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Feb 24 2016 severe weather outbreak


Ian

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  

TORNADO WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

458 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  

 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  

SOUTHWESTERN STAFFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

THE SOUTH CENTRAL CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...  

SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...  

 

* UNTIL 545 PM EST  

 

* AT 457 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  

CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED  

NEAR MINERAL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.  

 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

MASSAPONAX...SPOTSYLVANIA...POST OAK...GLENORA...ALSOP...LOGAN...  

GATEWOOD...DUNAVANT...CHANCELLORSVILLE...COOKSTOWN...SNELL...  

BROKENBURG AND THORNBURG.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

500 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016  

 

VAC047-061-137-177-179-630-242215-  

/O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160224T2215Z/  

STAFFORD VA-CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG VA-ORANGE VA-CULPEPER VA-  

SPOTSYLVANIA VA-FAUQUIER VA-  

500 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016  

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EST FOR  

SOUTHWESTERN STAFFORD...EAST CENTRAL ORANGE...SOUTHEASTERN  

CULPEPER...NORTH CENTRAL SPOTSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEASTERN FAUQUIER  

COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG...  

 

AT 459 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE  

OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES  

NORTHWEST OF SPOTSYLVANIA...OR 13 MILES WEST OF FREDERICKSBURG...  

MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.  

 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

STORCK...HARTWOOD...HEFLIN...LOGAN...HOLLY CORNER...PARKER...  

DUNAVANT...SOMERVILLE...CHANCELLORSVILLE...ROSEVILLE...COOKSTOWN...  

GOLDVEIN...RAMOTH AND GLENDIE.  

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Thoughts on it? Ian and others citing almost no instability up here. I feel like what sometimes happens is it gets absorbed into the line itself but maybe not with this speed. 

 

 

It's got a long way to go but with the northern end of the line firing in a lower CAPE environment, I would expect it to die off quickly.  Still has to hold a meso for quite some time before it gets close.

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It's got a long way to go but with the northern end of the line firing in a lower CAPE environment, I would expect it to die off quickly.  Still has to hold a meso for quite some time before it gets close.

 

I guess one thing it has going for it is that sharp temp gradient. Riding right along where those warmer temps go to. 

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This stuff really has congealed. Will probably spell the death of any longer track tornado threat - but spin ups still possible within the line. Guess it's possible something manages to isolate itself again but linear seems to be the name of the game at this point. Seems the rotation markers are all very sharp wind shifts. 

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  

TORNADO WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

513 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  

 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  

SOUTHEASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

STAFFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

THE CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...  

SOUTHEASTERN CULPEPER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

NORTHEASTERN SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...  

 

* UNTIL 600 PM EST  

 

* AT 512 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  

CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED  

NEAR FREDERICKSBURG...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  

 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

STAFFORD...FREDERICKSBURG...DALE CITY...WOODBRIDGE...AQUIA CREEK...  

DUMFRIES...MONTCLAIR...TRIANGLE...FALMOUTH...BROOKE...  

GARRISONVILLE...STONES CORNER...BROOKFIELD...SPRING VALLEY...  

HARTWOOD...HOLLY CORNER...AQUIA...ROSEVILLE...ARKENDALE AND  

LEELAND.  

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  

 

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST  

FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE  

HOME OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND  

PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  

 

THIS CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES AND  

WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE  

TORNADO. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST  

FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

514 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016  

 

VAC177-179-630-242245-  

/O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160224T2245Z/  

STAFFORD VA-CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG VA-SPOTSYLVANIA VA-  

514 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016  

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EST FOR  

SOUTHWESTERN STAFFORD AND SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF  

FREDERICKSBURG...  

 

AT 514 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE  

OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES  

WEST OF SPOTSYLVANIA...OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF MINERAL...MOVING  

NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  

 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

SPOTSYLVANIA...MASSAPONAX...CHANCELLORSVILLE...COOKSTOWN...POST  

OAK...GLENORA...ALSOP...SNELL...LOGAN...DUNAVANT AND BROKENBURG.

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Honestly, I can't even tell why those parts of the line are warned, I don't see much if any rotation atm. Are they warned just incase the line drops a quick spin up?

EDIT: I mean the northern two.

It's more a sharp wind shift so something could briefly spin up. Tho higher tilts do look a TOUCH more interesting. Also heavily populated area so probably also a bit of cya. 

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Honestly, I can't even tell why those parts of the line are warned, I don't see much if any rotation atm. Are they warned just incase the line drops a quick spin up?

EDIT: I mean the northern two.

 

 

True, no big spinnies, but there's defintiely a shear zone or something there so it's probably a CYA in case it tightens and drops

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