Rick G Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 i didn't want snow anyway... I hate having to shovel a path for the dog... last year I built him a maze.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 the trend is your friend. 18z NAM is south. This made me LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Winter storm watch up http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/mobile.php?vtec=2016-O-NEW-KCTP-WS-A-0001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 CTP hoists WSWs. 000WWUS41 KCTP 202042WSWCTPURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA342 PM EST WED JAN 20 2016PAZ033>036-056-057-059-063>066-210845-/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0001.160123T0000Z-160124T1200Z/SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG...CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER342 PM EST WED JAN 20 2016...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGHSUNDAY MORNING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGHSUNDAY MORNING.* LOCATIONS...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS INTO THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE.* TIMING...SNOW BEGINS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. THE PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW WILL BE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY EVENING. SNOW ENDS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW ACCUMULATION. A GUSTY WIND MAY DRIFT SNOW ACROSS ROADS AND REDUCE VISIBILITY.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO NOAAWEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FORTHE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUNDAT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.&&$$PAZ058-210845-/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0001.160123T0500Z-160124T1500Z/SCHUYLKILL-INCLUDING THE CITY OF...POTTSVILLE342 PM EST WED JAN 20 2016...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGHSUNDAY MORNING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGHSUNDAY MORNING.* LOCATIONS...SCHUYLKILL COUNTY.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE.* TIMING...SNOW BEGINS FRIDAY EVENING. THE PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING. SNOW ENDS BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW ACCUMULATION. A GUSTY WIND MAY DRIFT SNOW ACROSS ROADS AND REDUCE VISIBILITY.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO NOAAWEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FORTHE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUNDAT...WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.&&$$RXR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z NAM is south. Man...brutal gradient. 18-24" for York, Lancaster, Lebanon, Middletown, Reading...0" for State College, Williamsport, Scranton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 84 (lol) hour NAM. That gradient is cruel to this forum, damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z NAM...if there were ever an excuse to drink heavily... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Warning criteria to not even WWA in fifteen miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Hahaha dear lord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Thats a gut punch for Wilkes-Barre/Scranton and Altoona/State College. This storm will single-handedly change people's opinions on winter but these folks will only be more jaded. They can't buy a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The 18z nam, talk about waffling, anyway it's out of its range and has done very poorly this season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Ehhh we will live, its only frozen liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Us true central PAers are losing our last allies...12z Para GFS: Things are not looking bright for us (Altoona, State College, Williamsport) but I don't think it will be time to throw in the towel until at least 00z tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Things are not looking bright for us (Altoona, State College, Williamsport) but I don't think it will be time to throw in the towel until at least 00z tomorrow night. I've already done myself a favor and thrown in mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Man I hate being on the edge. The Euro ensemble mean is probably the best thing I've seen this afternoon for the UNV-AVP corridors, though the GFS is hanging in there for now as well. But the 12z Euro ensemble mean seemed to look like it jived fairly well with the map that Ellinwood had posted earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lol we only do well on storms that drop 4 inches of wet snow and turn over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 if this is a sharp cutoff as indicated on models today, I even worry about down in the MDT corridor right now. It is not a lock for sure. LNS/York maybe so but that northern edge is ever so close. I hope trends tonight on 0z turn back the other way like most of last night's runs or we could also be on the outside looking in. Places 30-45 mins away feet of snow and us, high clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 PBZ's first take on most likely snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'd love our resident mets to do maps tomorrow, a little contest or something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I am on the edge of 4 to 6. If the storm shifts north a bit I should be close to 8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 And CTP's "Most Likely" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'd love our resident mets to do maps tomorrow, a little contest or something! I'm gonna try to put something out by tomorrow or tomorrow night, if I can get my GIS software to cooperate with generating the new maps I started putting out last year. Either way i'll have amounts in either text or a map but it'll probably be after another full day of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Hey everyone! I wouldn't throw in the towel yet in the JST-AOO-UNV corridor. All we need is a shift NW and we will be ok. There's still time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm gonna try to put something out by tomorrow or tomorrow night, if I can get my GIS software to cooperate with generating the new maps I started putting out last year. Either way i'll have amounts in either text or a map but it'll probably be after another full day of guidance. Cool! You think realistically this has any hopes of moving (or well the precip cutoff not be so freaking extreme) 50-100 miles N so we can get more of you central guys into the better returns? Or are we about as far north as it can possible get now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 And CTP's "Most Likely" StormTotalSnowWeb1-2.png woohoo 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 woohoo 1" You and me both brother, can't wait to sled down the hill once lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 You and me both brother, can't wait to sled down the hill once lol. Haha...Sounds fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We feel your pain in the Pittsburgh thread... it sucks, but somebody is always on the outside looking in. These sharp cutoffs just rip your heart out if your on the wrong side. The problem is that it's always the same folks on the wrong side. Storm after storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Cool! You think realistically this has any hopes of moving (or well the precip cutoff not be so freaking extreme) 50-100 miles N so we can get more of you central guys into the better returns? Or are we about as far north as it can possible get now? 18z GFS says no. Ticked south again. Whatever trend we need up here, just expect the opposite. It's worked for the past 5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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