Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

January Med/Long Range Discussion Part 4


WinterWxLuvr

Recommended Posts

New thread. I waited for the 18z hoopla to die down.

Really had no choice. We put up 10 pages last night from this point until morning. That might double tonight, putting us well over 50.

I thought it was important to keep the 0z models together with tomorrow's 12z data.

This is the m/l range thread, not a storm thread.

Good luck all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 389
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Might have just jinxed it. New thread is like shaving in the playoffs.

Honestly I thought everyone would find it easier. In times like this one day of runs can fill a thread. I figure by Tuesday someone will start a storm thread and then this one can finish out the month as the m/l thread.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

NCEP Operational Status Message

Mon Jan 18 03:00:44 2016 GMT
 
NOUS42 KWNO 180300
ADMNFD
 
SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD
0259Z MON JAN 18 2016
 
THE 00Z GFS HAS STARTED AND IS RUNNING ON TIME.
 
00Z UPDATED RAOB RECAP...
70414/SYA - PART B IS MISSING
78016/BDA - PART B MISSING FOR NAM...IN FOR GFS
76458/MZT - 10158
76692/HYY - 10158
 
HANDEL/SDM/NCO/NCEP

 

What does the Part B part mean? Can anyone explain?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I know no one is paying attention, but the LR GFS almost tries to do a repeat of this, it is unbelievably close to a carbon copy H5 setup, it obviously goes nuts and closes it off, but it is close lol...

 

Good.  Hopefully it is even bigger than the first.  I want to have to exit my home through the second story windows.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

gfs and eps like another window day 11-12 before we torch. Also the touch looks like it may be progressive.

Starting to see hints of the -ao/nao coming back after the relax. My total wag is the big trough in the west showing up on the ens will end up being some big cutter and then a step down right back to winter appeal. A 3-4 day warm stretch and then back to tracking if that. Seriously doubt a prolonged trough/west ridge east like Dec.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Starting to see hints of the -ao/nao coming back after the relax. My total wag is the big trough in the west showing up on the ens will end up being some big cutter and then a step down right back to winter appeal. A 3-4 day warm stretch and then back to tracking if that. Seriously doubt a prolonged trough/west ridge east like Dec.

im looking forward to the jan 28 storm more than this one

Link to comment
Share on other sites

What does the Part B part mean? Can anyone explain?

 

If I remember correctly, Part B were the winds at non-standard levels.  Whenever certain criteria were hit (for example, height or a shift) it would mark a wind group (direction/speed).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah GFS has it warm (second storm) at this point. Honestly...can we trust anything until the first beast is out of the way? Nope. 

Certainly looks like it could be a fun week or two. My gut says we won't do back to back storms. Second one probably ends up as slop at least that's my gut feeling for now. 

Second storm H5 low does like right over us. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...