lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Tired of the stupid QPF on these models and am ignoring them from now on. Not one of them has been right for my area. Still have some time, but losing patience. Agreed. The models have been terrible with the qpf. I don't think I would want to be in the bullseye of any of the models right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Agreed. The models have been terrible with the qpf. I don't think I would want to be in the bullseye of any of the models right now.I got 1.78 of precip so far , highest I saw was a forecast of around 2" QPF ! Amounts were spot on here, just temps were horribly wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Not correct. Snow was 85 north! Models showed south of 85 with alot of zr and sleet and some showing zr to CAE! Our local NBC met was saying 1-4" still at noon, N and S of 85 in greenville county This simply isn't true in fact it's so untrue you are the one on thin ice. Most modeling did not have temps below 85 over most of the southwest/southern upstate going below freezing until late morning or this afternoon from east to west and when most of the heavy rain had already moved past. Not a single person here that I recall ever said there would be major ice south of 85 in general...nor did gsp. It was said over and over that 85 was likely the dividing line between light icing and more significant icing. You are either being delusional or intentionally trying to mislead..so end it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Power back on after being out for almost six hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This simply isn't true in fact it's so untrue you are the one on thin ice. Most modeling did not have temps below 85 going below freezing until this afternoon when most of the heavy rain had already moved past. Not a single person here that I recall ever said there would be major ice south of 85 in general...nor did gsp. It was said over and over that 85 was likely the dividing line between light icing and more significant icing. You are either being delusional or intentionally trying to mislead..so end it here.Not delisional! Look at the map on ch 4, it's exactly as I stated. Call the met and ask him yourself. The radar or rpm they were showing, had ice over my house by 3 am. There are great people and mets on here, but our met made this map, so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncstatered21 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Power out here in Clayton, NC. What a bummer. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spurscar Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 So if we're snow chasing out of Columbia SC tomorrow for a day trip it looks like Asheville is the best closeish bang for the buck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I wonder if I have a better chance of keeping power since my lines are underground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Not delisional! Look at the map on ch 4, it's exactly as I stated. Call the met and ask him yourself. The radar or rpm they were showing, had ice over my house by 3 am. There are great people and mets on here, but our met made this map, so.. I would drop it if I were you. You don't even know if they were showing a radar a model or the Panthers game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 A band finally made it to Boone and it's a flipping sleet storm. This system is an absolute joke and was modeled poorly by every single model. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Truth is you're not going to get much sympathy around here being a Boone Resident. Boone gets snow in freaking July when it's 100 degrees everywhere else. You get more snow in a year than I've seen in a decade. If this one didn't pan out for you, just wait a few days or a week and you'll see more than the rest of us are seeing from this one. For many of us, this could be our biggest one all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I would drop it if I were you. You don't even know if they were showing a radar a model or the Panthers game.Mind your business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't retire from posting, lol. Stay away from American Vodka with a Russian name... all I have to say about that. There are icy areas right down the road while I sit at 35F. Don't get me wrong, I don't want the ice but I find it odd how 2 or 3 miles around me can be so wildly different in temperature. I have a theory that Lake Murray messes with our weather in all situations for the bad since they built the Back-Up DAM and lowered it. Some government experiment I say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Truth is you're not going to get much sympathy around here being a Boone Resident. Boone gets snow in freaking July when it's 100 degrees everywhere else. You get more snow in a year than I've seen in a decade. If this one didn't pan out for you, just wait a few days or a week and you'll see more than the rest of us are seeing from this one. For many of us, this could be our biggest one all winter. If only that were still true. The last several winters have been abysmal and this one no different than anyone else in the southeast. We've had 3 dustings this winter and are 14" short of predictions for this single storm. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrandonInSC Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I hope that HRRR showing snow showers extending well into SC verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If only that were still true. The last several winters have been abysmal and this one no different than anyone else in the southeast. We've had 3 dustings this winter and are 14" short of predictions for this single storm. