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2/9-2/10 Inverted Trough/Mini-Coastal Storm


Zelocita Weather

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If we get 2-4 and all models bust we will be happy in short term but highly diconcerting in long term in terms od model dependbility. There have been issues with all the globals now and this time around the Mesos, in particular would be the culprits.

Normally yes but this is a complex local setup with the ivt.

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Winter Weather AdvisoryURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

317 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

NJZ006-105>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-100500-

/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.160209T2300Z-160210T1700Z/

HUDSON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-

NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-

KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-

SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-

NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-

317 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST

WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW

JERSEY...AND LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. SNOW

AMOUNTS WILL DEPEND ON WHERE BANDING SETS UP. SOME AREAS MAY GET

AS LOW AS AN INCH OF SNOW. SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS LONG

ISLAND...COULD GET SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW

WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS

AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$

 
 
 
They still aren't giving up on the idea someone may get 3-5.
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If we get 2-4 and all models bust we will be happy in short term but highly diconcerting in long term in terms od model dependbility. There have been issues with all the globals now and this time around the Mesos, in particular would be the culprits.

 

How often have we gotten thunderstorms in the summer when the models had nothing? or vice versa? I think thats how we have to look at it in this particular situation

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How often have we gotten thunderstorms in the summer when the models had nothing? or vice versa? I think thats how we have to look at it in this particular situation

Point taken but , this has been an obvious trend of under performing models. Lets see how tonight pans out. I wont be surprised if I wind up eeking out an inch, 2 at the most

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Point taken but , this has been an obvious trend of under performing models. Lets see how tonight pans out. I wont be surprised if I wind up eeking out an inch, 2 at the most

Yeah I honestly don't know whats going to happen but I'm expecting the nam and rgem to do better than the euro/gfs. If I have an inch by morning I'll be pleasantly surprised

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Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

317 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

NJZ006-105>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-100500-

/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.160209T2300Z-160210T1700Z/

HUDSON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-

NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-

KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-

SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-

NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-

317 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST

WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW

JERSEY...AND LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. SNOW

AMOUNTS WILL DEPEND ON WHERE BANDING SETS UP. SOME AREAS MAY GET

AS LOW AS AN INCH OF SNOW. SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS LONG

ISLAND...COULD GET SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW

WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS

AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$

 
 
 
They still aren't giving up on the idea someone may get 3-5.

 

 

Link?  Mostly because when I click on anything from Upton, such as the snowfall maps, zone forecasts, or the links to the WWAdvisories, I only get info from early this morning, not updated versions and I don't know why (I even cleared out cookies/cache).  Edit - I now see it, but only if I go to the point-click map and click on the WWAdvisory from that location.  

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Guys - Upton is going general 2-4" with 80% pops and isolated thundersnow after midnight. That's directly in the face of all these model solutions we've all seen the last 24 hrs. That's a pretty confident forecast vs. "a dusting of snow / white flag" crowd. I'll side with the NWS on this one.

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Where does Upton mention thundersnow after midnight?

Granted this discussion was at 12:56pm but they do mention it.

 

015

FXUS61 KOKX 091756

AFDOKX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1256 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY AS LOW

PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND MOVES EAST OUT TO

SEA. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP JUST SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND TONIGHT

AND PASS EAST ON WEDNESDAY. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL REMAIN

OVER THE WATERS FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE AND

A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO

SATURDAY NIGHT. AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL BUILD IN SATURDAY NIGHT

THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

SOME LIGHT SNOW MAY MOVE INTO WESTERN ZONES LATER IN THE

AFTERNOON...BUT FOR THE MOST PART...DRY CONDS IN PLACE AS WEAK SFC

HIGH PRESSURE WILL OTHERWISE PREVAIL AS DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE

PASSES WELL TO THE SOUTH. A LINGERING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IN THE

WAKE OF THE LOW WILL START TO LIFT NORTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

HIGH TEMPS TODAY SHOULD BE 30-35 PER MOS GUIDANCE BLEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...

