Rjay Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Does anyone else feel like big events are usually shorter duration than modelled? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Yes Yeah, and I feel like they begin sooner as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 And most are happy again. Let the roller coaster of emotions continue. Same pattern for every storm haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I just want everyone to love the GGEM the way I do.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I hate this f*cking hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Prediction: Another roller coaster tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I hate this f*cking hobby 2nd that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lee Goldberg put up percentages...6-12 is at 35% while 12-18 and 0-3 are at 20%. Feels 6-12 is where he is focusing on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 2nd that I'm already at lack of sleep and now there is no way I'm not staying up for the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I hate this f*cking hobby You can ban me for an hour if it makes you feel better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TopOfNJ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wonder if the partial sampling was the issue at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TopOfNJ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wonder if the partial sampling was the issue at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Yes Is there a technical basis for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lee Goldberg put up percentages...6-12 is at 35% while 12-18 and 0-3 are at 20%. Feels 6-12 is where he is focusing on That's fair given where we stand. Mets are going to pull back though until the Euro comes around, if it does that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Is there a technical basis for this? Probably lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Gut feeling with the Euro in 90 minutes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Epic, epic 0z suite this far. Truely a HECS as depicted. If the GFS and GEM verified a 4+ on the NESIS scale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 What are the chances this storm can match the hype of March 2001 or January 2015 with the 24-36 inch prediction over NJ, NYC and LI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Gut feeling with the Euro in 90 minutes? Goes further south. Let the drama continue! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Gut feeling with the Euro in 90 minutes?Predicting models is dumb since it's banter...it prob bumps north of the 12z run.Technical explaination: just because Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Gut feeling with the Euro in 90 minutes? I'll stick my head out there and say the euro comes north.... A lot, all trends point to a weaker confluence.. Yes I know I never mention the NAM this far out but it helps my arguement so why not... Nams a stronger, slower, low, weaker confluence, as is the 00z GFS, the ukmet has now hinted at this, the GGEM has always shown this, as well as the JMA... The Kings off his throne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The model emotional roller coaster continues. I think the euro comes north but only slightly maybe 50 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I say it's a tad north, but not enough to make those of us who stay up late happy. Therefore, I'm going to sleep. It's a win/win. I'm happy with the 00z suite now so I sleep well. If Euro is good, I wake up happy, if it's bad...well, at least I didn't stay up for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lee Goldberg put up percentages...6-12 is at 35% while 12-18 and 0-3 are at 20%. Feels 6-12 is where he is focusing on He has that up at 4 pm. No Mets will change TV forecast tonight because it lacks all the models.by morning expect change again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I say it's a tad north, but not enough to make those of us who stay up late happy. Therefore, I'm going to sleep. It's a win/win. I'm happy with the 00z suite now so I sleep well. If Euro is good, I wake up happy, if it's bad...well, at least I didn't stay up for it. Well thought out plan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wxbell is so slow to update. Grrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cjr231 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm not so in love with that GGEM run to be honest. I think it took some steps to the EURO earlier in the run but then recovered just in time. Obviously sign me up for its outcome a million times over but I think we are on thinner ice than people realize seeing its output. Time will tell I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I agree with JM this is going to be disastrous for the coast. One thing you guys are missing is there will be a wet snow at the coast that will stick to trees and power lines. Add 60+ mph gust and its power out city. Not to mention Irene or 92 level flooding and erosion. (Sandys out of reach obviously) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Thanks to everyone who makes this job easier by posting junk in here. To all those getting their posts deleted instantly in the storm thread, you make me want to jump off a roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm not so in love with that GGEM run to be honest. I think it took some steps to the EURO earlier in the run but then recovered just in time. Obviously sign me up for its outcome a million times over but I think we are on thinner ice than people realize seeing its output. Time will tell I guess. I thought it was going south when looking at the h5 and then it recovered as the confluence moved out quickly and the trough turned negative faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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