JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Actually, that Nam run was not as good as the 18z run. Less qpf. Wackadoodle...check the first three hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Actually, that Nam run was not as good as the 18z run. Less qpf.18z run still had today's storm QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Yeah, that'll git er done. This is going to another interesting couple days. The thing is a powderkeg with a huge shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 What a bomb on the 4km NAM. There's Kevin's 1-3' if that thing verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 We really should use the storm thread, this is less than 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Nam was pretty terrible with today's event. But hey, if it shows snow, we post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Nam was pretty terrible with today's event. But hey, if it shows snow, we post. So....does it hook left into Jersey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Nam was pretty terrible with today's event. But hey, if it shows snow, we post. CMC, ARPEGE, SREFS It's not completely alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 So....does it hook left into Jersey? Nope. I wish. If it did, grocery stores would start emptying within 15min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 4km Nam Looks like a cane to me Check that 850 NE/ENE in flow over SNE and SE CNE Insanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Rgem looks virtually identical through 48 fwiw. 973mb off the SC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS coming up. After the nam I'm curious what the GFS has to show. Curveball incoming maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I'm really excited for this period, I think a monster will show its face like the 4km NAM was just showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 too bad the ull over the GL couldnt dig more into the backside and tuck the cane left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 4km Nam Looks like a cane to meIt does! I made the same comment in the NYC forum. I can't stay up for the GFS, CMC and Euro. Best wishes to all!Good night, Jason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I'm really excited for this period, I think a monster will show its face like the 4km NAM was just showing. I'd be excited for the cape as well. at this rate, you will have more snow ytd then Mt Mansfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Nam was pretty terrible with today's event. But hey, if it shows snow, we post. Wasn't the NAM one of the first models to start the westward shift with the AnaFront? Correct me if I'm wrong. The other models caught on and ended up closer to the actual outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 4km Nam Looks like a cane to me Check that 850 NE/ENE in flow over SNE and SE CNE Insanity . There's the potential for a moderate system even if it's pretty far offshore. Very large circulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I love it. The NAM and Ukie find a needle in the haystack and now they're the new kings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 That coastal low is actually closer than I originally thought, it is off the NE coast of NC instead of SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Wasn't the NAM one of the first models to start the westward shift with the AnaFront? Correct me if I'm wrong. The other models caught on and ended up closer to the actual outcomeIt was late to the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Wasn't the NAM one of the first models to start the westward shift with the AnaFront? Correct me if I'm wrong. The other models caught on and ended up closer to the actual outcome that may be the case but then it shatted over itself inside 24hrs. thing about the nam is, of the 21 runs we look at it for an impending system, 1 run may end up being correct while the other 20 are not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 It was late to the party. all hail the ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 that may be the case but then it shatted over itself inside 24hrs. thing about the nam is, of the 21 runs we look at it for an impending system, 1 run may end up being correct while the other 20 are not.it's run at about 10 different resolutions every 6hrs...one is bound to be a hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lets just dumbbell this thing NW another 150 miles over the next 36 hrs The modeled circulation rivals any storm i can recall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Watch, if the upper level low reaches 35N and passes between 70-75W then it will be closer to the coastline and closer to the benchmark track, if it shifts to a track below that, then it will pass harmlessly out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lets just dumbbell this thing NW another 150 miles over the next 36 hrs The modeled circulation rivals any storm i can recall 959 at that latitude is not something I recall in a non-tropical entity. Granted, it is the NAM, but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Don't get fooled by the hi-res NAM graphics. It's not quite the hit that it seems. Mature mid-level circulation wrapping moisture far NW of the low center, but this still primarily a coastal SEMA event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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