AS A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...THE

ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW WILL OPEN UP...WITH A STRONG MID

LEVEL VORT MAX ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND SWING ACROSS

WED MORNING. MEANWHILE AT THE SURFACE...THE INVERTED TROUGH IN THE

WAKE OF THE FIRST LOW WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT SLOWLY NORTH CLOSER

TO THE AREA...WITH A WEAK LOW CENTER ALSO DEVELOPING OFFSHORE IN

RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. THESE WILL BOTH HELP TO

FOCUS BANDS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW MAINLY OVER NYC METRO...LONG

ISLAND AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT INTO WED MORNING. SIDED MOSTLY

WITH A BLEND OF THE 00Z NAM/GFS...WITH THE NAM MOSTLY HAVING HELD

COURSE OVER THE PAST 24 HR AND THE GFS TRENDING NORTH TOWARD A

SIMILAR FCST SOLUTION. FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW BEST LIFT AT TEMPS

IDEAL FOR DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH...AND ALSO SHOW VERY WEAK STATIC

STABILITY...WITH A DEEP SATURATED LAYER AND MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE

RATES. SNOWFALL RATES SHOULD BE ENHANCED AS A RESULT LATE TONIGHT

INTO WED MORNING...AND WOULD NOT RULE OUT A RUMBLE OF THUNDER

DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOW. AS A RESULT...ISSUED A WINTER WX

ADVY FOR NYC METRO...LONG ISLAND AND COASTAL CT FOR TONIGHT INTO

WED MORNING.

THESE INVERTED TROUGHS OFTEN OUT-PERFORM MODEL GUIDANCE AND

SOMETIMES ALSO END UP NORTH OF MODEL FCST...SO THE SITUATION

TONIGHT WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY. HAD EVEN BRIEFLY

CONSIDERED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR NYC METRO AND LONG ISLAND

BECAUSE OF THIS...BUT WITH SREF STAYING TO THE SOUTH AND CAM

GUIDANCE NOT PRODUCING APPRECIABLE QPF CONSIDERING THE CONVECTIVE

ASPECT...DECIDED ON THE ADVY AS THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION.

 

They were even considering WSW for the Island/NYC and was wise that didn't and play wait and see.

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Guys - Upton is going general 2-4" with 80% pops and isolated thundersnow after midnight. That's directly in the face of all these model solutions we've all seen the last 24 hrs. That's a pretty confident forecast vs. "a dusting of snow / white flag" crowd. I'll side with the NWS on this one.

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If I wake up tomorrow with nothing on the ground, I won't be disappointed; if I wake up with a few inches, I'll be happily surprised.

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I still don't know why zone and point and click forecasts are always different

 

I think part of the reason may be because they are computer generated but I am not completely sure on that versus a forecast discussion and a text zone forecast being put together by an actual meteorologist. Maybe someone with better knowledge can confirm this.

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-- Remove Highlighting --

-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --

000

FXUS61 KOKX 092109

AFDOKX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

409 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...

-- Changed Discussion --

LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST PASSES WELL SOUTH AND

EAST OF LONG ISLAND LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN LIFTS

SLOWLY NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES THROUGH THE END OF

THE WEEK. A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS LATE FRIDAY

NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE WEEKEND. A

FRONTAL SYSTEM THEN APPROACHES EARLY NEXT WEEK.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...

-- Changed Discussion --

LOW PRES DEVELOPS EAST OF THE DELMARVA THIS EVENING...AND THEN

PASSES SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND TOWARDS THE 40/70 BENCHMARK LATE

TONIGHT AND INTO DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND THEN AS BANDS OF

MODERATE SNOW WILL DEVELOP AROUND THE LOW...THOSE BANDS WILL MOVE

INTO THE LOCAL AREA. LATEST NAM KEEPS THE HEAVIER BANDS

OFFSHORE...WHILE THE LATEST GFS BRINGS THEM ACROSS NYC AND LONG

ISLAND. LATEST ECMWF DOES NOT REALLY INDICATE MUCH BANDING...AND

HAS MINIMAL LIQUID QPF OVERALL. IF THOSE SNOW BANDS MATERIALIZE

AND MOVE ONSHORE...THOSE AREAS COULD PICK UP 2-4 INCHES OF

SNOW...WITH SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY ON EASTERN LONG

ISLAND...PICKING UP 3-5 INCHES. THE SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE WIDELY

VARIABLE...WITH SOME AREAS UNDER THE ADVISORY NOT GETTING MUCH

MORE THAN A DUSTING TO AN INCH OF SNOW. IT ALL DEPENDS ON WHERE

THE BANDS SET UP.

