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Ginx snewx

Oct 22/23rd Sat /Sun heavy rain, high wind, elevation upslope snow. All of New England

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Western NY radar with the snow look.

Just going to mention that.   Almost 60f here in Augusta, ME Aa d the rain has let up some. Drove through a little bit of heavier stuff on my way over, hit some crazy fog too. 

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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Just for the record, this is the 18z GFS forecast QPF totals through 12z tomorrow.  This is an 18 hour forecast. 

We will have like half an inch up here with like 3-6" over a good portion of ENE.

gfs_tprecip_neng_4.png

Globals FTL with this. I looked at every hi res model for this, and they all showed this potential...just varying where it will happen. I use the locations as goal posts two days out and then successive model runs along with intuition and nowcasting help narrow it.  I am not surprised at all at the rain rates. Not one bit. You take a highly anomalous PWAT plume and then add cold season forcing to it...boom. I saw my heaviest rain rates ever in October back in 2011.  October produces the rain.

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3 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

1.5" here with hvy hvy rain and hvy hvy thunder.  

Lava rock poo poo'd his way to 2"+...lol

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

My gauge had some foliage in it, but I must be at least 2"...

Nice drought buster for many 

See some bands trying to move in

 

 

IMG_0213.PNG

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Emotion and persistence is a terrible way to forecast.

Yeah, Its true,  Some of the modeling was off a bit on who and where that area of convergence was going to set up

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2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yeah, Its true,  Some of the modeling was off a bit on who and where that area of convergence was going to set up

Maine looked pretty good to me this morning.

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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maine looked pretty good to me this morning.

I know you mentioned it, It looked like it was going to set up further west over towards IZG north

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1 minute ago, dryslot said:

I know you mentioned it, It looked like it was going to set up further west over towards IZG north

No Dryslot, dryslot

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21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Emotion and persistence is a terrible way to forecast.

He was right for about 5 months, and missed one tonight.  Still a good track record haha.

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1 minute ago, Lava Rock said:


1.23". Stopped the leak for now. Crappy stove pipe installers didn't put enough flashing and/ or roof sealant outside. Blown cellulose in ceiling wet. Not cool

Sucks dude, More heavier precip on the way thoough

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