BlueRidgeFolklore Posted September 22, 2016 Share Posted September 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 22, 2016 Share Posted September 22, 2016 9 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: No flipping kidding! The euro has changed as much as the GFS has. It has been very inconsistent with this upcoming pattern. Currently both the gfs and euro look to cool things down but in a completly different way lol. Seems like model madness has started early this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted September 22, 2016 Share Posted September 22, 2016 16 minutes ago, Met1985 said: No flipping kidding! The euro has changed as much as the GFS has. It has been very inconsistent with this upcoming pattern. Currently both the gfs and euro look to cool things down but in a completly different way lol. Seems like model madness has started early this year. I haven't even seen the euro yet. What did it look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 22, 2016 Share Posted September 22, 2016 9 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: I haven't even seen the euro yet. What did it look like? It has a big high set up over the NE then the trough drops down from the Great Lakes over our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whamby Posted September 22, 2016 Share Posted September 22, 2016 The CMC is hilarious.. That southeast high is a demon from hell on that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 23, 2016 Share Posted September 23, 2016 Satellite image showing the areas east of the mtns socked in clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted September 24, 2016 Share Posted September 24, 2016 On September 22, 2016 at 5:08 PM, whamby said: The CMC is hilarious.. That southeast high is a demon from hell on that model they may have been on to something, SE Ridge apparently will have to blasted out by a major pattern change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 24, 2016 Share Posted September 24, 2016 25 minutes ago, Jaguars said: they may have been on to something, SE Ridge apparently will have to blasted out by a major pattern change the 12Z CMC run today is pretty much average to even a few below average days for a lot of the SE.....the pattern is changing, to a more transitional flow....of course being in Florida there will be less effect down that way. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=seus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2016092412&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 6 hours ago, downeastnc said: the 12Z CMC run today is pretty much average to even a few below average days for a lot of the SE.....the pattern is changing, to a more transitional flow....of course being in Florida there will be less effect down that way. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=seus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2016092412&fh=6&xpos=0&ypos=100 Looks good for NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 Last few runs of GFS trending towards more weak troughing in the east late this week through next weekend. So looking better especially further north in the region. And it's possible even here we see our last 90 degree high for quite a long time. Then it's all eyes on the Caribbean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 It's the most wonderful time of the year Friday Sunny, with a high near 70. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 72. And widespread dew points in the 40s: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 Yep it will finally start to feel like early fall. Hopefully we can kiss the 80s goodbye here in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 6 hours ago, FallsLake said: It's the most wonderful time of the year Friday Sunny, with a high near 70. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 72. And widespread dew points in the 40s: Yep COC weather right there....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 2 hours ago, Met1985 said: Yep it will finally start to feel like early fall. Hopefully we can kiss the 80s goodbye here in the mountains. I'd say they'll be done early this week and we'll ride off into fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: I'd say they'll be done early this week and we'll ride off into fall. I agree. This next week looks absolutely fabulous temp wise. Dropping from the middle 80s to around 70 by mid week then the upper 60s by the end of the week with lows probably from 40 to 45 degrees. It will be absolutely marvelous! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 Just now, Met1985 said: I agree. This next week looks absolutely fabulous temp wise. Dropping from the middle 80s to around 70 by mid week then the upper 60s by the end of the week with lows probably from 40 to 45 degrees. It will be absolutely marvelous! I've never been more excited for this temperature range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whamby Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, Silas Lang said: I've never been more excited for this temperature range. me either... this summer has been long and a living hell. I work in a no air conditioning environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 1 hour ago, Silas Lang said: I've never been more excited for this temperature range. Lol me neither ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted September 25, 2016 Share Posted September 25, 2016 The models are trending drier though, so the drought is going nowhere. I wouldn't be surprised if it takes until Thanksgiving just to get more than a trace of rain here just like the fall of 2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted September 30, 2016 Author Share Posted September 30, 2016 0z gfs says no frost through october 16th. average is october 5th for northern NC mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Over the years I've been to a few conferences in San Diego. The below is the forecast for RDU next week. It's also what a San Diego forecast would look like (notice the difference in highs and lows): Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Calm wind. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Light east wind. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Friday Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Bring it on..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Great to see 30s on the map! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Dew points for the above time period: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted October 3, 2016 Author Share Posted October 3, 2016 this will be good for the soil temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 And now, the countdown to the first freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 At last..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 So we may not get a direct hit from the hurricane, but look at what comes are way (upper 30s and 40s dew points for everybody): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 2 hours ago, FallsLake said: So we may not get a direct hit from the hurricane, but look at what comes are way (upper 30s and 40s dew points for everybody): As much as I would like to see some tropical system I will glady take this instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 From RAH (this is what I like to hear): .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 320 PM Wednesday... Based on the NHC forecast, Matthew should get kicked eastward on Sunday, with it`s fate there after still up in the air, as some track models keep the hurricane moving eastward across the Atlantic while the GFS and the ECMWF reduce the hurricane`s forward speed with a southward/southeastward turn. With Matthew moving away from land, this should lead to dry breezy/windy conditions on Sunday as a ~1030 MB Canadian Sfc high building south into the area will make for a tight pressuregradient. In fact, GFS bufr soundings at KFAY suggest 40 to 45 kts at the top of the mixed layer late Sunday morning and into the early afternoon, potentially flirting with wind advisory criteria across the southeastern zones. Otherwise, CAA Sunday night could support of the coolest readings we`ve seen this season, with overnight lows possibly getting down into the mid to upper 40s early next week. Dry seasonable temperatures should persist through mid week underneath zonal flow aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.