tdp146 Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Lows of 19 in Westhampton and 21 in Monticello so far. I got down to 28. Wow. Frost on the car this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 GFS thinks we see a very nice warmup after the cold shot. Looks like towards mid month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 At 12 pm, the temperature at Central Park was 52°. Today is the 24th day this month with a temperature of 50° or above. That ties the record for most such days, which was set in 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 Fire weather!!! Hope people realize this I was out riding (mt biking) today and a couple of other times in the last week. The soil is still plenty moist, actually still mud in most spots, under the leaves from last fall but they are bone dry as are all of the downed trees and such. If a fire were to get going it would be a short lived but seriously damaging event because there is no new growth yet for this year to moisten the standing forest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 With this morning's 52° reading, NYC has set a new record for most 50° days in March at 25. The previous record was 24, which was set in 2012. The month is on track to finish with a temperature anomaly of 6.3° above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 I've really become numb to this record warmth. Above average is the new average...anything around average feels downright unseasonably cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 With this morning's 52° reading, NYC has set a new record for most 50° days in March at 25. The previous record was 24, which was set in 2012. The month is on track to finish with a temperature anomaly of 6.3° above normal. Amazing torch. Vegetation is about 2 weeks ahead of schedule around here as a result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 Amazing torch. Vegetation is about 2 weeks ahead of schedule around here as a result. Better take it in before next week's cold blast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 Better take it in before next week's cold blast LOL! "Honey, why are the forsythia in the hallway?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 Ant- wherever that tree is that grows in Brooklyn, make sure to cover it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 The 12Z GFS has some snow for Monday night for the far northern suburbs, and pretty cold temperatures everywhere. It's a crazy temperature roller coaster between Monday morning and afternoon, and then again Monday night into Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 31, 2016 Author Share Posted March 31, 2016 The 12Z GFS has some snow for Monday night, and pretty cold temperatures everywhere. It's a crazy temperature roller coaster between Monday morning and afternoon, and then again Monday night into Tuesday morning.Are we looking at the same 12z GFS? It's showing even southern New England as rain showers, maybe flakes mix in with rain for them, you don't get into all snow until central and northern New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 Are we looking at the same 12z GFS? It's showing even southern New England as rain showers, maybe flakes mix in with rain for them, you don't get into all snow until central and northern New EnglandI edited it, as I intended to write northern suburbs, no need to be so testy. Weenie show maps certainly shows some snow for areas to our north, I never said accumulating snow. Either way, it's showing temperatures in the teens for you Tuesday morning, and that is probably the last vestige of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 With this morning's 52° reading, NYC has set a new record for most 50° days in March at 25. The previous record was 24, which was set in 2012. The month is on track to finish with a temperature anomaly of 6.3° above normal. Also the 4th top ten warmest March for NYC since 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 Vertical volicities look really intense across New England on Sunday. That combined with the strong winds would cause white-out conditions for any stray squall that lingers into the LHV Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 70 in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 With today's high temperature of 71° through 2 pm, New York City's mean temperature for March is 48.8° (+6.3°). That makes March 2016 the 4th warmest on record. Were the high temperature to reach 73°, the mean temperature would come to 48.9°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 With today's high temperature of 71° through 2 pm, New York City's mean temperature for March is 48.8° (+6.3°). That makes March 2016 the 4th warmest on record. Were the high temperature to reach 74°, the mean temperature would come to 48.9°. And 6 of the top 10 were a long time ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 Amazing 3 of the warmest Marches in the top ten were in the last 6 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Amazing 3 of the warmest Marches in the top ten were in the last 6 years. And despite the 4th warmest March on record, still couldn't beat the warmth this past December. Pretty impressive stat when you consider that the average December temperature in NYC is 5 degrees colder than March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 And