lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 He dropped that mic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ekman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Still less than the forecasted total. That was my point. You need to learn to let stuff go at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 How did you know the wedge wasn't as strong? By looking at the confluence in the northeast plus several mets saying the wedge wasn't arriving fast enough? The warm nose was showing up pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 You need to learn to let stuff go at some point. You realize what this thread is for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 You realize what this thread is for? To banter and complain??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Thundersleet would be a good band name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 You need to learn to let stuff go at some point. Remember how positive and optimistic he was pre-storm and telling people they were trolling because they were predicting exactly what is happening now in realtime. Cynical and jaded Brick has finally arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I knew this was going to be a mostly sleet event first thing this morning for mby. What I think is the biggest surprise is the low qpf. All the models had a lot of it, close to 1.5-2 inches in western NC. It has mainly been anemic all day, hit and miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This turned out to be a pretty good forecast, minus the rain....but the night is still young. Mic drop What have you seen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I knew this was going to be a mostly sleet event first thing this morning for mby. What I think is the biggest surprise is the low qpf. All the models had a lot of it, close to 1.5-2 inches in western NC. It has mainly been anemic all day, hit and miss. We should end up around 1" which would be right in line with the "cut QPF in half" rule that is always wise to follow. I won't lie and thought we might actually meet those forecast amounts just due to how things have been the past few months but we will fall short unless the ULL has a surprise up its sleeve. Still a high impact event for here due to temps and how roads covered with sleet are more treacherous than snow covered roads IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Besides WRAL, I've heard rumors of other TV stations existing in the Raleigh market with their own Meteorologists. Sometimes I wonder about them. Are they conservative too? Are we overlooking someone who might deserve to be respected/scrutinized/hated/loved/known as much as the Fishel posse? But to find out, I'd have to switch off WRAL into the great unknown. Can't do that. I might miss one of Greg's really great puns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattwis519 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the precip is falling apart as it moves into GA from AL. Or I could have no clue what I'm talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 FINALLY got big flakes mixing in after about 7-8 hours of lull and lot of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What have you seen? Ice ice baby. And lots of it. You get thunderstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks like the precip is falling apart as it moves into GA from AL. Or I could have no clue what I'm talking about.Nope that's what u see...energy transfer to coastal...that'd why I never buy into backside blah blah.Got .25" frozen crap and a dusting of snow here. Actually less than I thought. 1.60ish rain. Northern parts of Oconee fared pretty well though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 He dropped that mic. Did you end up with sleet and snow? We got a few hours of sleet before the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 By looking at the confluence in the northeast plus several mets saying the wedge wasn't arriving fast enough? The warm nose was showing up pretty well. Warm nose always happens to some extent. Even some of the big CAD events, where surface temps were in the lower 20s, I can remember it changing to sleet and ZR towards the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Did you end up with sleet and snow? We got a few hours of sleet before the ice. Sleet and ZR. A little bit of snow. Maybe around an inch total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 You need to learn to let stuff go at some point. Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yup, well i think for the most part this is over. maybe some lingering showers. It was nice to track. Maybe we get one without sleet and ice next time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Nope that's what u see...energy transfer to coastal...that'd why I never buy into backside blah blah. Got .25" frozen crap and a dusting of snow here. Actually less than I thought. 1.60ish rain. Northern parts of Oconee fared pretty well though. Yep, backside snow here in north Georgia is almost NEVER going to workout for significant accumulations unless you have a March '93 type of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwlee7 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 In an ironic twist, apparenty a cable line has been broken some where but we still have power. No cable/internet at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What have we (hopefully) learned from this "storm"? 1. Never trust QPF amounts on Global models 2. When the NAM is within 36 hours and tells you something you don't like, believe it! 3. No model gets the track and timing just right 4. When TV mets are considered to be too conservative, they know better than the models 5. Wrap around from a coastal transfer seldom works out 6. If you are counting on dynamics to save you, don't 7. There will ALWAYS be a warm nose (outside the mtns) regardless of what a model shows 8. We seldom get a storm with "just snow" for the vast majority here 9. There will be some who will win on the totals and some who will not 10.DC and the MA will outperform us every single time Well said! Took me up until this winter to learn and believe bUT it sunk in this time. For the first time I'm not disappointed bc I got what I expected just .75" less snow...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Radar looks amazing. I bet I pick up at least 0.05" more of sleet. Bought to get nailed by an epic comma head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Ice ice baby. And lots of it. You get thunderstorms?Yeah, squall line last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Well said! Took me up until this winter to learn and believe bUT it sunk in this time. For the first time I'm not disappointed bc I got what I expected just .75" less snow...lol Yep. After last February's screw job it is no longer a suprise to see the upstate area under perform with these systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Yep. After last February's screw job it is no longer a suprise to see the upstate area under perform with these systems. I'm convinced very significant snowfall won't be modeled or forecast beforehand. Anytime we are forecast to receive large amounts it's always a fail. It shouldn't be surprising when these storms don't put down as much snow as shown. How often do we see widespread 10"+ amounts around the southeast? In reality 1-3" and 4-6" are more common in larger swaths with small stripes of 8-12" and isolated spots of 12"+. We just don't see larger swaths of deep snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 In an ironic twist, apparenty a cable line has been broken some where but we still have power. No cable/internet at the moment Our cable went out too. It always does though. Dh decided to make a homemade antenna and it works! Bye bye Timewarner! I'm tired of paying for their crappy service. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 What a disaster here. Big limbs down everywhere. Trees blocking the road. No power. No snow. Etc etc. Stay safe CR Maybe one day the models will get it right. One day. They got it right, you just chose to ignore it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Remember how positive and optimistic he was pre-storm and telling people they were trolling because they were predicting exactly what is happening now in realtime. Cynical and jaded Brick has finally arrived. There's are a couple of people who do troll. All they do is post pessimistic and sarcastic stuff just to troll others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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