UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Someone's getting 2+ feet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 the euro wind maps from wunderground are rarely this aggressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Nothing like a looming rainstorm in February to silence the forum. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Low placement is well south and east so far on GFS of last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Low goes off the coast and tracks right over jersey again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Pretty much the same as 18z... Huge storm for upstate NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 As I said earlier before I was deleted this will continue until off the coast and there is a colder solution. Shove able snow followed by rain. The placement of the upper air and slower retreating high will cause this low placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 GFS is 2-3" of rain... It will truly be amazing to get more liquid rain, in one event this winter than YTD snowfall lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 As I said earlier before I was deleted this will continue until off the coast and there is a colder solution. Shove able snow followed by rain. The placement of the upper air and slower retreating high will cause this low placement Nothing supports this though, the slow retreating high is what's causing this storm to NOT push off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Low placement is well south and east so far on GFS of last run Ended up well south and east. Huge snowstorm for well upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Ended up well south and east. Huge snowstorm for well upstate NY.Generally same result, we get a few inches front end, washed away by 2" of rain, followed by a few "inches" of back end snow that will 100% not even stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Also don't be fooled by tropical tidbits snow map for our area, every bit of that is washed away by rain, and what falls after will most likely not stick after the warmer soaking rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 GGEM is also much quicker than 12z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 The high on the GGEM is also well north and east of its position compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Well, at least the rain will dent our drought. Gotta find some silver lining here, I am grasping at straws! Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 GGEM is way east compared to 12z. Good front end thump. Low goes just to the west of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The models are clueless on this thing right now, likely because this system is coming from so far away over the Pacific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 GGEM is well east, not sure why my post was deleted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 GGEM was very similar to What the GFS has been showing up until today....norh of 84 stays all Frozen but mixes, heavy at that... North of new paltz/Kingston stay all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 So close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 I know it's kinda taboo this far out, but the Nam is wayyyyy faster than the GFS for the low placement at HR 84, take it as you will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I wonder if the kicker can kick this storm even further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I wonder if the kicker can kick this storm even further east. Don't you love how we were waiting for west west all winter. I'm going with the west trend and a aps runner unfortunately. This is a way upstate storm. Whiteface for the win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro is way east of 12z also, brings he low just west of jersey, as oppose to central PA on its 12z run.. Close but not there yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro is way east of 12z also, brings he low just west of jersey, as oppose to central PA on its 12z run.. Close but not there yet East but warmer. I see the models are also starting to bring in the WAA snows earlier now which would bold well for all of us to see frozen precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 East but warmer. I see the models are also starting to bring in the WWA snows earlier now which would bold well for all of us to see frozen precip. Agreed, I can't see how the faster trend, is gonna be as warm as the euro is depicting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 12zimage.png 00zimage.png LOTS OF TIME I wonder if the models are eroding the cold air too quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I don't see how this is going to trend much more further east with a very strong high in the NW Atlantic. At best it'll hug the coast but I'm thinking the low tracks as far west as central/eastern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 models still in la la land. 6z GFS is warmer and westward...like older runs of the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Nam is still nowhere near GFS or euro at end of it run, much further east and quicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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