despite the 4th warmest March on record, still couldn't beat the warmth this past December. Pretty impressive stat when you consider that the average December temperature in NYC is 5 degrees colder than March. That's one of the most astonishing things I've ever seen following this hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Thunderstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 5, 2016 Share Posted April 5, 2016 Yeah, our average temperatures since last April have been closer to normal for the area around Richmond, Virginia instead of NYC. Sections of area saw the first East Coast 40/40 winter since Norfolk in 79-80. Because of the UHI...there really isn't that much difference between the mean daily low at Richmond v NYC LGA, anyways. Based on 1981 - 2010 normals...the average daily low temperature (for the entire calendar year) at Richmond is actually lower than at NYC LGA....(48.1 F for Richmond....48.2 F for NYC LGA). This essentially debunks half of your claim. So what appears "remarkable" really isn't...if one looks hard enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 5, 2016 Share Posted April 5, 2016 Because of the UHI...there really isn't that much difference between the mean daily low at Richmond v NYC LGA, anyways. Based on 1981 - 2010 normals...the average daily low temperature (for the entire calendar year) at Richmond is actually lower than at NYC LGA....(48.1 F for Richmond....48.2 F for NYC LGA). This essentially debunks half of your claim. So what appears "remarkable" really isn't...if one looks hard enough. Central Park's average low at that timeframe is 47.9, but the difference is negligible. A more comparable city would be DC, which averages a full degree and a half more than us on the average low for the calendar year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 5, 2016 Share Posted April 5, 2016 Because of the UHI...there really isn't that much difference between the mean daily low at Richmond v NYC LGA, anyways. Based on 1981 - 2010 normals...the average daily low temperature (for the entire calendar year) at Richmond is actually lower than at NYC LGA....(48.1 F for Richmond....48.2 F for NYC LGA). This essentially debunks half of your claim. So what appears "remarkable" really isn't...if one looks hard enough. If you think that the record warmth here since last April hasn't been remarkable, then there is very little left to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 5, 2016 Share Posted April 5, 2016 If you think that the record warmth here since last April hasn't been remarkable, then there is very little left to say. Yeah, they're really nitpicking. NYC's average temperature is actually 3.9 degrees lower than that of Richmond, to pick out LGA's average low gives almost no perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 5, 2016 Share Posted April 5, 2016 The point he/she was trying to make was the average temperature in NYC during that time has been comparable to that in Richmond Virginia which does have an average temperature significantly higher than NYC's. Their climates are very different, Richmond has never received more than 28 inches of snow in a season, NYC's historical average is 28.8. I know NYC has an extreme UHI effect but let's not be drawing comparisons in their climate to Richmond, they are not comparable. The average winter months are 5-6 degrees higher on average in Richmond. That we are even have this discussion is a testament to how freaking mild the last 12 months have been. That's just for the low though, the actual temperature difference is close to 4 degrees. We all know that UHI prevents NYC from getting the low temperatures typical for this area, but overall the average temperature is significantly cooler than Richmond (4 degrees average over a calendar year is a lot) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 5, 2016 Share Posted April 5, 2016 Yeah, he's really nitpicking. NYC's average temperature is actually 3.9 degrees lower than that of Richmond, to pick out LGA's average low gives almost no perspective. Yeah, the perspective is the record warmth over this period for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 5, 2016 Share Posted April 5, 2016 The remarkable warmth Bluewave was referencing for the April 1, 2015 - March 31, 2016 period was a widespread phenomenon. It was not an artifact of UHI. Select temperature anomalies (°C) are below: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 5, 2016 Share Posted April 5, 2016 That's just for the low though, the actual temperature difference is close to 4 degrees. We all know that UHI prevents NYC from getting the low temperatures typical for this area, but overall the average temperature is significantly cooler than Richmond (4 degrees average over a calendar year is a lot) Maybe there is a UHI in Richmond? Did you ever consider that possibility? I never argued that the temperatures in NYC have not averaged above normal over the last 12 months. I argued that verbal legerdemain can turn something interesting but really rather pedestrian into what appears to be an astounding anomaly...once again, if the average lows are the same, half the argument about how hot it has been falls flat...because the locations have the same average low to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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