IN ADDITION...WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...THERE IS A BIT OF

A CONVECTIVE ELEMENT TO THIS SYSTEM. WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF

ISOLATED THUNDER IN THE FORECAST...BUT NOT EXPECTING MUCH MORE

THAN A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR 2.

LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 20S INLAND TO THE MID AND

UPPER 20S NEAR THE COAST.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

-- Changed Discussion --

LOW PRES CONTINUES TO DEPART ON WEDNESDAY...AND ANY SNOW WILL

TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST. DRY CONDS EXPECTED BY THE AFTERNOON

THROUGHOUT. ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST

WEDNESDAY NIGHT. FOR NOW...WILL ONLY CARRY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AS

THE BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE REGION.

HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY COULD REACH 40 IN MOST AREAS. LOWS WEDNESDAY

NIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE 20S.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

-- Changed Discussion --

MEAN UPPER TROF REMAINS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH AMERICA THIS PERIOD

WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE EXTENDING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST

COAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN ANOMALOUSLY COLD AIRMASS PLUNGING

SOUTH FROM THE ARCTIC AND INTO THE TRI-STATE AREA THIS WEEKEND. IN

FACT...HEIGHT AND TEMP FIELD ANOMALIES ARE ON THE ORDER OF 3-5 SD

BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME PERIOD WITH 85H TEMPS SAT AND SAT NIGHT

-25 TO -30 DEG C. THIS WILL EQUATE TO DAYTIME HIGHS ON SAT

STRUGGLING TO GET TO 20 AND NOT OUT OF THE TEENS ON SUN.

OVERNIGHT LOWS SUN MORNING WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW ZERO WITH WIND

CHILLS MEETING ADVISORY CRITERIA...-15 TO -24 DEG F.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC AT THE ONSET OF THE PERIOD

WILL BE SLOW TO LIFT NE ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...WHILE WEAK

HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES INTO THE AREA THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. AN

ARCTIC COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES ON FRI PASSES

THROUGH LATE FRI NIGHT WITH THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON AND

IN FACT MANY YEARS FOR SOME LOCATIONS. A STRONG NW FLOW WILL BE

PRESENT ON THU BEHIND DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE AND AGAIN SAT AND SUN

BEHIND THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT. IN FACT...WINDS ON THESE DAYS WILL

LIKELY GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. THUS...THIS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUSLY

COLD WIND CHILLS SAT INTO SUN.

AS FOR ANY PCPN...THERE IS A LOW CHANCE LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT

MORNING OF A SNOW SQUALL ASSOC WITH THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT.

THEREAFTER...A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES MON INTO TUE WITH

SIGNIFICANT TIMING ISSUES AMONGST THE GLOBAL MODELS. AIRMASS

MODERATES SIGNIFICANTLY MON INTO TUE WITH HIGH IN 30S MON AND INTO

THE 40S ON TUE. THIS WOULD LIKELY BE A SNOW TO RAIN EVENT...BUT

THERE IS STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME PERIOD.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

-- Changed Discussion --

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH AND ENTER THE

REGION TONIGHT.

MOSTLY MVFR...BUT SOME VFR NORTH OF THE CITY THRU MID-LATE

AFTERNOON. FLIGHT CATS LOWER THIS EVENING WITH SNOW. FOR ALL

TERMINALS...THERE COULD BE OCCASIONAL FLURRIES AN HOUR OR TWO BEFORE

THE ONSET OF STEADIER SNOW.

SNOW ACCUMS IN THE 2-5 INCH RANGE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO WEDS

MORNING.

WINDS E TO VAR AROUND 5KT FOR THE REST OF THE DAY AND TONIGHT.

...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN

BE FOUND AT: HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: VFR COULD POSSIBLY PREVAIL INSTEAD OF TEMPO

THRU 23Z. ONSET OF STEADIER SNOW THIS EVENING COULD BE OFF BY 1-2

HOURS.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: VFR COULD POSSIBLY PREVAIL INSTEAD OF TEMPO

THRU 23Z. ONSET OF STEADIER SNOW THIS EVENING COULD BE OFF BY 1-2

HOURS.

