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August 2016 Discussion/Obs


dmillz25

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21 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

August is now here.  Sunset times begin to drop in earnest and average temps also begin a slow but steady decline.  Looks like a quiet week after today (mainly west of the city)

Average high only declines by 4 degrees until the end of the month.

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Terrible news for the areas hardest hit yesterday, the HRRR has gotten progressively more and more wet and now the 16z run hammers all of NE PA and most of NNJ tonight.

3-5" possible again in areas that train, and it could be more widespread than yesterday. Going to be some very serious flooding if this were to occur in my neck of the woods.

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7 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Not much has been making past the city. Yes we have had some rain on the island but mostly light. Ese flow is stopping the eastward   Movement of the storms 

The movement of these storms are incredibly slow and they tend to more or less rain themselves out before reaching the immediate coast. Still a lot of CIN along the coast as well today.

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34 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

right on queue, 18Z HRRR is basically drizzle for norther NJ with essentially nothing to the city or coast.  

It's been awful lately, but the model consensus does seem to point towards things staying mostly West of MMU.

The 18z 4K NAM is wet for NW areas of this subforum overnight.

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25 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

It's been awful lately, but the model consensus does seem to point towards things staying mostly West of MMU.

The 18z 4K NAM is wet for NW areas of this subforum overnight.

HRRR has been awful-it literally has a different solution each hour and it often is nothing like the hour before.

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10 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

7.99 IMBY for July..unoffficial and unofficially I believe the wettest July in history or at least in the past 40 years

how is this Saturday looking. I keep hearing a thunderstorm chance..is this just run of the mill stuff or could we repeat the deluge of the past couple day? Thanks

Record for your area is probably several inches above that...Record here since 1981 for July is 12.23" back in 2004.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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23 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said:

I hope it doesn't rain. On a better note the main heat is gone and it took a lot of rain to do it. It's going to snow just about 1500 miles north from NYC around Sunday. You know that heat dome will only diminish. It wasn't so bad this summer. We may get another push of low 90's

if that is indeed it it's like this past winter where it settled in for about 3 weeks in January and then faded.   2-3 weeks of big heat and then a fade...(assuming there's not another 2-3 week burst of heat)

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