wncsnow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 It's concerning that the CMC, RGEM, ARPEGE and german model are slashing amounts too for most of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 This was posted yesterday morning from GSP: "For now we feel the best choice is to stick with the GFS-like solution, which is more in line with the trends of late; this puts the peak PoPs early Saturday and does not support FZRA or IP within the CWFA border. Accums are based mostly on WPC QPF and a 12:1 ratio; this would be slightly above climo, which seems likely based on the exceptionally cold profiles." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The German didn't from what I saw. It did slash totals quite a bit down east but had a precip max right up along the escarpment from upslope and Lee side enhancement I would believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Have no clue who this is, but no doubt is he riding the GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I think Allen Huffmans map is more likely to verify unfortunately. EPS will be intriguing to see if it is further N and with more precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 GSP updated in the middle of the Euro run. But yeah, Sitting at 5" "most Likey" down here in the foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 15 sref went up for franklin just under 5 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Don't think I've ever been more nervous for the 18z gfs before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 15 sref went up for franklin just under 5 now.Yep KAVL doubled as well up from 2.5" to around 5" on avg. That's the NAM ensemble so let's see what the 18z NAM shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I think 2 for most likely would be more accurate for the leeside areas of the foothills.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I think 2 for most likely would be more accurate for the leeside areas of the foothills.. Euro and Nam would agree with that. GFS and UK would say what you talking about?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Euro and Nam would agree with that. GFS and UK would say what you talking about?! What can I say I am a firm believer of the EURO.. been burned way too many times by the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Euro and Nam would agree with that. GFS and UK would say what you talking about?! Lets me and you hope the GFS is right.....lol I also think GSP is leaning more on the GFS with there forecast due to more consistency. I wouldn't be suprised if were upgraded to a WSW by morning....fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, wncsnow said: What can I say I am a firm believer of the EURO.. been burned way too many times by the GFS If we are talking Euro of old I would totally agree. It couldn't be touched in the 48-96 window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, wncsnow said: What can I say I am a firm believer of the EURO.. been burned way too many times by the GFS It was upgraded this year however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: If we are talking Euro of old I would totally agree. It couldn't be touched in the 48-96 window It's true that the EURO isnt quite what it used to be but its verification scores are still a lot better than the GFS... The UKMET does give me some hope though for your area and mine.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 EPS mean snowfall doesnt look too bad for the mtns. More than the op in general Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Boom! here ya go fellas.... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 315 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017 ...HEAVY SNOWFALL LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... .A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THIS IS LIKELY TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES SATURDAY MORNING. NCZ033-035-048>053-058-059-062-063-501>506-060400- /O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0001.170107T0000Z-170107T1800Z/ AVERY-ALEXANDER-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE- GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- EASTERN MCDOWELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INGALLS...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND... BETHLEHEM...ELLENDALE...MILLERSVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...HIDDENITE... STONY POINT...FAUST...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...WALNUT... ALLENSTAND...HOT SPRINGS...LUCK...SWISS...BURNSVILLE...CELO... MICAVILLE...RAMSEYTOWN...BUSICK...SPRUCE PINE...POPLAR...ALARKA... ALMOND...BRYSON CITY...LUADA...WESSER...WAYNESVILLE... WATERVILLE...CANTON...CRUSO...COVE CREEK...ASHEVILLE... ROBBINSVILLE...STECOAH...CULLOWHEE...TUCKASEGEE...SYLVA... FRANKLIN...RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS...WOLF MOUNTAIN... CASHIERS...PATTERSON...KINGS CREEK...LENOIR...SAWMILLS... GRANITE FALLS...JONAS RIDGE...MORGANTON...PLEASANT GROVE... VALDESE...ASHFORD...SUGAR HILL...WOODLAWN...OLD FORT...MARION... NEBO...DYSARTSVILLE...FERO...GLENWOOD 315 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY. * LOCATIONS...MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. * TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND TAPER OFF SATURDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW. * IMPACTS...THE HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE AND MAY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES DUE TO THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. LEAVE A MESSAGE WITH YOUR OBSERVATION AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED. YOU CAN ALSO POST YOUR REPORT TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG FACEBOOK OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP. && $$ CDG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I love adrenaline and I love roller coasters but if we go down from the 18z nam I'm gonna be sick at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Pretty look for you all on the 18Z NAM.......hope it verifies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: Boom! here ya go fellas.... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 315 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017 ...HEAVY SNOWFALL LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... .A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THIS IS LIKELY TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES SATURDAY MORNING. NCZ033-035-048>053-058-059-062-063-501>506-060400- /O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0001.170107T0000Z-170107T1800Z/ AVERY-ALEXANDER-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE- GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- EASTERN MCDOWELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INGALLS...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND... BETHLEHEM...ELLENDALE...MILLERSVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...HIDDENITE... STONY POINT...FAUST...