dendrite Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 ORH hit at least 38F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 1 hour ago, dendrite said: ORH hit at least 38F Yeah looks like 6 hour min was 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 looks like we're headed for another event-dearth ... perhaps the only thing more annoying than the post storm-mortem return to quiescence is when the event was a ghost event to begin with - haha. 2016 is really turning into the great cosmic dildo weather year of all time - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 11, 2016 Author Share Posted October 11, 2016 2 hours ago, dendrite said: ORH hit at least 38F We said it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 11, 2016 Share Posted October 11, 2016 12Z Euro .. .the first D9-10 coastal ghost of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 Man what a couple amazing days. 40-degree diurnal swings, chilly mornings and warm afternoons. This is how you draw it up this time of year. Low of 33F this morning and currently 70/28 as of the latest ob out of MVL. Finally getting those sweet days where it climbs into the low 70s with sub-freezing dews. Borderline Red Flag warning stuff except for the lack of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 EURO sliding towards a stormy October 22-24th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: EURO sliding towards a stormy October 22-24th Forget day 10, I like the look of day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 You mean day 7 right Radarman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 Day 6 is nothing here except a dry and warm day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Day 6 is nothing here except a dry and warm day. 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: You mean day 7 right Radarman Love how the euro advects in that WAA from the plains while the surface HP slides offshore. May lack any kind of trigger for convection if the CF hangs back and the late Oct sun might not be able to break the cap, but either way it looks like a sweet day as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 Oh I rather have the severe weather back in July or August, this is the time of the year I favor snow over anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 EURO lacks an arctic stream connection to the northern stream branch. The northern stream cuts off and there is no connection with the cold air source to get snow on the backside of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Oh I rather have the severe weather back in July or August, this is the time of the year I favor snow over anything else. Hey if you're giving me snow in SNE in mid Oct who am I to complain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 I'm not giving you snow, the model was close but no cigar, got to wait until November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 3 minutes ago, radarman said: Hey if you're giving me snow in SNE in mid Oct who am I to complain? cutoffs second season about due to hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I'm not giving you snow, the model was close but no cigar, got to wait until November. Back to your original post, the evidence for a possible deep U/L low post 20th does seem to be mounting. If it lifts into the midwest and doesn't bowl right out underneath us that could bring substantial rains with prolonged southerly flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 13, 2016 Share Posted October 13, 2016 Big drought buster screamin soueaster next week??? Euro Ens all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 14, 2016 Author Share Posted October 14, 2016 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Big drought buster screamin soueaster next week??? Euro Ens all over it If we can get a SE guster that rips 60-70.. I think that would appease 98% of us . Just get something exciting .. with damage potential. Anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 Week 4 on the weeklies looks like November 2008 as Will alluded to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 El torcho early next week..esp Tuesday and Wednesday. Starts Sunday. Then looks like we rain late next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 14, 2016 Author Share Posted October 14, 2016 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: El torcho early next week..esp Tuesday and Wednesday. Starts Sunday. Then looks like we rain late next week. Just cut the thing waaaayy west so we scream southeast. Nothing would be worse than a boring, cold rainer that goes to our east along a front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just cut the thing waaaayy west so we scream southeast. Nothing would be worse than a boring, cold rainer that goes to our east along a front Overrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 14, 2016 Author Share Posted October 14, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Overrated. Ginx said there's good support from ENS>> hopefully it holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ginx said there's good support from ENS>> hopefully it holds I mean your damaging sou'easter. It's tough to get damage from that unless the setup is just right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 14, 2016 Author Share Posted October 14, 2016 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I mean your damaging sou'easter. It's tough to get damage from that unless the setup is just right. Chances are the WAR ends up forcing most of the rain way west of us anyway. Why would it change now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Week 4 on the weeklies looks like November 2008 as Will alluded to. is that good or bad? what did nov 2008 look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 Yes, second season of cut offs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 interesting melange of ?fictional? scenarios by the various operational models' 00z runs (if I'm not missing any cycles..). The GFS with like 4 straight days of light to moderate rain all over the upper MA over to the N cordillera and NE regions, ending as a final heavy rain Nor-easter... I wonder how many drought busting circumstances the models in general have tried to sell us on since late August. Then the GGEM and Euro, as near as D5 ...start the fertility clinic down near the Bahamas for some sort of home-grown tropical invovlement. Even the Euro spins something up the coast, with a clear warm-core cyclonic node near ISP ... nestled in the general surface trough -theme it has just beyond that time frame. The GGEM's version of that is a full bird quasi hybrid warm core bomb eventually cutting SNE in half... One thing that's sort of the lower common denominator in all that is some sort of trough or closed low dropping into the mid and lower App region of the E. Not sure how that 'general' perspective is supported(not supported) by the teleconnectors; which appear to be in their typical stochastic numbers we see in transition seasons. I suppose in some sense not entirely uneventful... question is, do any 'events' precipitate out of all that noise? Perfect opportunity to employ the old, 'time will tell' cliche. In the meantime, tomorrow morning's decent frost/freeze in the area ... then it appears we go through an above normal stretch through much of this immediate next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 14, 2016 Share Posted October 14, 2016 Euro!! nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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