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: TEMPO VFR POSSIBLE BEFORE 23Z. ONSET OF

STEADIER SNOW THIS EVENING COULD BE OFF BY 1-2 HOURS.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: TEMPO VFR POSSIBLE BEFORE 23Z. ONSET OF

STEADIER SNOW THIS EVENING COULD BE OFF BY 1-2 HOURS.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: TIMING OF SUB-VFR COULD BE OFF BY 1-2 HOURS.

ONSET OF STEADIER SNOW THIS EVENING COULD BE OFF BY 1-2 HOURS.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: VFR COULD POSSIBLY PREVAIL INSTEAD OF TEMPO

BEFORE 23Z...BUT TEMPO VFR MIGHT NOT OCCUR AT ALL. ONSET OF STEADIER

SNOW THIS EVENING COULD BE OFF BY 1-2 HOURS.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.WEDS PM...VFR. W GUSTS 20-25KT.

.THU...SLIGHT CHC -SHSN...OTHERWISE VFR. WNW GUSTS 25-30KT.

.FRI...VFR.

.SAT...SLIGHT CHC -SHSN...OTHERWISE VFR. NW GUSTS 25-30KT.

.SUN...VFR. NW GUSTS 20-25KT.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.MARINE...

-- Changed Discussion --

SCA CONDS PERSIST ON THE OCEAN WATERS...MAINLY FOR HIGH SEAS

TONIGHT. THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS ON WEDNESDAY...AND WIND GUSTS

OF 25-30 KT WILL DEVELOP ON ALL WATERS LATE IN THE MORNING. WILL

HOIST SCA FOR THE SOUND/HARBOR/BAYS FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND

NIGHT. FOR THE OCEAN...GALES POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL GO

AHEAD AND ISSUE A GALE WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

GALE CONDITIONS MAY LINGER ON THE OCEAN WATERS INTO THU WITH A

STRONG NW GRADIENT ON THE BACKSIDE OF DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE.

THERE WILL BE A BRIEF LULL IN THE WINDS FRI INTO FRI NIGHT WITH

SEAS POSSIBLY LINGERING AROUND 5 FT ON THE OCEAN WATERS. NEAR GALE

FORCE WINDS RETURN SAT INTO SUN FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF AN

ARCTIC COLD FRONT LATE FRI NIGHT.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

-- Changed Discussion --

LIQUID EQUIVALENT QPF TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING SHOULD BE

LESS THAN 1/2 INCH...ALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW. NO HYDROLOGIC

PROBLEMS.

LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THU THROUGH SAT WIT SNOW

SHOWER ACTIVITY. A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES MON INTO TUE WITH THE

CHANCE OF A MORE SIGNIFICANT PCPN EVENT. THERE IS STILL MUCH

UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TIMING AND PTYPE AT THIS POINT IN TIME.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

-- Changed Discussion --

A GRADUALLY DOWNWARD TREND IN SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDES EXPECTED

OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

GENERALLY LOOKING AT MINOR COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS FOR NY

HARBOR...COASTAL NE NJ AND WESTERN LI SOUND WITH THIS EVENINGS HIGH

TIDE CYCLE...AND LOCALLY MODERATE ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS OF

LONG ISLAND. SURGE LOWERS FURTHER FOR WEDNESDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE

CYCLE...WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE MOST VULNERABLE LOCALES

OF THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS...NY HARBOR...NE NJ...AND WESTERN LI SOUND.

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHTS HIGH

TIDE...WITH ANY BRIEF LOCALIZED MINOR IMPACTS LIKELY BEING RELEGATED

TO THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LI.

SURF WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER SO BEACH IMPACTS ARE NO LONGER

EXPECTED.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

-- Changed Discussion --

CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR

CTZ009>012.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EST

WEDNESDAY FOR CTZ009.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR

CTZ009.

NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR

NYZ069>075-078>081-176>179.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST

TONIGHT FOR NYZ074-075-080-178-179.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR

NYZ074-075-080-178-179.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EST

WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ071-078-177.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR

NYZ071-078-177.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EST

WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ081.

NJ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR NJZ002-

004-006-103>108.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST

TONIGHT FOR NJZ006-106-108.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR

NJZ006-106-108.

MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY

FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345.

GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

FOR ANZ350-353-355.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ350-353-

355.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPS/DW

NEAR TERM...MPS

SHORT TERM...MPS

LONG TERM...DW

AVIATION...JC

MARINE...MPS/DW

HYDROLOGY...MPS/DW

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...NV

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