Regan Raleigh Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Not saying he isn't intelligent. Im sure he's borderline genius. I'm saying he word for word mistated the map he used. That is all. Good day sir. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 In confidence off-air Fish might just likely tell you how much of a snow weenie he really is. Problem though since he is also a scientist has to forecast on the best interpretation of the data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I'm just arguing his choice of map (NWS's map) and his wording in his blog. Lol For what it's worth I think we won't see much. And he will be riight once again. And you are wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Hundredth or two on the 0z GFS here, .1-.25 down around Onslow. At this rate we are going to be hard pressed for saturation in the dendritic growth zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The day fish underscores an event and it bust on the good side out of nowhere I pray I'm on here when Brick calls him out. It will be epic humor up there with the lookout Glenn Burns episodes I've been priveleged to witness since back at eastern weather. Honestly there's been times when I've got cramps in my gut laughing at those tyraids. Classics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The day fish underscores an event and it bust on the good side out of nowhere I pray I'm on here when Brick calls him out. It will be epic humor up there with the lookout Glenn Burns episodes I've been priveleged to witness since back at eastern weather. Honestly there's been times when I've got cramps in my gut laughing at those tyraids. Classics No doubt, there are so many times I have wished he was wrong. The man does love a good storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Yes he does . I lIved down east in the 80s in High School when he first started. He's way more guarded on air now from what others state. But back then he let all his colors show. Ole JB went to met school with him, they are good friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 When did rain even become part of the equation? We've gone from snow and sleet after 8, 1, 2, 1 and now... Snow likely before 2pm, then rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 35. East wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMA1973 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Fish isn't a bad guy. He's usually >> than the clown maps. Not sure why he gets such a bad rap...being conservative on forecasting around here regarding winter weather usually proves right. Hence the board meltdown after each "event". If you listened to Fish-he most likely already told you it wasnt going to be anything. But folks cling to their clown maps like the last board off the Titanic. SMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Greg Fishcel wrote the test that all mets must pass in order to be certified as an on air meterologist by the ams. Pretty sure he knows what he is doing. Completely agree. He is one of the best and the only reason he has detractors is due to him becoming more conservative with his snow forecasts over the past 10 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ekman Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 He's usually >> than the clown maps. Not sure why he gets such a bad rap...being conservative on forecasting around here regarding winter weather usually proves right. Hence the board meltdown after each "event". If you listened to Fish-he most likely already told you it wasnt going to be anything. But folks cling to their clown maps like the last board off the Titanic. SMH And that's why people don't like him, he doesn't enable their snow fantasies. It'd be different if he wasn't nearly always dead on right. The Fishel bashing is tiresome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Raleigh Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Ummm. I said in my post that I didn't think this would be much of anything. He said on tv about .5in and we'd be lucky i agree. I was just questioning his blog, for which others did too and it was corrected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 "NC" is a pretty big generalization. Pretty sure the mountains and the beach have different classifications for WSW. Oh no. I insulted everybody. I take it back. I have to admit, the first inch is the hardest to drive on. This is assuming a normal snow-to-water ratio and sub-freezing road temps. Why- the snowplows haven't salted it or plowed it, and it gets slick quickly, and the other drivers may not be expecting to drive with slick roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 00z GFS and RGEM actually try to put a little stripe of 0.05" or so through Greenville which is pretty funny. Oh no. I insulted everybody. I take it back. I have to admit, the first inch is the hardest to drive on. This is assuming a normal snow-to-water ratio and sub-freezing road temps. Why- the snowplows haven't salted it or plowed it, and it gets slick quickly, and the other drivers may not be expecting to drive with slick roads. I guess the reasoning behind a WSW for 1-3" is the "oh **** that's a lot of snow" level is much lower in the coastal Southeast than it is in, say, Colorado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 It's rare to see a Winter Storm Warning with arctic air FOLLOWING the system. That doesn't happen in the western part of the state...it's usually pushing 40 the day of... 50 the day after....60 by day 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The RGEM gets the 0.01" area out this way and barely touches MBY. Maybe we get a surprise trash can topper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The RGEM gets the 0.01" area out this way and barely touches MBY. Maybe we get a surprise trash can topper? I think you have a better chance of a renegade surprise trash can topper coming off the mountains tomorrow...if that tells you how low your chances are. Brad showed something similar in his vid tonight for Charlotte and it kind of fizzled on its way to the Greensboro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I think you have a better chance of a renegade surprise trash can topper coming off the mountains tomorrow...if that tells you how low your chances are. Brad showed something similar in his vid tonight for Charlotte and it kind of fizzled on its way to the Greensboro area. All-in, haha! I never had any hope out this way, so any flakes would be a win (however unlikely they may be). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Some light reflectivity returns showing up now in NC and upstate SC... It's likely virga, but at least it's something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 HRRR is also slightly wetter than earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 06z NAM is certainly wetter as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 06z RGEM better as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Local forecasts... WRAL ABC11 WNCN News14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Should somebody open obs thread? 25/12, usually conservative local mets say high of 28 with 2" or little bit more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 When reading those graphic forecasts, you really should go from left to right. I'm not even convinced wake sees a trace.. This one looks dry for wake, besides a passing flurry or mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 You know the models have no idea when the snow maps change from a dusting to 3" and back to a dusting every other run....when I went to bed last night no model had more than 1 inch here, this morning the Nam 4k, Rgem and WRF have 3" again and the Nam 12k has 2" these all have a stronger low closer to the coast, the GFS and CMC both have dusting to a inch and are much further east and weaker with the low.... The Nams have .30-40" of QPF over me now as well that should be good for 3-4" if correct....currently 28/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Verbatim, I'm looking forward to my virga with token flurries. This will only portend what will happen with the next winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 HRRR has precip in extreme eastern Wake from about 12-3... Gonna be a situation like Sunday for sure. Tight gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Radar returns showing snow in Davie & Davidson counties. Wonder if anything is reaching the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 RGEM is all snow here based on the thickness plots, NAM on the other hand mixes during the afternoon as 1000mb - 850mb thick goes above 1300m. Kind of suprised at the amount of cloud cover, 100%, and already some light returns off to the east over the sound when looking at clean air mode out of the RAX site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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