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Valentine's Day Storm Obs


NCSNOW

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If convection to the NE of the low fires up, then the low will start pulling towards a apps runner. Would be ideal to have minimal convection right now and have the low as weak as it can be. Even CAE's wetbulbs below freezing. 

 

I must be missing something. Is the low that far south of where the NAM had it last run? 

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Apologies if this is a weenie question, but what are the odds (incredibly slim I know) that this thing could still transfer to the coast?

 

The precip is building from Jacksonville to Myrtle from the Atlantic, and has me interested.

 

 

Not much. Maybe more than a ghost of a chance, but not much.

 

Probably wont establish itself in the Atlantic until its well to our north.

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