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WxWatcher007

2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion Thread II

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000
WTNT34 KNHC 030549
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
200 AM EDT SAT SEP 03 2016

...HERMINE RACING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA...
...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED IN THE HAMPTON ROADS AREA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.9N 77.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WNW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

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Just now, AmericanWxFreak said:

No major changes on euro so far, maybe even a tick west

I'm only out to 12 hrs on WB... how far along are you?

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1 minute ago, SabreAce33 said:

Is it looking like 12z?

It is a hair west of the 00z GFS, so close I wouldn't give one more weight than the other.

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Just now, AmericanWxFreak said:

big push back west starting 00z monday

It's spinning around on itself

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Just now, SabreAce33 said:

54 hours, bearing down on Cape May, 978mb.

That is a ridge over the Ohio Valley and Great lakes not a closed ULL. This pattern does not favor any significant westward movement.   A little fakout loop is all that it's going to do.

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