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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8


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The cold front is slowly advancing north still 40s in N TX with 70s and 80s in SE TX. E TX should see a line of strong storms tomorrow afternoon with temps falling from the mid 70s ahead of the front to 50s by evening and 30s by Wed morning. Thu morning could again see frost for NE TX. Temps then warm ahead of a strong front on Friday. Models show some hints of sleet Friday night along the Red River with a mix possible south of the River into N & NE TX.

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5 minutes ago, cheese007 said:

Wasn't expecting the severe watch for the metro

I'm a couple hours east of you, but I'm not thrilled with the HRRR/NAM for my prospects. The storms in central TX look to move south of my location robbing energy for storms that develop along the cold front and move southeastward towards me. The storms on the cold front seem to die as they reach my area. We'll see. It is very windy and warm outside, partly sunny.

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4 minutes ago, cstrunk said:

I'm a couple hours east of you, but I'm not thrilled with the HRRR/NAM for my prospects. The storms in central TX look to move south of my location robbing energy for storms that develop along the cold front and move southeastward towards me. The storms on the cold front seem to die as they reach my area. We'll see. It is very windy and warm outside, partly sunny.

Yeah was out driving earlier and definitely got "the feel" that something might be brewing but mentally deferred to the SPC 

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4 hours ago, cstrunk said:

I'm a couple hours east of you, but I'm not thrilled with the HRRR/NAM for my prospects. The storms in central TX look to move south of my location robbing energy for storms that develop along the cold front and move southeastward towards me. The storms on the cold front seem to die as they reach my area. We'll see. It is very windy and warm outside, partly sunny.

Well, the models pretty much nailed this to a "T" for my location. The heavier convection stayed just to my south, and the storms that fired along the cold front fizzled out pretty quickly. Pretty amazing job on their part.

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First tornado warning of this 4/6/18 episode

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
352 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHWESTERN BOWIE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...  
  NORTH CENTRAL MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...  
  NORTHEASTERN TITUS COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...  
  SOUTHEASTERN RED RIVER COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...  
  
* UNTIL 430 PM CDT  
      
* AT 352 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO  
  WAS LOCATED NEAR WILKERSON, OR NEAR BOXELDER, MOVING EAST AT 30  
  MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.   
  
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.   
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.   
  
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...  
  DALBY SPRINGS AROUND 410 PM CDT.   

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7 minutes ago, BrandonC_TX said:

That storm only took like 20 minutes to go from a blip on the radar and then go severe... talk about explosive development.  The atmosphere is indeed very unstable.

And DFW Airport is in the direct path of this exploding storm. Looks like American is about to get some newly dented planes. 

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6 minutes ago, Calderon said:

And DFW Airport is in the direct path of this exploding storm. Looks like American is about to get some newly dented planes. 

Seems a bit weaker on radar now, but there is a severe-warned storm just to the west on its heels.

The storm near Celina also seems to be developing a hook with what appears to be some rotation on radar.

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2 minutes ago, Chinook said:

Isn't there somebody on this board from Richardson, a couple miles away from this tornado warning?

That would be me at UTD. Pretty blase reaction on campus rn. My dad is in the warning area near far west Prosper/McKinney border

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Baseball size hail approaching Shreveport.

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
554 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A  
  
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHERN MILLER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...  
  CENTRAL WEBSTER PARISH IN NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...  
  NORTHERN DE SOTO PARISH IN NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...  
  CADDO PARISH IN NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...  
  BOSSIER PARISH IN NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...  
  EASTERN MARION COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...  
  NORTHEASTERN HARRISON COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...  
  
* UNTIL 645 PM CDT  
  
* AT 554 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE  
  EXTENDING FROM PLAIN DEALING TO BELCHER TO NEAR KARNACK, MOVING  
  SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.  
  
  THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.   
  
  HAZARD...BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.   
  
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.   
  
  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE SEVERELY INJURED.   
           EXPECT SHATTERED WINDOWS, EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO ROOFS,   
           SIDING, AND VEHICLES.   
  
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
  SHREVEPORT, BOSSIER CITY, VIVIAN, HAUGHTON, GREENWOOD, BLANCHARD,  
  BENTON, PLAIN DEALING, COTTON VALLEY, OIL CITY, DOYLINE,  

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
732 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018  
  
LAC031-081-070100-  
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180407T0100Z/  
DE SOTO LA-RED RIVER LA-  
732 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR EAST  
CENTRAL DE SOTO AND CENTRAL RED RIVER PARISHES...  
          
AT 732 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF  
COUSHATTA, OR 13 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD, MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.   
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.   
  
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE   
         TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS   
         LIKELY.   
  
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
COUSHATTA, EDGEFIELD, GRAND BAYOU AND ARMISTEAD.   
  

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