The 4 Seasons Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Yea, the pain. Went to nap with flakes and like 3 hrs later, still struggling to moisten the column. Now I look at both rgem and gfs cut back. Let's see what happens. I agree with the RGEM but look again at the GFS. It most certainly did not cut back. It shifts the whole qpf gradient nward 10-20 miles...over Fairfield county itself its about close the same... Edit: Latest HRRR has about a Foot for me by 00Z tonight and about 7" for you...I still like my call for 8-14" for the southern 4 counties about.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 The last few frames of the OKX radar show the northern edge sort of bust through a wall and start marching neward.. Latest HRRR runs and every 6Z model is encouraging except the RGEM which would indicate less the 00Z. As Dennis Hopper says in speed. "It's getting on 11 AM Jack and i think it's going to be a very pretty day...." On second thought, rgem has been awful with this so far so I'm tossing it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 cloudy breezy and bone dry...dp hasnt budged in hours....ugh just forty or fifty miles from paradise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Snow has reached DXR to Shelton to GON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Here it comes. Its snowing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 On second thought, rgem has been awful with this so far so I'm tossing it lol. When I made this last night around 11, every single model jumped North quite a bit and the NWS issued blizzard warnings and uped their amounts to 12-18 for the shore and I thought it might not be enough and have to increase it again but now I think it's about perfect for what's taking shape.. Good luck Runnaway. 0.0/ extremely light snow has begun.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 Looks good. Hopefully you get a long tickle with a weenie band and bust positively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Looks good. Hopefully you get a long tickle with a weenie band and bust positively. I can see these bands working in off the ocean set up around the Merritt pkwy and start pivoting counter clock but well see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Anyone have the RAP snow map or HRRR snow map available to them for a link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 Anyone have the RAP snow map or HRRR snow map available to them for a link? http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ewallhires.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 NYC must be gettin demolished right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I can see these bands working in off the ocean set up around the Merritt pkwy and start pivoting counter clock but well see.. Nice band heading in. Can't wait for that to move north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Dew is now up to 18 and temp is 22.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Dew of 8 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 30F/24F were getting there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 No snow yet down here in the far se corner of Salem despite radar echoes overhead since 3am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 No snow yet down here in the far se corner of Salem despite radar echoes overhead since 3am.thats discouraging... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Time to put the models away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 25.0/10....still just some flurries here. I would have to imagine it starts to rip at some point, hopefully... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Time to put the models awayWhat would I do without you.For anyone concerned about dc, it's already backbuilding into them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Time to put the models away Some of us put them away 3 days ago. Good luck you southerners--enjoy. 16.3/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 my brother in W CNJ is ground zero. man i am so happy for him cuz hes had a rough 6yrs struggling with addiction and has come out of it strong.....he missed boxing day 2010 and the Jan 2011 systems. this is his first big one since PDII 2003. reporting 10" otg, hard to tell really, and just crazyiness. hahahaha i love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuildingScienceWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Snow has finally picked up a bit here in Hamden, CT. Visibility < 1.5 miles. Temp: 27 DP: 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfenn1117 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 thats discouraging...Everything is on track. The latest HRRR someone posted shunts the precip even out of far SWCT. Looking at the radar it's clearly wrong already. This is probably the only time I can say this with credibility - ride the nam. NAM bam thank you ma'am. Expecting 4-6" here which is a huge win all things considered. I think we'll see lots of 20+ in NYC and maybe tickling Greenwich. LGA and JFK already reporting 7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Some of us put them away 3 days ago. Good luck you southerners--enjoy. 16.3/8 I'm just happy to get a couple to few inches. Tired of looking at frozen grass and crusty snowbanks. Until the Tuesday torch anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 22/8 brutal to watch this so close but so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 starting to pick up, column getting juicer. ground starting to whiten. 24/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 my brother in W CNJ is ground zero. man i am so happy for him cuz hes had a rough 6yrs struggling with addiction and has come out of it strong.....he missed boxing day 2010 and the Jan 2011 systems. this is his first big one since PDII 2003. reporting 10" otg, hard to tell really, and just crazyiness. hahahaha i love it. Snowing there yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 Snowing there yet? light snow. it has begun. snowing there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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