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April 24-30th Severe Potential


Chicago Storm

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So odd that the first tornado warned storm today is on a somewhat identical path as the same supercell 25 years today that produced the horrific F-5 Andover tornado. This supercell obviously is no where near the level of that one but it's just odd.

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Sitting within striking distance of the cell near Tipton, but not sure I want to commit yet. Radar presentation is messy.

if that thing stays together, it looks as though, on its current trajectory, it would impact OKC metro later this evening.
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mcd0461.gif

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0461
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0513 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN OK NWD INTO NWRN OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 109...

VALID 262213Z - 262315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 109 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER SWRN OK AND
THE TORNADO RISK MAY INCREASE SOME OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAICS SHOWS WIDELY SCTD STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
ON THE WRN EDGE OF THE MOIST PLUME LOCATED FROM SWRN OK NNEWD INTO
NWRN OK. SURFACE DEWPOINTS ON THE INFLOW SIDE OF THE STORMS RANGES
FROM 66-68 DEG F WITH TEMPS IN THE MID-UPPER 70S. THE UPPER-LEVEL
FORCED BAND OF ASCENT IS RAPIDLY APPROACHING WRN OK FROM W TX AND
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. IN THE SHORT-TERM...KFDR VAD DATA HAS SHOWN SOME
TEMPERED ENLARGEMENT IN THE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH DESPITE THE
CONTINUATION OF THE VEER-BACK-VEER CHARACTERISTIC IN THE WIND
PROFILE. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLD DMGG WIND AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

..SMITH.. 04/26/2016


ATTN...WFO...OUN...

LAT...LON 34559936 36199863 36919778 36539733 34369830 34199868
34249915 34559936

 
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