings show that 2500 ft later cooling faster this evening and leaving a warm nose aloft.

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12 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Wouldn't surprise me if the mountains had some mid slope FZRA anyway. Bufkit soundings show that 2500 ft later cooling faster this evening and leaving a warm nose aloft.

There was Pl reports in the Berks before they flipped

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screenshot from my wxunderground station...wind definitely picking up, reports of trees down and limbs just north of me...went from 78 to 37 in 24 hours, not bad

tmp_10268-Screenshot_20161022-1756327483105.png

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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Where's all the wind ?

Here:

- Wind Advisory in effect, event-driven with leafed trees

*/ Discussion...





Tonight...

Blustery W winds with the possibility of wind-related damage. Wind
Advisory for all of Southern New England. Surface low deepening to
980 mb as it lifts northeast through Maine. Tightening pressure
gradient and isallobaric component. This as cold, dry air pushes
across the region. Expect the shallow airmass to result in boundary
layer mixing up to H9 throughout allowing the mix-down of faster
momentum aloft, with the top of the mixed-layer blowing out of the
W around 45 mph. While highest confidence of reaching wind advisory
criteria is across the high terrain and along the immediate coast
adjacent to warmer waters, the entire area is included given fully
foliated trees and their susceptibility to potential impacts even
with winds of 30 to 40 mph. Likely to see some down branches, trees,
overall issues that will lead to isolated-scattered power outages.



.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

Sunday...

Wind-related threats continue with the possibility of gusts up to 50
mph. Clouds clearing out allowing for abundant sunshine and boundary
layer mixing up to H85 where forecast soundings suggest winds at the
top of the mixed layer will be around 50 mph. Ensemble probabilities
support a wind advisory threat over all of Southern New England with
W gusts up to 45 mph, with highest confidence of strongest gusts
over the high terrain and immediate coast adjacent to warmer waters.
Question as to whether there is the additional threat of downsloping
winds into river valleys given cold air within the low levels with
H85 temperatures around -2C warming to 0C towards late in the day.

Going to keep winds blustery throughout much of the day though
the timing of greatest impacts looks to be around mid to late
morning through early afternoon. Given temperatures aloft, looking
at a cooler than average day with temperatures around the mid to
upper 50s.

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Here:

- Wind Advisory in effect, event-driven with leafed trees

*/ Discussion...





Tonight...

Blustery W winds with the possibility of wind-related damage. Wind
Advisory for all of Southern New England. Surface low deepening to
980 mb as it lifts northeast through Maine. Tightening pressure
gradient and isallobaric component. This as cold, dry air pushes
across the region. Expect the shallow airmass to result in boundary
layer mixing up to H9 throughout allowing the mix-down of faster
momentum aloft, with the top of the mixed-layer blowing out of the
W around 45 mph. While highest confidence of reaching wind advisory
criteria is across the high terrain and along the immediate coast
adjacent to warmer waters, the entire area is included given fully
foliated trees and their susceptibility to potential impacts even
with winds of 30 to 40 mph. Likely to see some down branches, trees,
overall issues that will lead to isolated-scattered power outages.



.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

Sunday...

Wind-related threats continue with the possibility of gusts up to 50
mph. Clouds clearing out allowing for abundant sunshine and boundary
layer mixing up to H85 where forecast soundings suggest winds at the
top of the mixed layer will be around 50 mph. Ensemble probabilities
support a wind advisory threat over all of Southern New England with
W gusts up to 45 mph, with highest confidence of strongest gusts
over the high terrain and immediate coast adjacent to warmer waters.
Question as to whether there is the additional threat of downsloping
winds into river valleys given cold air within the low levels with
H85 temperatures around -2C warming to 0C towards late in the day.

Going to keep winds blustery throughout much of the day though
the timing of greatest impacts looks to be around mid to late
morning through early afternoon. Given temperatures aloft, looking
at a cooler than average day with temperatures around the mid to
upper 50s.

oh ...so the wind is in a discussion?

'k, got it -

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

oh ...so the wind is in a discussion?

'k, got it -

Maybe in your valley area there it's not blowing..but most other places are ripping and will continue to increase overnight. Make sure the cell is charged, the genny is gassed, and you have candles 

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NAM Bufkit would have BOS hover right around 30-35 kt gusts through tomorrow. GFS is a little more uncertain, and actually has BOS decoupling tonight (we toss).

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Strong post. Thanks for contributing to the scientific discussion

Oh the irony. 

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