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...WALNUT... ALLENSTAND...HOT SPRINGS...LUCK...SWISS...BURNSVILLE...CELO... MICAVILLE...RAMSEYTOWN...BUSICK...SPRUCE PINE...POPLAR...ALARKA... ALMOND...BRYSON CITY...LUADA...WESSER...WAYNESVILLE... WATERVILLE...CANTON...CRUSO...COVE CREEK...ASHEVILLE... ROBBINSVILLE...STECOAH...CULLOWHEE...TUCKASEGEE...SYLVA... FRANKLIN...RAINBOW SPRINGS...KYLE...HIGHLANDS...WOLF MOUNTAIN... CASHIERS...PATTERSON...KINGS CREEK...LENOIR...SAWMILLS... GRANITE FALLS...JONAS RIDGE...MORGANTON...PLEASANT GROVE... VALDESE...ASHFORD...SUGAR HILL...WOODLAWN...OLD FORT...MARION... NEBO...DYSARTSVILLE...FERO...GLENWOOD 315 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY. * LOCATIONS...MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. * TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND TAPER OFF SATURDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW. * IMPACTS...THE HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE AND MAY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES DUE TO THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. LEAVE A MESSAGE WITH YOUR OBSERVATION AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED. YOU CAN ALSO POST YOUR REPORT TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG FACEBOOK OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP. && $$ CDG Nice but odd areas. I figured Transylvania and Henderson would be included in that, with this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Nice but odd areas. I figured Transylvania and Henderson would be included in that, with this setup. Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 315 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017 ...HEAVY SNOWFALL LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... .A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THIS IS LIKELY TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES SATURDAY MORNING. GAZ010-017-NCZ036-037-056-057-064-065-068>072-082-507>510- SCZ001>003-005>009-012>014-060400- /O.UPG.KGSP.WS.A.0001.170107T0000Z-170107T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0001.170107T0000Z-170107T1800Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS- EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE- SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-LAURENS-CHESTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN... MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...HOLLYWOOD... STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...FARMINGTON...FORK CHURCH... MOCKSVILLE...ADVANCE...HICKORY...NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS... SALISBURY...BREVARD...CEDAR MOUNTAIN...LITTLE RIVER... HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER...DANA...EAST FLAT ROCK...TUXEDO... ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...LINCOLNTON...CROUSE... GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...MONROE...TRINITY... INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON... SPINDALE...SALUDA...TRYON...COLUMBUS...MILL SPRING... MOUNTAIN REST...WALHALLA...WESTMINSTER...PUMPKINTOWN... TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CLEVELAND...EASLEY...DACUSVILLE... CLEMSON...GREENVILLE...TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...FORK SHOALS... SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...CATAWBA... ROCK HILL...LAURENS...CLINTON...UNION...MONARCH MILLS...CHESTER... CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS 315 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND PORTIONS OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. * TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND TAPER OFF SATURDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW. * IMPACTS...THE HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE AND MAY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES DUE TO THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, NavarreDon said: Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 315 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017 ...HEAVY SNOWFALL LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... .A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THIS IS LIKELY TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES SATURDAY MORNING. GAZ010-017-NCZ036-037-056-057-064-065-068>072-082-507>510- SCZ001>003-005>009-012>014-060400- /O.UPG.KGSP.WS.A.0001.170107T0000Z-170107T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0001.170107T0000Z-170107T1800Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS- EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE- SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-LAURENS-CHESTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN... MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...HOLLYWOOD... STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...FARMINGTON...FORK CHURCH... MOCKSVILLE...ADVANCE...HICKORY...NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS... SALISBURY...BREVARD...CEDAR MOUNTAIN...LITTLE RIVER... HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER...DANA...EAST FLAT ROCK...TUXEDO... ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...LINCOLNTON...CROUSE... GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...MONROE...TRINITY... INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON... SPINDALE...SALUDA...TRYON...COLUMBUS...MILL SPRING... MOUNTAIN REST...WALHALLA...WESTMINSTER...PUMPKINTOWN... TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CLEVELAND...EASLEY...DACUSVILLE... CLEMSON...GREENVILLE...TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...FORK SHOALS... SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...CATAWBA... ROCK HILL...LAURENS...CLINTON...UNION...MONARCH MILLS...CHESTER... CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS 315 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND PORTIONS OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. * TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND TAPER OFF SATURDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW. * IMPACTS...THE HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE AND MAY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES DUE TO THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. Thank you! That makes sense. I'm on my phone, not used to seeing GSP include those regions in with the upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 hours ago, HurricaneTracker said: Well, 12Z Euro is a huge miss for the mountains. Devastating run if you like/want snow. So, the morning rundown has the Euro, CMC, RGEM, and NAM all with 1-2" for the mountains. GFS sits alone at 3-6" with greater amounts. Prudent call is to go with the majority of the models. I am revising my AVL forecast from 1-3" down to 1-2", and that may be generous. HT, is it safe to say now that the NAM has trended with the GFS and Ukie now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Im doing my little victory dance lol......Thank you gsp i really want my son to see his first snow. Knock on wood we all get the 4-6in. Im rooting for you guys. I love the mtn crew, im thankful to be apart of it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NAM is better but still shows that snow minima on the lee side of the mountains. Have a tough decision between staying in the foothills or heading back up to Boone early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Everyone must be discounting the EURO.. Winter Storm Watches and Warnings going up in Tennessee..Up to 8 inches in mountains..5 inches around Knoxville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Most models develop an 850 mb low track from North Georgia to Upstate South Carolina. Adds confidence for NC mountain snow regardless of Euro QPF. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Transylvania county is in the winter storm warning. Also setting in the bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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