whamby Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 haha, yeah.. it drizzled lightly for a 10 minutes here in CHA.. at least the sky proved it could release moisture... haha, at all the people who think this is not worse than 2007. At least in SE Tenn, N. Alabama, and N Georgia. This is unprecedented. Way worse than 2007. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Still raining this morning ! What a blessing . Water puddles everywhere. I have to use my windshield wipers lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: Still raining this morning ! What a blessing . Water puddles everywhere. I have to use my windshield wipers lol. Lucky you. I have clouds and smoke and that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 21 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Lucky you. I have clouds and smoke and that's about it. Yeah I drove into town and it quite. I'll take it though. Going to be a nice cool day . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Finally an evening that feels like Fall. Temp already down to 43 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 I really like the look of the euro. Looks average to below average in temps. also maybe some rain in which we desperately need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 that pac jet has made it hard to trust any medium range modeled cold outlook. however, if euro weeklies show cold i've noticed folks tend to believe the likelihood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 I think tonight may be the coldest of the season . already down to 33 degrees . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 Lowest reading of the season so far of 33 32 degrees! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 50 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: Lowest reading of the season so far of 33 degrees! Nice man! You have frost? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 Yep our coldest of the season . 23 degrees. Small steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 11 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Nice man! You have frost? Some but not as much as the other day at 36 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 1 minute ago, strongwxnc said: Some but not as much as the other day at 36 degrees. Yeah. Well hopefully this weekend you can get that first freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 It looks like we may see a little rain around the 16th and 17th here on WNC hopefully . Temps it looks like we stay at or below normal . But we really need the rain bad! Then we have a a cold front that looks to blast in here around the 19th hopefully with some much needed rain. This us a strong cold front showing up currently that would bring a rain to snow for the mountains but I'm more worried about the rain than anythingelse right now. The problem is this is still a week away and the models have been crap outside 5 days. I still do not see a huge pattern change but at least we are back down to near normal . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted November 11, 2016 Share Posted November 11, 2016 11 minutes ago, Met1985 said: It looks like we may see a little rain around the 16th and 17th here on WNC hopefully . Temps it looks like we stay at or below normal . But we really need the rain bad! Then we have a a cold front that looks to blast in here around the 19th hopefully with some much needed rain. This us a strong cold front showing up currently that would bring a rain to snow for the mountains but I'm more worried about the rain than anythingelse right now. The problem is this is still a week away and the models have been crap outside 5 days. I still do not see a huge pattern change but at least we are back down to near normal . Ain't that the truth for both the GFS and Euro. Complete 180's from run to run at times over the last few weeks. It had better rain soon though, or the mountains are going to be in a real mess once all the leaves are down to fuel the fires. Even areas outside of the mountains, such as the I-85 corridor, will see the fire danger go up unless things change. The mountains will always be much worse though, due to the terrain and being much more rural, making the fires much harder to reach in many cases. Edit: Actually the mountains are already a real mess, but things will get much worse unless rain comes soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 1 hour ago, jshetley said: Ain't that the truth for both the GFS and Euro. Complete 180's from run to run at times over the last few weeks. It had better rain soon though, or the mountains are going to be in a real mess once all the leaves are down to fuel the fires. Even areas outside of the mountains, such as the I-85 corridor, will see the fire danger go up unless things change. The mountains will always be much worse though, due to the terrain and being much more rural, making the fires much harder to reach in many cases. Edit: Actually the mountains are already a real mess, but things will get much worse unless rain comes soon. Yeah we need rain bad! We have over 10000 acres burning already in WNC . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 Had a low of 27 degrees. A lot a spread in the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 Finally, at least something to speculate about for you mountain folk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 12, 2016 Share Posted November 12, 2016 2 hours ago, MikeGold said: Finally, at least something to speculate about for you mountain folk! Lol that's something but I'll take a ton of rain first. I really like the look of the GFS. but can we trust it. The Euro has been bouncing around every model run. It's back to a decent run today on the 12z but it could look better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted November 13, 2016 Share Posted November 13, 2016 Blacksburg mentioning freezing drizzle possible Monday morning. I will be watching the dry evaporative cool down in my backyard for any local ice accumulations. #ice #sneaky #accumulations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 13, 2016 Share Posted November 13, 2016 Finally broke the freezing mark with a low of 31 degrees. Now need this rain to continue to movement north to assist these fires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 14, 2016 Share Posted November 14, 2016 Had a low of 24 degrees this morning. We have actually had several frosts and freezes lately. Looking at the indices the ao looks to bomb again, the nao looks to possibly go negative and the PNA is a toss up. hopefully the epo goes negative which will help a lot. So it looks like this weekend may finally be our real taste of winter for the season. Our rain chances look meager. Currently it actually looks like we have a bethere shot a some snow showers than ran showers. Hopefully the trough digs deep so we can get some more moisture in here. I'll keep yall updated but this week looks very boring until this weekend . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted November 15, 2016 Share Posted November 15, 2016 7 hours ago, Met1985 said: Had a low of 24 degrees this morning. We have actually had several frosts and freezes lately. Looking at the indices the ao looks to bomb again, the nao looks to possibly go negative and the PNA is a toss up. hopefully the epo goes negative which will help a lot. So it looks like this weekend may finally be our real taste of winter for the season. Our rain chances look meager. Currently it actually looks like we have a bethere shot a some snow showers than ran showers. Hopefully the trough digs deep so we can get some more moisture in here. I'll keep yall updated but this week looks very boring until this weekend . Looks to me like this will be your last boring week probably till next year. Things are fixing to change to alot of our liking. Winter will be settling in full force by and during Thanksgiving Holliday weekend. I see a 2010 looking December on the horizon. if we can't get any rain to douse the fires a blanket of snow will do the trick as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 15, 2016 Share Posted November 15, 2016 11 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Looks to me like this will be your last boring week probably till next year. Things are fixing to change to alot of our liking. Winter will be settling in full force by and during Thanksgiving Holliday weekend. I see a 2010 looking December on the horizon. if we can't get any rain to douse the fires a blanket of snow will do the trick as well. Yeah I'm being very cautious. We will see what transpires. This week will be very telling for the first of December. We needs some freaking rain though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 15, 2016 Share Posted November 15, 2016 Had a low of 22 degrees this morning with heavy frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 15, 2016 Author Share Posted November 15, 2016 Dust Up Quote LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/ AS OF 140 AM EST TUESDAY, AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL SET UP WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST THIS WEEKEND AND A RIDGE OVER THE WEST. AT 12Z FRIDAY, A 500MB HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER EAST GEORGIA AND MOVING OFF THE COAST AS A TROUGH CROSSES THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE ECMWF RETAINS MORE MOISTURE AS THE COLD FRONT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SATURDAY. THE GFS DRIES UP THE PREFRONTAL MOISTURE AS THE FRONT GETS TO THE NC MOUNTAINS. THE ECMWF MOISTURE WILL BE MAINLY OVER WESTERN NC DURING THE DAY SATURDAY, THEN NW FLOW PRODUCES LIGHT SNOW ACCUMS ALONG NC AND TN BORDER EARLY TO MID DAY SUNDAY. CLOSED LOW OVER NYC LATE SUNDAY AS THE TROUGH SWINGS EAST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. TROUGH MOVES OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC MONDAY AS THE RIDGE CROSSES THE PLAINS AND MISS VALLEY AND FLATTENS. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPS MODIFYING. MAX TEMPS NEARLY TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THEN DROPPING TO ABOUT TEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE FRONT SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. TEMPS BEGIN TO GET WARMER MONDAY AND MONDAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 Ray's Snowman-O-meter has officially made it's appearance for this weekend so there's some good news for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 The indices look really good. A solid tanking AO and a decent negative nao but the Pacific is sucking the life out of a great pattern. At least this weekend will be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 ^^ Looks good bro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 18, 2016 Share Posted November 18, 2016 Had a low of 54.3 this morning. Can't remember the last time having a low in the fifties in mid November. Looking forward to maybe a flake or two this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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