Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8


wxmx
 Share

Recommended Posts

EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
739 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018  
  
LAC031-081-070100-  
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180407T0100Z/  
DE SOTO LA-RED RIVER LA-  
739 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018  
   
..TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE CITY OF COUSHATTA  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR EAST  
CENTRAL DE SOTO AND CENTRAL RED RIVER PARISHES...  
          
AT 738 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO WAS LOCATED  
NEAR COUSHATTA, OR 16 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD, MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.  
  
TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR COUSHATTA. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS   
SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
Link to comment
Share on other sites

it may be off its peak right now  but still......

 

C031-081-070100-  
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180407T0100Z/  
DE SOTO LA-RED RIVER LA-  
754 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR EAST  
CENTRAL DE SOTO AND CENTRAL RED RIVER PARISHES...  
          
AT 754 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  
LOCATED OVER COUSHATTA, OR 21 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD, MOVING EAST AT  
20 MPH.  
  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.   
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.   
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

No posts on what looks to be an cute little severe event this afternoon on the llano estacado?  CAMs are pretty enthusiastic about generating some supercells that should be surface-based for at least a couple of hours until they outrun the best surface instability and evolve into elevated clusters.  Not like there's going to be a huge tornado outbreak or anything, but its better than nothing . . .

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...
  • 2 weeks later...

It's definitely been a pretty boring stretch of weather the last month or so (or more?). At least this week there's been slight chances of afternoon thunderstorms, but I can't seem to cash in on one. NWS has a 50% chance for today so we'll see, I'm not holding my breath.

Other than a PDS tornado watch earlier this year (that didn't pan out), and a soggy February, I've been pretty underwhelmed by this spring. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

DFW sounding showed some pretty good lapse rates this morning

FWD.gif

and 3km nam really ramps up the surface instability later on. Windfields are a bit of a mess, though strong aloft.  The storm complex in OK is through Ardmore at present and hasn't weakened too much just yet... If it can keep pushing past the Red River I think there's a decent shot SPC ups the metroplex to slight risk later on.  Forcing is pretty weak without that OFB...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

mcd0516.gif

Mesoscale Discussion 0516
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1121 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

   Areas affected...North Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 251621Z - 251845Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A few strong wind gusts are possible as storms move south
   across the area today, but severe weather is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...A complex of storms with southward-surging outflow is
   currently crossing the Red River into TX. These storms are not
   severe as of 16Z, but have produced 30-40 mph wind gusts. Some
   increase in intensity is possible this afternoon.

   The 12Z FWD sounding shows around 3000 J/kg MUCAPE when modified for
   current surface conditions. Although shear profiles are weak, storms
   are expected to forward-propagate and maintain and/or increase
   slightly. An isolated severe wind gust cannot be ruled out, but
   severe coverage is not expected to warrant a watch at this time. In
   addition to wind, marginal hail is possible as well given cool
   temperatures aloft and substantial instability.

   ..Jewell/Hart.. 05/25/2018
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like the city had 0.5-1.0 inches of rain today, with areas west of town reporting up to 3 inches and a couple confirmed tornado. Lots of hail and thunder around too. Rained so hard it was actually fell into the upper 50s around 3 pm, which is an amazing outcome for June.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

thunderstorm complex held together better than expected this morning and dropped a fair amount of precip across the metroplex, particularly east of Dallas (Garland/Mesquite) where they're pushing 2-3".  Parts of Ft Worth did ok too, and along the I35E corridor. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just a few sprinkles so far IMBY. Clouds for most of the day from the MCS that fell apart to the west did a decent job of holding down temps. There's a few severe thunderstorms in the area but they're mostly just to my south. If I'm lucky I might get grazed by a shower and pick up 0.05" or so. I'm still holding out hope for more development overnight into tomorrow. I guess I better start my rain dance. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...