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1/23-24 Randytastic Snowstorm Part 2 STORM MODE THREAD


BxEngine

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Expected with-in 48 hours of a storm.

I expect far less from the NAM consistently so when you see that sort of consistency its a welcome sight. Bottom line, though it will likely be far from correct on QPF it was still an impressive performance of understanding that the confluence was weaker than being progged by the big boys.

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12Z Euro has 15" for the South Shore of Nassau around Long Beach

with peak sustained winds 15-18z of 39 mph with gusts to 58 mph.

Pretty damn close to what we had with Boxing Day. Just a couple more inches of snow. The drifting in between the buildings was just epic. 8' in places. This is looking more and more like one of the big boys. Also, coastal flooding and snow creates some cool icebergs. Saw that during 3/93
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I am not so good with mesoscale data.... I see that shows the LOW circulation center, but what does it all mean??

 

solid lines indicate positive frontogenesis which is an indication of a strengthening system, basically temp differentiation increasing with time. more packed together, greater the increase

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HRRR really looks to wanna bring the Low north, precip is funneling back in off the Atlantic due NW...city's gonna get crushed

so the city might have a rare all around the circle snowfall,which means snow coming in from the southwest,southeast,northeast and then northwest.usually that would equate is a crush job in and around the area of the pivot. 

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Pretty damn close to what we had with Boxing Day. Just a couple more inches of snow. The drifting in between the buildings was just epic. 8' in places. This is looking more and more like one of the big boys. Also, coastal flooding and snow creates some cool icebergs. Saw that during 3/93

 

Yeah, the last time the GFS MOS winds at JFK went over 30 KT sustained during snow was Boxing Day.

Going to be tough to measure since there will be so much drifting.

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