OHweather Posted February 16, 2016 Author Share Posted February 16, 2016 gotta give props to ILN, they nailed this one. For future reference, the nam was too far east with the precip, (totally whiffing us inside of 24 hours), even the gfs wasn't that much better. Euro did very well. But someone told me just a couple weeks ago that the Euro was having a "rough" year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 But someone told me just a couple weeks ago that the Euro was having a "rough" year! I wonder if it's the same poster that warned me not to trust the euro's suppressed track of the followup wave, (which incidentally is.... quite suppressed). Saying he trusts the gfs more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 name names Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Rates starting to slacken up. Also, margin temps and higher mid-Feb sun angle starting to impact accumulations. Only picked up another 0.1" or so the last hour. Per BUF radar there may be one more push of higher quality rates. Still, gonna be tough to get into my range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Public transit in Ottawa is grinding to a halt.... we are getting crushed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Public transit in Ottawa is grinding to a halt.... we are getting crushed here.Over 9" in last the 4 hours at YOW.YOW is at 29cm as of 1pm which is about a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 This radar image is a keeper: http://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=XFT (except I imagine it will be updating for future readers, maybe somebody has time to cache it, I'm out the door to play golf (yeah in Canada, who knew?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 42 cms reported near ROC (Fairport NY). thundersnow seems likely Ottawa to Kingston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 42 cms reported near ROC (Fairport NY). thundersnow seems likely Ottawa to Kingston It's just pouring snow out here....at least 40cm down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 My son estimates over 30 cms down near Picton, Ont. and still snowing at a good clip. Forty or more may be in reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I measured 2.8" in North York Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I measured 2.8" in North York I took a nap, woke up, looked outside, and we're already melting/compacting. I'll estimate a storm total of 3.2". What a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Reports of over 20" in Rochester and 15" southeast of my location Report here: 10.1" storm total Liquid Equivalent melted down: 1.24" Snow depth: 14.2" SWE snow depth: 1.53" Radar time lapse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I guess Ottawa Int'l doesn't use a nipher The exact same returns over YYZ would yield 1cm/hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I took a nap, woke up, looked outside, and we're already melting/compacting. I'll estimate a storm total of 3.2". What a winter. I really thought you guys would get 6" out of this. I guess when it goes bad....it goes bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 No ppd for the Sabres/Sens game. I guess 16 to 22" is not enough to reschedule a game. That's Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 No ppd for the Sabres/Sens game. I guess 16 to 22" is not enough to reschedule a game. That's Awesome! We're Canadian we can handle it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I really thought you guys would get 6" out of this. I guess when it goes bad....it goes bad! Going bad since 2008-09 lol. Uncle uncle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 They're Ottawans they can handle it. fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 UKMET/EURO definitely win top prize with their handling of this storm. Fairly consistent showing a sharper, more amplified s/w and further west sfc track. Seemed like NAM/GFS/GEM were hanging on to the bitter end before they saw the light. Pretty embarrassed that I was actually buying into those hi res solutions from yesterday morning. What happened was that those models were outputting the big snow #s around the same time the 12z NAM came in well to the west of its previous runs. So I thought it maybe we were starting to see one of those big NW trends that were more common about 6-7 years ago. But the HRRR/RAP have a known bias of being too amped, especially outside of the super short-range (like within 12 hours). I should have known better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 UKMET/EURO definitely win top prize with their handling of this storm. Fairly consistent showing a sharper, more amplified s/w and further west sfc track. Seemed like NAM/GFS/GEM were hanging on to the bitter end before they saw the light. Pretty embarrassed that I was actually buying into those hi res solutions from yesterday morning. What happened was that those models were outputting the big snow #s around the same time the 12z NAM came in well to the west of its previous runs. So I thought it maybe we were starting to see one of those big NW trends that were more common about 6-7 years ago. But the HRRR/RAP have a known bias of being too amped, especially outside of the super short-range (like within 12 hours). I should have known better. I made the same mistake. Those types of NW trends have been pretty common over the last few years. With a really sharp gradient, it's tough to pinpoint amounts. In the end my 4-7" range wasn't far off. Have ~3.5" here. 7cm at YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 20.5" and still snowing. Ottawa broke the single day snowfall record. Incredible outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 20.5" and still snowing. Ottawa broke the single day snowfall record. Incredible outside. Nice man. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 7.5 cm was my total in midtown. Compacted a bit since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 We're Canadian we can handle it. So can we. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 So can we. Toronto couldn't handle it. It would be a frenzy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Toronto couldn't handle it. It would be a frenzy. This. Toronto is notorious for not being able to handle winter and I'm not referring to Lastman calling in the army. What a storm for Ottawa. They're closing in on 50 cm!! It's the biggest one day snowfall they've seen since 1912! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Ended up with 3" on the dot here in my neck of the woods. Gradual snowfall through out the day. Was following along these past few days on the models and amounts came close to expectations for my area. But putrid winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Toronto couldn't handle it. It would be a frenzy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 UKMET/EURO definitely win top prize with their handling of this storm. Fairly consistent showing a sharper, more amplified s/w and further west sfc track. Seemed like NAM/GFS/GEM were hanging on to the bitter end before they saw the light. Pretty embarrassed that I was actually buying into those hi res solutions from yesterday morning. What happened was that those models were outputting the big snow #s around the same time the 12z NAM came in well to the west of its previous runs. So I thought it maybe we were starting to see one of those big NW trends that were more common about 6-7 years ago. But the HRRR/RAP have a known bias of being too amped, especially outside of the super short-range (like within 12 hours). I should have known better. Let's not give the UKMET too muc credit now. It was way too amplied and too far west with the track of the surface (even had Detroit on the edge of the heavy snow for a few runs). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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