USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 31, 2016 Author Share Posted August 31, 2016 UKMET and GFS are east with the system now while the CMC plows into SNE with TD9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Roosta, it means James Gone Wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 That was fun while it lasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 06z GFS brings the storm along the SE coast inland, loops it back into Delaware and then drifts it south of Long Island. Some much needed rain at the least. Another run, another solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 9 minutes ago, Hoth said: 06z GFS brings the storm along the SE coast inland, loops it back into Delaware and then drifts it south of Long Island. Some much needed rain at the least. Another run, another solution. really hoping for that along the south coast, 00 GEFS printing a soaker down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Another scintillating day of watching the tropics in New England. Yawn. 59.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Just looked at what is going on weather wise for the first time today. Quite a blob of deep convection with TD 9. Outflow looks poor except SE quad. Guess no recent recon. What's going on with that? Models shifting west. That is good news for New England in my opinion. If the storm comes up the coast and hugs it up to NC it will not become a destructive wind event for us. Heavy rains usually on west side so if we can get the storm west enough maybe some drought denting rain for at least SE New England. Looks like a very complicated track situation but something to definitely watch how it evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 I'm a fish-out-of-water in literal terms. A transplanted Bostonian posting in a tropical thread in New England. Awakened this morning to two stand-out features. 1. Official track adjusting to the left. That's cool with me. 2. Outflow (even if it's still a disorganized blob) is being inhibited on the NW side. ML dry-air intrusion from the trough moving in. A PRE is presently get going. UL flow is increasing from the SW. I'm hoping the track today doesn't shift back right. (most likely will) Expecting a boatload of water to the tune of localized 12" in the next 48hrs. Probably sustained winds in the 30-40mph range with gusts to 60 at the height of the storm in squalls Thursday evening. Eyes peeled on GRL2 seeing an increase chance of quick hitting EF0-EF1. Line of site is blocked 360 by trees living in a forest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Big shift west by the 12z GFS. Has TD9 now inland and just along Delmarva by 00z Sunday. Would be a nice drought buster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 14 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Big shift west by the 12z GFS. Has TD9 now inland and just along Delmarva by 00z Sunday. Would be a nice drought buster. meh rain storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 Charlie Orloff took this picture when the eye of Hurricane Carol was in GON, check out the surf size way in the background. Pure tropical system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 meh rain stormExactly what many need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 51 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: meh rain storm Models remind me of 40/70 Ray's favorite winter storms that blow their load way too far south and then New England picks up some occluded leftovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 USCAPE will enjoy the 12z HWRF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 36 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Models remind me of 40/70 Ray's favorite winter storms that blow their load way too far south and then New England picks up some occluded leftovers. Lol yep that is what the GFS shows, nice baroclinic leaf with a dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 more Meh from the Euro especially the drought areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: more Meh from the Euro especially the drought areas Road trip to Jersey? 80 knot gusts on the coast per Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Road trip to Jersey? 80 knot gusts on the coast per Euro. 80 knots? at the surface? link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: 80 knots? at the surface? link? 10M gusts. Check the NYC forum. Just kisses the coast around Atlantic City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 What an interesting setup with Tropical Storm Hermine. First off the models are going to be in a real state of flux for what happens up here. Yesterday it looked like out to sea and perhaps hooking back. Todays 12Z runs have it coming up and hitting a brick wall south of New England.. How far it gets before stalling, looping or weakening will be the key. No way is New England going to get a hurricane but hopefully some rain and some pretty good east winds with the pressure gradient. Beach erosion, rip tides, high surf along the east coast south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 1 minute ago, Hoth said: 10M gusts. Check the NYC forum. Just kisses the coast around Atlantic City. Thanks, Jersey bois special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 y'all seeing what the Euro is doing day 9 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: y'all seeing what the Euro is doing day 9 lol Grab the surf board and head to Ruggles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 45 minutes ago, Hoth said: Grab the surf board and head to Ruggles? Thats 10 days of plus surf right there lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 I'm gonna go with the idea the block is too strong and this ends up stalled off VA and it's a nice weekend. Not going to be any impact other than surf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'm gonna go with the idea the block is too strong and this ends up stalled off VA and it's a nice weekend. Not going to be any impact other than surf That's good enough for me to pull the boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 It's early, but my gut says this is a bigger deal (could be a doozy) for NJ area. I think we'll get the arc of WAA rains and some east winds ahead of it, but nothing too significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's early, but my gut says this is a bigger deal (could be a doozy) for NJ area. I think we'll get the arc of WAA rains and some east winds ahead of it, but nothing too significant. My gut says that I'll get no qpf as precursor to the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's early, but my gut says this is a bigger deal (could be a doozy) for NJ area. I think we'll get the arc of WAA rains and some east winds ahead of it, but nothing too significant. Meh..I could do without another sandy as the shore seems like it's just about back to normal this summer. I will be well north in Maine this weekend so hopefully it's not to bad down in nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 This is nothing like Sandy. It'll be a weak TD if that as it spends days over land. Way too much hype Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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