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Typhoon Tip

Model Mezzanine, the 2nd installment

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The good news is that since it doesn't dump snow over the Berkshires and Greens anymore, we can probably count on that deformation band being about 75 miles east of where it is this run.

Check out 925 temps, wow

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That looks really good for most away from the Mass coast and maybe GON.

Looks like most of CT west of 395 would go to pounding snow after mix.

Everyone in New England gets at least 3"+ on the snow map.

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The good news is that since it doesn't dump snow over the Berkshires and Greens anymore, we can probably count on that deformation band being about 75 miles east of where it is this run.

Haha I was thinking that. I'd be pretty excited in ORH-TOL thanks to the western snow shield.

"Congrats Dendrite on the deform band".

We are like DT in Richmond at this point with the snow shield.

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The good news is that since it doesn't dump snow over the Berkshires and Greens anymore, we can probably count on that deformation band being about 75 miles east of where it is this run.

lol, Lock it, Coastal plain would need that shift to get the goods

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Check out 925 temps, wow

 

 

No chance going above freezing with that sfc look...the ageostrophic flow is almost more NNW in that setup. A lot of guidance has that same sfc look...track has differed some and evolution of mid-levels, but they all have that elongated sfc low pressure up to the SE of New England for a chunk of the storm.

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No chance going above freezing with that sfc look...the ageostrophic flow is almost more NNW in that setup. A lot of guidance has that same sfc look...track has differed some and evolution of mid-levels, but they all have that elongated sfc low pressure up to the SE of New England for a chunk of the storm.

 

Even the GFS is probably pretty icy I'd say. 

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Even the GFS is probably pretty icy I'd say. 

 

 

Yeah I would agree...GFS probably has the worst looking high to the north of any model, but it still has that sfc reflection extending to the southeast of our area which would lock in colder drain.

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Well, freezing rain doesn't excite me. But maybe pingers. 

Looks sleety but you are right on the very edge per se of a good snowstorm which at this range is not bad. Love the ski country look for sure

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There's what we discussed earlier..The GFS because of it's poor resolution and other issues, has no idea that 2nd banana high is building in so it cuts ..Euro sees it, and it's cold.

GFS = Horiz: T1534 ~13km Vert: 64 levels

EC = Horiz: T1279 ~16km Vert: 137 levels

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Looks sleety but you are right on the very edge per se of a good snowstorm which at this range is not bad. Love the ski country look for sure

Or on the very edge of a good rainer which is as equally plausible.

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Looks sleety but you are right on the very edge per se of a good snowstorm which at this range is not bad. Love the ski country look for sure

 

Skiers would rejoice, It was great run for the slopes

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In a couple hours meteocentre will have the full 12z run to 240. Can't wait!

Haha oh is 192 as far as TropicalTidbits goes?

Gotta start following that model as you've been pretty adamant this winter about its usefulness.

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