TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Thread to cover modeling of potentially substantial snowfall in New England between aforementioned dates. Seems like a decent signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Yes there is a definite signal, just wait another few days before we know how substantial a potential storm this is. I was going to Louisiana this morning, but decided last minute it wasn't the right timing for me to leave home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Euro showing impressive storm. With the current evolution it's favorable that this might be a big one for NNE. Maine might be the place to be. Remember: We are waaaaay out with modeling. However, with current tracks that is not a favorable SNE look. It's just nice to have the threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Euro showing impressive storm. With the current evolution it's favorable that this might be a big one for NNE. Maine might be the place to be. Remember: We are waaaaay out with modeling. However, with current tracks that is not a favorable SNE look. It's just nice to have the threat. ugh, here we go again. I won't get too invested until sat/sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 ugh, here we go again. I won't get too invested until sat/sun. I'm not getting invested in anything until I am putting the snowblower away in the shed and even then I am going to keep peeking out the window to make sure it isn't just a dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amc Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 One can only hope. I know TV news up here was yaking about it this morning, wait for models to come together until we do much casting on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 How does this look like a NNE event, if anything it looks like a good event overall for New England. Don't look at the models right now, look at the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This will be a violent storm system, winds to hurricane force are possible along the coastline. I see this being our worst storm period in New England this winter. Just a hunch in my honest opinion. I see the amount of energy rounding the base of the super maxed out upper level trough and I just want to say, Lord have mercy on us if that all comes together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This will be a violent storm system, winds to hurricane force are possible along the coastline. I see this being our worst storm period in New England this winter. Just a hunch in my honest opinion. I see the amount of energy rounding the base of the super maxed out upper level trough and I just want to say, Lord have mercy on us if that all comes together. :weenie: :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I think Oscar Mayer opened a brand new plant on Cape Cod, MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I think Oscar Mayer opened a brand new plant on Cape Cod, MA for sure but i love his enthusiasm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 NAM is bringing the southern stream closer to the coastline now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 for sure but i love his enthusiasm Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Well we are 72-96 hours away from start time of this event, so it is probably reasonable to use this thread as we know there will be shortwaves passing through at our latitude. 18z GFS didn't do PF any favors unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 You had me at "Lord have mercy". Let's go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 No better feeling than finishing up a storm and knowing there's another shot right behind it. At this point, it looks pretty clear that we'll see some sort of snow across the region early next week. In what form, when, for who, and how much, is still to be determined. A fun weekend of model watching ahead for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Well we are 72-96 hours away from start time of this event, so it is probably reasonable to use this thread as we know there will be shortwaves passing through at our latitude. 18z GFS didn't do PF any favors unfortunately. Continues the theme of E SNE as the new Stowe. PF can maybe come down and get some powder days in at Yawgoo Valley RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 No better feeling than finishing up a storm and knowing there's another shot right behind it. At this point, it looks pretty clear that we'll see some sort of snow across the region early next week. In what form, when, for who, and how much, is still to be determined. A fun weekend of model watching ahead for sure! I'm gonna ween out here and follow my boys footsteps, although not to that extent. But I think there is too much firepower next week to just mood snow it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Well we are 72-96 hours away from start time of this event, so it is probably reasonable to use this thread as we know there will be shortwaves passing through at our latitude. 18z GFS didn't do PF any favors unfortunately. This will be pretty much the final nail in this winter's coffin up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This will be pretty much the final nail in this winter's coffin up here.Only in your head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 This southern stream system for Sunday night/MOnday night looks like it will trend northwestward. 21z SREFs are in and they are further northwest with the surface low, stronger with the surface low and also higher QPF totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 The 21z SREF Boston plumes are near 10" for this storm system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 SREFs and NAM look might fine for this period, so stop with the negative nancy posts oh poor me and enjoy this next 10 days of weather. It will be cold with chances at coastal storms. Look it will work out for us. Have a positive attitude. The SREFs have been pretty good lately with northwestward trending coastal storms. They finally caught onto the stronger surface low in the southern stream system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 SREFs and NAM look might fine for this period, so stop with the negative nancy posts oh poor me and enjoy this next 10 days of weather. It will be cold with chances at coastal storms. Look it will work out for us. Have a positive attitude. The SREFs have been pretty good lately with northwestward trending coastal storms. They finally caught onto the stronger surface low in the southern stream system. I'm pretty excited for the next week. we've seen a lot of chaos in the models this winter and i expect that to continue. so many moving parts involved in the storm setups this winter. the one constant that we have seen is a very late northwestward shift this year. it doesn't mean it will continue but its something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Nam is a monster offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Another NAM coup incoming. All hail the model of choice '16..lol must have run it out of your basement. Plastered in SE MA on the 00z run tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Nice hit for us in SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 must have run it out of your basement. Plastered in SE MA on the 00z run tonight. You see the 4km? End of the run, but that's 60 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Actually, that Nam run was not as good as the 18z run. Less qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 You see the 4km? End of the run, but that's 60 hours out. Yeah, that'll git er done. This is going to another interesting couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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