FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Drops 2-3 inches in the southern mountain counties. the track of the storm was pretty good. not enough moisture, need that Low to have less interaction in the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Drops 2-3 inches in the southern mountain counties. the track of the storm was pretty good. not enough moisture, need that Low to have less interaction in the beginning. Lol we actually jackpot on the NAM! Crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 8 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: In other news, the beginning of the 0z NAM is a horror movie. Yeah one scene after another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 That NW trend can't come fast enough. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Lol we actually jackpot on the NAM! Crazy! I want to see the GFS have a track like that. If the moisture is there, that's a good run for everyone, NAM just didn't have the moisture dome. But it's in a perfect spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, TiltedStorm said: That NW trend can't come fast enough. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk the Low was actually in a really good spot, just no moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: I want to see the GFS have a track like that. If the moisture is there, that's a good run for everyone, NAM just didn't have the moisture dome. But it's in a perfect spot. I agree. Was a significant track for the wave for us. Get that thing too baloon and we are in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Really not a bad track at all and I expect more moisture than that from this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Get rid of some of that shear to keep the s/w a little more intact, and we got a lot of hope with this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Really not a bad track at all and I expect more moisture than that from this system.System is moving too fast to pick up much moisture. Unless GFS or Euro slow this thing down and don't shear it to death early on, I am starting to see more and more signs of a whiff here. No friendly trends yet anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: System is moving too fast to pick up much moisture. Unless GFS or Euro slow this thing down and don't shear it to death early on, I am starting to see more and more signs of a whiff here. No friendly trends yet anyway. You sound a little less optimistic than you did just a couple hours ago. At this rate Ill take an inch or so and call it a day. Looking forward to more opportunities near the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 You sound a little less optimistic than you did just a couple hours ago. At this rate Ill take an inch or so and call it a day. Looking forward to more opportunities near the end of the month. Yea, the NAM was disappointing. Seems like every solution possible has been thrown at this thing and nothing is emerging as a clear path forward. In my experience this argues for a weakly disorganized storm with token flakes. Of course there could be a few surprises yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, HurricaneTracker said: Yea, the NAM was disappointing. Seems like every solution possible has been thrown at this thing and nothing is emerging as a clear path forward. In my experience this argues for a weakly disorganized storm with token flakes. Of course there could be a few surprises yet! 0z GFS started out a lot better than the NAM. not sure of the ending yet, but at least it didn't fall apart completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Not too bad of a run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Still too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, Met1985 said: Not too bad of a run. Have you seen the snow accumulations? I see some 6 inch readings to my SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Need that LP to be up on the coast instead of visiting Daytona a couple months early for the 500. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 It will come fellas I honestly think it will. Don't fret the NAM, it sucks anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I'm in a positive mood after the GFS lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 5 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: I'm in a positive mood after the GFS lol Lol its the small victories! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Lol its the small victories! I mean I don't think it's possible the LP can almost make it to Cuba...so I think the NW trend has to happen after that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 The NWS is game for the first wave! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 9 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: I mean I don't think it's possible the LP can almost make it to Cuba...so I think the NW trend has to happen after that run. I was thinking today would be a crap shoot. Tomorrow should show signs of some northward movement especially by 12z and 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: I was thinking today would be a crap shoot. Tomorrow should show signs of some northward movement especially by 12z and 18z. Yea, I thought today would actually go worse than what it did, although the NAM had me nervous for a minute. If we can get the s/w to stay a little more intact and be able to develop sooner in the GOM....I'm wishcasting, I need to stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said: Yea, I thought today would actually go worse than what it did, although the NAM had me nervous for a minute. If we can get the s/w to stay a little more intact and be able to develop sooner in the GOM....I'm wishcasting, I need to stop. Nothing wrong in putting out what we need. Still a lot if time for this to trend better which I think it does tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Nothing wrong in putting out what we need. Still a lot if time for this to trend better which I think it does tomorrow. Hmmm. GEFS looks better than before. I think it's getting closer. I'm just trying to keep my expectations low on the s/w being able to keep it's strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 14 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Hmmm. GEFS looks better than before. I think it's getting closer. I'm just trying to keep my expectations low on the s/w being able to keep it's strength. Yeah I did notice some good hits for us. Again still a lot of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Um the euro looks darn good for us fellas! Puts us in am absolute great spot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 4, 2017 Author Share Posted January 4, 2017 0Z ECMWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Why is there such a dry slot in the foothills on the Euro? Good trend though for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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