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk BTW, sorry if that read a little harsh, it was meant very tongue in cheek. I just reread it and saw it might come across differently. Truth be told, I have always been very jealous of Boone weather! Any place that considers 80-85 in the summer to be very hot is good with me! I hear ya, but even a bad winter for you would be a dream for me. GSP hasn't had a double digit winter in like 24 or 26 years! Prior to that it had double digits like 17 times in 30 years. I don' think this one is over for you yet and you'll get some NWF snow too. And I'm sure you'll get plenty over the next 2 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 For GSO... ground temps - PERFECT temps aloft - TERRIBLE QPF - ABSOLUTE FAILURE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 BTW, sorry if that read a little harsh, it was meant very tongue in cheek. I just reread it and saw it might come across differently. Truth be told, I have always been very jealous of Boone weather! Any place that considers 80-85 in the summer to be very hot is good with me! I hear ya, but even a bad winter for you would be a dream for me. GSP hasn't had a double digit winter in like 24 or 26 years! Prior to that it had double digits like 17 times in 30 years. I don' think this one is over for you yet and you'll get some NWF snow too. And I'm sure you'll get plenty over the next 2 months. It's all good, just extremely frustrated with this thing underperforming pretty bad so been in a bad mood all day :/ Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 38 degrees and pouring cold rain for the last hour. Man, if I had 6 degrees to spare we would be feet deep in snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Even though this storm hasn't been anything special, I'll take it lol. Started with a couple inches of snow/sleet, now have a nice ice coating and probably another half inch of sleet on top of that. Everything is covered, included roads. Parking lots were a solid sheet of ice. Now if we can add a couple inches of snow on top I'll be real happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 From now on, I'm relying on reading pig entrails for weather forecasts. It can't be any less accurate than scientific computer models, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm having to watch the floater in my eye drift down while staring out the window so I think it's a snowflake in the rain. It's helping the time pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDUBRDU Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 When states south of North Carolina are getting snow and it's still IP/ZR here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 When states south of North Carolina are getting snow and it's still IP/ZR here. i saw 10 mins of snow at 6am and sleet ever since. ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qwertyu Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm having to watch the floater in my eye drift down while staring out the window so I think it's a snowflake in the rain. It's helping the time pass Hahahaha!!! That's pretty good!! LOL!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What have we (hopefully) learned from this "storm"? 1. Never trust QPF amounts on Global models 2. When the NAM is within 36 hours and tells you something you don't like, believe it! 3. No model gets the track and timing just right 4. When TV mets are considered to be too conservative, they know better than the models 5. Wrap around from a coastal transfer seldom works out 6. If you are counting on dynamics to save you, don't 7. There will ALWAYS be a warm nose (outside the mtns) regardless of what a model shows 8. We seldom get a storm with "just snow" for the vast majority here 9. There will be some who will win on the totals and some who will not 10.DC and the MA will outperform us every single time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What have we (hopefully) learned from this "storm"? 1. Never trust QPF amounts on Global models 2. When the NAM is within 36 hours and tells you something you don't like, believe it! 3. No model gets the track and timing just right 4. When TV mets are considered to be too conservative, they know better than the models 5. Wrap around from a coastal transfer seldom works out 6. If you are counting on dynamics to save you, don't 7. There will ALWAYS be a warm nose (outside the mtns) regardless of what a model shows 8. We seldom get a storm with "just snow" for the vast majority here 9. There will be some who will win on the totals and some who will not 10.DC and the MA will outperform us every single time You're right except for number 7...even the mtns have a warm nose. If it's not heavy rates we are getting sleet and freezing rain here in Boone. Poorly modeled storm. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 5 inches been sleeting hard on and off for 6 hours or more, warm nose got me again. If stayed all snow easily been 8- 10 inches by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Brad Panovich @wxbrad 5m5 minutes ago Special Weather Statement on #thundrsnow and #thundersleet. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It was nuts Frosty, didn't see any lightning but can conform the rates, winds and how fast it was moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Remember, people. This storm is just now getting started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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