Michael__Ginger Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 Raleigh-Durham International Airport receives 1.02 inch from 16:51 to 17:51 with thunderstorm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 That was pretty intense. Storm is long gone but the thunder rolls.And the lightning strikes! Rain is over here! .29 total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 And the thunder rolls..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 And the thunder rolls.....And the lightning strikes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 1.17" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 0.87" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 So any tornado's with this one? How about large storm surge or catastrophic flooding? Man from this thread, I would have thought that Bonnie was a huge deal. I had a total of 15 raindrops here in Asheville, but some were saying SW NC would be ground zero. That meso high that had been modeled over NW NC for the past 5 days should have been a good indication that moisture entering that environment would dry up. Thus negating any precip from upslope. Models struggled resolving this, but that high pressure played huge in WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 So any tornado's with this one? How about large storm surge or catastrophic flooding? Man from this thread, I would have thought that Bonnie was a huge deal. I had a total of 15 raindrops here in Asheville, but some were saying SW NC would be ground zero. That meso high that had been modeled over NW NC for the past 5 days should have been a good indication that moisture entering that environment would dry up. Thus negating any precip from upslope. Models struggled resolving this, but that high pressure played huge in WNC.Only 1 said that NWNC would be ground zero, with 6-12" of rain, and that was Wilkesdude or (NWNC2015) ! And he always nails his forecasts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 30, 2016 Author Share Posted May 30, 2016 I will continue to post model output of 6-12" so I and others can learn which models do better than others! I believe the HRRR and EURO did well. It's always interesting to see how well they do after "upgrades". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 30, 2016 Author Share Posted May 30, 2016 A little rotation starting to show up north-east of Jacksonville, NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 There could be a weak spin up in the east today, that one cell headed for Kinston/Dover does have a bot of a rotation forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted May 30, 2016 Author Share Posted May 30, 2016 Death total looks to be in the 1-2 range from rip currents not as bad as I was expecting. Both in their early 20s. One in Florida and the one in NC body not found yet. Dozens of rescues tho with it being Memorial Day weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 Nice weekend didn't see a drop of rain. Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 30, 2016 Share Posted May 30, 2016 Hearing thunder as a storm approaches from the south, should give me a nice quick .50" of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted June 2, 2016 Author Share Posted June 2, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCHurricane Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 Was just looking at the loop. Nice flare-up tonight. It's dumping rain on the southern OBX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 Wow look at the current radar presentation. This is the best this storm has ever looked. Probably a TD or low end tropical storm right now affecting the OBX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 Yeah I'm confused as to why this hasn't been upgraded again and the post tropical update keeps saying a low chance; this is by far the best its ever looked. The structure has been consistent ever since yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.0N 75.7W ABOUT 14 MILES...23 KM...S OF HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...32 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 From the 5:00PM advisory... FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 02/2100Z 35.4N 74.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 03/0600Z 35.8N 73.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 03/1800Z 36.3N 70.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 04/0600Z 36.5N 67.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 04/1800Z 36.5N 63.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 05/1800Z 36.0N 55.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 Well, glad to see the forum's up again. Bonnie looks to become a tropical storm within the next few hours. Overall, I've been impressed with its strengthening over the past day. IMO, it looked much better a bit earlier today on satellite than it ever did last week. With weak(er) shear, the convection is actually able to stay near the CoC, as opposed to having essentially a naked swirl like we did last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 1100 PM EDT THU JUN 02 2016 The last observations from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft from several hours ago showed that Bonnie had changed little in intensity and remained just below tropical storm strength. Since that time, the cloud pattern of the tropical cyclone has not become better organized, and the center appears to be located on the southeast edge of the main area of deep convection. The current intensity is held at 30 kt, and this is in agreement with the latest Dvorak estimates from both TAFB and SAB. There is a short window of opportunity for Bonnie to strengthen a bit as it traverses the Gulf Stream and the vertical shear remains light during the next 12 to 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 With quite the impressive burst in convection, Bonnie (yet again) becomes a TS. From the NHC: Somewhat unexpectedly, the convection associated with Bonnie hasincreased this afternoon to the point where the satellite intensityestimate from TAFB is now 35 kt. In addition, an ASCAT-B overpassnear 1400 UTC showed several 35-kt vectors about 30 n mi southeastof the center. Based on these data, Bonnie is again designated asa tropical storm with an initial intensity of 35 kt.The initial motion is now 090/11. Bonnie should move generallyeastward to east-southeastward between the subtropical ridge to thesouth and a developing baroclinic low to the northeast. The modelguidance has shifted a little southward since the last advisory,and the new forecast track is nudged southward as well.The current intensification is likely to be short lived, as Bonniewill be moving over sea surface temperatures colder than 24C inabout 12 hours. Thus, the intensity forecast calls for weakeningthrough the forecast period, with Bonnie degenerating to apost-tropical low between 12 and 24 hours. The low shouldsubsequently weaken to a trough between 48 and 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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