Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Potential Hermine Impacts


Zelocita Weather

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
2 minutes ago, Pamela said:

I have to disagree with you there; with that much tropical moisture places like NYC and Long Island are looking at an extended soaking rain and probably a good deal of urban flooding as well.

I'm still trying to find a model that shows that.  The 12z Canadian is the only one so far that gets some rain into NYC 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Neblizzard said:

I'm still trying to find a model that shows that.  The 12z Canadian is the only one so far that gets some rain into NYC 

 

The Canadien is wet...the NAM is very close...and your global (GFS) is really only 50 miles SE from being a huge rainmaker...these models are no good with tropical systems...so you have to expect larger potential margins for error than with a mid latitude cyclone...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Pamela said:

I have to disagree with you there; with that much tropical moisture places like NYC and Long Island are looking at an extended soaking rain and probably a good deal of urban flooding as well.

Wow you are differing with every forecast

Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 hours ago, Allsnow said:

the worst of the weather for the metro area would be sunday evening into monday morning. Winds 50-70 knots and driving rain. this is if the euro is correct

It's out and it's the absolute worst case scenario possible for Delaware and eastern Maryland. I'm talking really really bad...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, Pamela said:

 

The Canadien is wet...the NAM is very close...and your global (GFS) is really only 50 miles SE from being a huge rainmaker...these models are no good with tropical systems...so you have to expect larger potential margins for error than with a mid latitude cyclone...

Even on 12z GFS the precipitation field is very nearby:

PA_000-120_0000.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

29 minutes ago, Neblizzard said:

I'm still trying to find a model that shows that.  The 12z Canadian is the only one so far that gets some rain into NYC 

I was just going to say the same kinda thing. Correct me if I'm wrong, but the models seem to keep the moderate/heavy precip south of NYC but the wind field is a different story.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Rjay locked this topic

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...