Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

PTC Matthew


PaEasternWX

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
2 minutes ago, Floydbuster said:

Almost looks like a westward bump as the new eye starts to take over. Anyone else seeing this?

The inner eye is orbiting around the outer eye, so it could look a little west right now... That inner eyewall will not let go though.. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Peak gust on land 05z (0100h EDT) was 70 mph at Vero Beach. Gusts to 50 knots at buoy 41009 east of Cape Canaveral.

I am seeing that westward drift, still calling for a landfall near Cape Canaveral but could see it closer to Cocoa Beach the way this is evolving. That might mean eye inland until it gets past the cape and perhaps as far as Daytona Beach (at times, there may be wobbles up the coast). 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

Peak gust on land 05z (0100h EDT) was 70 mph at Vero Beach. Gusts to 50 knots at buoy 41009 east of Cape Canaveral.

I am seeing that westward drift, still calling for a landfall near Cape Canaveral but could see it closer to Cocoa Beach the way this is evolving. That might mean eye inland until it gets past the cape and perhaps as far as Daytona Beach (at times, there may be wobbles up the coast). 

With all do respect roger, looking at the current radar image, my non pro opinion is a mis by 30 miles near the cape. Taking a nap for 2 hrs, maybe I see a raking 4 am.

may god bless the people tonight.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Peak winds both 06z and 07z (0200h and 0300h EDT) were gusts to 71 mph at Vero Beach, joined by Melbourne in the later hour. Peak gusts at the Cape Canaveral offshore buoy have peaked as high as 58 knots. 

Landfall situation looks about the same, most probably partial landfall near Cape Canaveral, would say 0730h EDT to 0830h EDT. 

Will predict peak gusts to 110 mph at Melbourne but possibly 120-130 away from measuring sites in Titusville and Port Canaveral.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Good ol' buoy 41009, above, and and 41114 just to its west are both reporting 20+' wave heights.

41114 - http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41114 - 23.6ft at 2:30 Eastern (almost an hour ago)

41009 - 42.7KT winds, 56.3KT Gusting ... http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41009 - 22.6ft at 2:50 Eastern

Update:  41009 is reporting 50K winds, 68G, and 29.9ft wave heights as of 3:50am

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

08z (0400h EDT) peak winds on land ___ 74 mph (W) at Vero Beach, 67 mph (N) at Melbourne

also 64 kt (about 75 mph) gusts from northeast at ocean buoy 41009 east of Cape Canaveral. 

Intense outer eyewall bands west to northwest of eye are very close to outer barrier islands around Cocoa Beach, expect wind gusts there to ramp up to near 100 mph soon. Eye center appears to be 35 miles e.s.e. Melbourne, recent motion is about 320 deg.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • wxmx unpinned this topic

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...